Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#2573 Toronto Raptors vs.
#2574 Sacramento Kings
Wednesday, January 25, 2023 at 10:10pm EST
Golden 1 Center, Sacramento
Written by The Admiral

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Toronto Raptors (21-27) vs. Sacramento Kings (27-19)

The 2022-23 NBA season goes on Wednesday, January 25, with the Toronto Raptors taking on the Sacramento Kings in the cross-conference battle at Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, California. The hosts open as 4-point favorites, and the total has gone from 237.0 to 238.0 points.  

Toronto misses Otto Porter (foot), while Dalano Banton (hip) is questionable to play. On the other side, Sacramento might be without Chimezie Metu (leg).

The Raptors beat the Knicks to stop a three-game slide

After three straight losses against the Milwaukee Bucks 130-122, Minnesota Timberwolves 128-126, and Boston Celtics 106-104, the Toronto Raptors (21-27; 24-24 ATS) broke out of their funk this past Sunday. They beat the New York Knicks 125-116, covering a 2-point spread at home with ease. 

The Raptors went 15-for-34 from beyond the arc against the Knicks. Toronto committed just eight turnovers and recorded 12 steals on the night. Fred VanVleet led the way with 28 points, Pascal Siakam notched 24 points, seven rebounds, and six assists, while Gary Trent Jr. had 24 points and a couple of steals and assists. 

“We just came out with a good focus and intensity,” VanVleet said. “We’ve got to find ways to increase that consistently throughout the game.” 

Toronto holds the No. 11 seed in the Eastern Conference, trailing the tenth-seeded Chicago Bulls by a couple of games. The Raptors score 114.9 points per 100 possessions (11th in the NBA) on 51.6% shooting from inside the arc (28th) and 33.5% from downtown (tied-27th). They allow 114.7 points in return (20th) on 56.7% shooting from inside the arc (27th) and 37.4% from beyond the 3-point line (tied-27th). 

The Kings trounced the Grizzlies to return to winning ways

The Sacramento Kings (27-19; 26-20 ATS) are coming off Monday’s 133-100 dismantling of the Memphis Grizzlies. After stopping their six-game winning streak with a tough 129-127 home defeat against the Philadelphia 76ers, the Kings had no problems beating the shorthanded Grizzlies, who missed Ja Morant and Steven Adams. 

Sacramento held Memphis to 39 second-half points. The Kings went 22-for-40 from beyond the arc and scored 30 fast-break points while handing out a whopping 37 assists. Trey Lyles accounted for 24 points, seven rebounds, three blocks, and two steals, while Harrison Barnes and Keegan Murray notched 20 points apiece. Domantas Sabonis had a good game, too, finishing with a triple-double of 14 points, 11 assists, and ten rebounds. 

“Great team win," Kings coach Mike Brown said. "I thought defensively in the second half, we were good.” 

The Kings remain the No. 3 seed in the Western Conference. They rank second in the NBA in adjusted offensive efficiency (118.5 points per 100 possessions) and 23rd in adjusted defensive efficiency (115.0). Sacramento makes 13.5 triples per 100 possessions (7th in the league) on a 37.1 percentage clip (tied-9th).

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The Raptors and Kings wrap up their two-game regular-season series. Back in December, Sacramento outlasted Toronto 124-123 as a 5-point road dog with a total of 232.0 points. The Kings rallied from a double-digit second-half deficit, while both De’Aaron Fox (27 points and ten assists) and Domantas Sabonis (21 points and 20 boards) posted a double-double. 

I’m expecting to see another entertaining clash between these two cross-conference foes. Both teams struggle to defend, and the Kings are arguably a better offensive team than the Raptors, so I’m going with the hosts to cover. The Kings have won five of their last six home contests while going 4-2 ATS in the process. On the other side, the Raptors are 1-3 SU and ATS in their last four showings on the road.

Prediction: Sacramento Kings -3.0 (-110)

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The Kings have scored 127 or more points in seven of their previous nine games overall. Their defense has been shaky all season long, so I’m looking for another high-scoring affair when the Raptors come to town. 

Toronto ranks 27th in the league in pace (97.2 possessions per 48 minutes), but the Raptors will have a tall task to slow things down against the Kings, who record 101.2 possessions per 48 minutes (6th). The over is 4-1 in Toronto’s last five games overall and 6-0 in its previous six showings on the road. Also, the over is 6-3 in Sacramento’s last nine contests overall and 6-1 in its last seven meetings with the Raptors.

Prediction: Go over 238.0 points (-110)
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Written By Admir Aljic , "The Admiral"

You want someone to show you how to make some money, then talk to the Admiral, because he is your man. He has been handicapping for many years, so heal knows a thing or two on how to beat the spread and get your pockets loaded with cash. He has lined his own pockets for years as a betting expert. The Admiral has brought his talents to StatSalt & Winners & Whiners and will always find the best pick for you.