Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#2569 Memphis Grizzlies vs.
#2570 Golden State Warriors
Wednesday, January 25, 2023 at 10:10pm EST
Oracle Arena, Oakland
Written by Mason Folz

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This Wednesday, the (31-16) Memphis Grizzlies will travel to San Francisco, CA to take on the (23-24) Golden State Warriors. Tipoff will be at 10:00 PM EST inside the Chase Center. This will be the second time that these two teams have matched up this season, as the Warriors won the last meeting, 123-109. These two teams have had issues in the past and I am expecting a battle in this one!

The Memphis Grizzlies are coming into this one after falling to the Sacramento Kings, 133-100. They struggled on both ends of the floor, as they will have to be more aggressive in this one if they want to challenge the defending Champions.

The Golden State Warriors are entering this game after losing to the Brooklyn nets, 120-116. They struggled on the defensive end of the court, as they will have to apply more pressure in this one if they want to defend their home court against the Grizzlies.

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This game was written/published before last night's results.

Will the Grizzlies Show Up?

The Memphis Grizzlies are currently in second place in the Western Conference standings, as they trail the first-place Denver Nuggets by two games. On offense, they are scoring 117 points per game and they have shot 47% from the floor. This is the seventh most points scored per contest, but only the 19th-highest team shooting percentage. According to dunksandthrees.com, the Grizzlies have an adjusted offensive rating of 114.3, which is the 13th-highest rating in the NBA. Ja Morant continues to lead the way on the offensive end of the court, as he is scoring 27.2 points per game on 46.4% shooting from the floor. Make sure to check the injury report before placing your wager, though. Morant is currently listed as questionable with an ankle injury. Memphis has also shown that they struggle to step behind the arc and consistently knock down threes. They are only shooting 34.9% from deep, which is the 21st-highest three-point shooting percentage in the league. They have also struggled at the charity stripe, as they have only made 71.2% from the line. This is the lowest free-throw shooting percentage, as they can't continue to miss out on these free points and still expect to win these games.

On the defensive end of the court, the Grizzlies are allowing 112.4 points per game and their opponents have shot 44.6% from the floor. This is the 11th least amount of points given up per game and the lowest shooting percentage allowed. According to dunksandthrees.com, the Memphis Grizzlies have an adjusted defensive rating of 109.7, which is the lowest rating in the NBA. They have been extremely tough to score on, as they have also shown that they will defend on the perimeter. They have forced their opponents to shoot 35.5% from behind the arc, which is the 11th-lowest three-point shooting percentage allowed. The Grizzlies have also snatched 49 rebounds per game, which is the most in the NBA.

Injury Report: Ja Morant PF (Ankle) and Steven Adams C (Knee) are questionable. Danny Green SG (Knee) is out.

Will the Warriors Get Hot at Home?

The Golden State Warriors are currently in 10th place in the Western Conference standings, as they are 10 games back from the Denver Nuggets. On offense, they are scoring 117.6 points per game and they have shot 47.1% from the floor. This is the third most points scored per contest, but only the 17th-highest team shooting percentage. Steph Curry has continued to lead the way on the offensive end of the floor, as he is scoring 29.2 points per game on 48.6% shooting from the field. According to dunksandthrees.com, the Warriors have an adjusted offensive rating of 113.1, which is the 22nd-highest rating in the NBA. But, they have also shown that they can consistently knock down shots from behind the arc. They have multiple players that can make it rain, as they are shooting 37.7% from deep, which is the fifth-highest three-point shooting percentage. Golden State has also taken care of business at the charity stripe, as they have shot 79.5% from the line, which is the seventh-highest free-throw shooting percentage in the NBA.

On the defensive end of the court, the Warriors have struggled. But, they have been better at home. They are allowing 118 points per game and their opponents have shot 46.9% from the floor. This is the 27th least amount of points surrendered per game and the 11th-lowest shooting percentage allowed from the floor. According to dunksandthrees.com, the Warriors have an adjusted defensive rating of 113.5, which is the 13th lowest rating in the NBA. They have struggled to consistently contest shots on the perimeter, as their opponents have shot 36.7% from deep. This is the 17th lowest there-point shooting percentage allowed in the league, as they will have to close out on open jump shooters if they want to stay competitive in this game. The Golden State Warriors have also grabbed 44.1 rebounds per game, which is the 12th most.

Injury Report: Anthony Lamb SF (Foot) and Andre Iguodala SF (Hip) are questionable. James Wiseman C (Ankle) is out.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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I am going to roll with the Golden State Warriors and I am going to lay the points (-2). The Grizzlies could possibly be without Morant and Adams, as I see both of them being huge losses to this team. Golden State is also (17-6) at home this season, as they have been a completely different team inside the Chase Center. I also see them being able to consistently score against this tough Grizzlies defense. The Warriors are scoring the third most points per game and they have the fifth-highest team three-point shooting percentage. They will get hot from deep and slowly pull away throughout this game. The Grizzlies have also struggled to consistently knock down shots from the floor, as they only have the 19th-highest team shooting percentage and the 21st-highest three-point shooting percentage. They will go cold at different points in this game and the Warriors will slowly pull away. These two teams do not like each other and I expect Steph and Klay to be hyped up for this one.

Pick the Golden State Warriors and lay the points at home (-2).

Prediction: Golden State Warriors -2

Full-Game Total Pick

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I will be HAMMERING the over (245.5) in this game, as I see both of these teams consistently scoring throughout. According to dunksandthrees.com, the Warriors have the fastest highest adjusted tempo rating in the NBA and the Grizzlies have the fifth-highest. They will both sprint the ball up the court as quickly as they can and they will try to score in transition. This will allow both of these teams to take more shots from the floor, as they will have enough opportunities to push this total over the number. I also see the Grizzlies struggling on the defensive end if Steven Adams can't play. That will free up the paint and allow the Warriors to score from anywhere on the floor. Golden State is also scoring the third most points per game and they have the fifth-highest team three-point shooting percentage, as I don't see the banged-up Grizzlies being able to slow them down on the road. The Warriors are also allowing the 27th most points per game, as Memphis will find different ways to help push this total over the number.

Pick the over (245.5) and expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

Prediction: Over 245.5
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Written By Mason Folz , "Mason Folz"

Mason graduated from the University of Colorado, Boulder and he has been watching SportsCenter since before he could walk. He has been crunching numbers since he could learn to count and nothing makes Mason happier in this world than talking sports, unless he is on the golf course! We are very happy to have added Mason to our team at StatSalt and you will be glad as well. Let's win some money!