Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#2565 Minnesota Timberwolves vs.
#2566 New Orleans Pelicans
Wednesday, January 25, 2023 at 8:10pm EST
Smoothie King Center, New Orleans
Written by Mason Folz

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This Wednesday, the (24-25) Minnesota Timberwolves will travel to New Orleans, LA to take on the (26-21) New Orleans Pelicans. Tipoff will be at 8:00 PM EST inside the Smoothie King Center. This will be the second time that these two teams have matched up this season, as the Pelicans won the first meeting, 119-118.

The Timberwolves are coming into this one after falling to the Houston Rockets, 119-114. They struggled on the defensive end of the floor, as they couldn't stop Jalen Green in that game. They will have to get more stops in this one if they want to challenge the Pels on the road.

The New Orleans Pelicans are entering this game after falling to the Miami Heat, 100-96. They struggled on the offensive end of the court, as they have had issues without their stars on the court. They will have to show some grit in this one if they want to take care of business at home.

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This game was written/published before last night's results.

Can the Timberwolves Bounce Back?

The Minnesota Timberwolves are currently in ninth place in the Western Conference standings, as they are 10 games back from the Denver Nuggets. On offense, they are scoring 115.3 points per game and they have shot 49.2% from the floor. This is the 11th most points scored per contest and the fourth-highest team shooting percentage. According to dunksandthrees.com, the T-Wolves have an adjusted offensive rating of 113.2, which is the 20th-highest rating in the NBA. Anthony Edwards continues to lead the way on the offensive end of the court, as he is scoring 24.3 points per game on 45.8% shooting from the field. Minnesota has also shown that they are much more successful when they attack the basket. They are only shooting 35.4% from the floor, which is the 19th-highest three-point shooting percentage in the league. They have also shot 78% from the charity stripe, which is the 17th-lowest free-throw shooting percentage in the NBA.

On the defensive end of the court, the Timberwolves are allowing 115.6 points per game and their opponents have shot 46.8% from the floor. This is the 20th least amount of points surrendered per game and the ninth-lowest shooting percentage allowed. According to dunksandthrees.com, the Timberwolves have an adjusted defensive rating of 114.4, which is the 19th lowest rating in the NBA. They have shown that they will contest shots near the rim, but their perimeter defense has hurt them at different times. Minnesota has allowed their opponents to shoot 37.4% from behind the arc, which is the 28th-lowest three-point shooting percentage allowed. The Timberwolves are also snatching 41 rebounds per game, which is the 27th most.

Injury Report: Taurean Prince SF (Ankle) is questionable. Jordan McLaughlin PG (Calf) and Karl-Anthony Towns C (Calf) are out.

Can the Pelicans Wake Up?

The New Orleans Pelicans are currently in fourth place in the Western Conference, as they are seven games behind the first-place Nuggets. On offense, they are scoring 116 points per game and they have shot 48% from the floor. This is the ninth most points scored per contest and the 10th-highest team shooting percentage. According to dunksandthrees.com, the Pels have an adjusted offensive rating of 114.3, which is the 12th-highest rating in the NBA. CJ McCollum continues to lead the way on the offensive end of the floor, as he is scoring 21.1 points per game on 42.8% shooting from the field. New Orleans has also shown that they can consistently step behind the arc and knock down threes. They are shooting 36.2% from deep, which is the 14th-highest three-point shooting percentage in the league. They have also shot 77.7% from the charity stripe, which is the 19th-highest free-throw shooting percentage in the NBA.

On the defensive end of the court, the Pelicans are allowing 113.4 points per game and they have allowed their opponents to shoot 47.3% from the floor. This is the 16th least amount of points allowed per game and the 16th lowest shooting percentage allowed. According to dunksandthrees.com, the Pelicans have an adjusted defensive rating of 111.8, which is the sixth-lowest rating in the NBA. New Orleans has also shown that they will contest shots near the rim and on the perimeter. They have held their opponents to 34.1% shooting from behind the arc, which is the lowest three-point shooting percentage allowed in the league. They are also snatching 44.5 rebounds per game, which is the seventh most.

Injury Report: Brandon Ingram SF (Toe) and Zion Williamson PF (Hamstring) are out. Naji Marshall PF (Toe) is questionable.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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I am going to stick with the Timberwolves on the road and I am going to take the points (+1.5). They will be highly motivated to bounce back after their loss to the Rockets and the Pelicans are still extremely banged up. They haven't looked the same on either end of the floor with Ingram and Williamson out, as I see their struggles continuing in this one. Minnesota has also shown that they are tough to stop on the offensive end of the floor. They are scoring the 11th most points per game and they have the fourth-highest team shooting percentage. They will efficiently find open shots throughout this game and I expect them to take advantage. New Orleans has also lost four in a row and they are only (3-7) in their last 10 games played. They aren't playing good basketball right now and I don't see them waking up for this game. They won't be able to consistently score either. Minnesota is holding their opponents to the ninth-lowest shooting percentage from the field. They will crumble under the pressure and the T-Wolves will cover the spread in this game.

Pick the Minnesota Timberwolves and take the points (+1.5).

Prediction: Minnesota Timberwolves +1.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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I will be hammering the over in this matchup, as I see both of these teams scoring enough points to push this total over the number. According to dunksandthrees.com, the Pelicans have the 13th-highest adjusted tempo rating and the Timberwolves have the seventh-highest. Both of these teams will look to push the ball up the court as quickly as they can and they will efficiently score in transition. This will allow each of these teams to take more shots from the field, as they will have plenty of opportunities to push this total over the number. Both of these teams have also struggled on the defensive end of the court this season and I see that trend continuing. Minnesota is allowing the 20th least amount of points per game and they have the 19th lowest adjusted defensive rating. They will allow the Pels to find different ways to score, as New Orleans will do their part in reaching this over. Now, Minnesota will also consistently score throughout, as they are averaging the 11th most points per game. The banged-up Pelicans won't be able to slow them down and they will score throughout this game.

Pick the over and expect an offensive battle in this one.

Prediction: Over
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Written By Mason Folz , "Mason Folz"

Mason graduated from the University of Colorado, Boulder and he has been watching SportsCenter since before he could walk. He has been crunching numbers since he could learn to count and nothing makes Mason happier in this world than talking sports, unless he is on the golf course! We are very happy to have added Mason to our team at StatSalt and you will be glad as well. Let's win some money!