Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#529 Orlando Magic 212 vs.
#530 Miami Heat -6
Monday, January 27, 2020 at 7:35pm EST
American Airlines Arena, Miami
Written by Sporty Jordy

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W/L
ATS
O/U
PPG
OPPG
#529 Orlando
#530 Miami
21-26
31-14
21-22-4
24-19-2
20-27
28-16-1
103
112
104
108

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When and where: January 27, 2020, American Airlines Arena, Miami, FL, 7:30 PM ET

The Orlando Magic hope to avoid a fourth consecutive loss on Monday when traveling to the American Airlines Arena to take on the Miami Heat. It has been a continued freefall for a Magic team that has now lost five of their last six games. They are coming into Miami riding a three-game losing streak to the Los Angeles Clippers, Boston Celtics and Oklahoma City Thunder. Meanwhile, the Heat lost at home in an intense back-and-forth battle with the Clippers on Friday.

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Heat’s kryptonite is Los Angeles

The Heat have only been defeated twice at the American Airlines Arena this season. Their first loss came at the hands of LeBron James’ Los Angeles Lakers. Then they had Kawhi Leonard and the Los Angeles Clippers to thank for the second loss on Friday night.

The Clippers were powered by Leonard’s first career triple-double, while the Heat were stung by another loss to another Los Angeles-based team featuring another top-three player.

They’ll try to get back on the winning track with the Magic scheduled for a visit on Monday. Orlando boasts some serious defensive problems for any team they face. They are currently ranked seventh in the NBA in defensive efficiency and No. 1 in points allowed. The Heat’s much-improved offense could be trouble with an injury-riddled roster. Jimmy Butler, Kendrick Nunn and Goran Dragic are all listed as questionable for the game with injuries.

Forward Bam Adebayo is also dealing with an ankle injury, but he is still expected to play in the game.

The Magic don’t have much to offer in the way of resistance on the offensive end of the floor. So it’ll come down to the Heat playing well on defense if they’re short-handed for the game. They are currently ranked 13th in the league on defense with opposing teams averaging 44.5 percent shooting when facing them.

Magic fail to bounce back

The precipitous skid for the Magic continued on Sunday as they dropped their third consecutive home loss in a game against the Clippers. They played well enough on defense to at least give themselves a chance to win. By the end of the night, they forced 17 turnovers and held the Clippers’ fourth-ranked scoring offense to 112 points.

But they couldn’t do enough on offense.

It was the same problem that has plagued them throughout the season. They shot a pitiful 35.4 percent from the floor and 21.9 percent from 3-pointer, while mustering only 97 points in the loss. That lack of offensive production isn’t going to cut it against one of the top-tier teams in the league. It certainly won’t cut it on the road against the Heat on Monday.

The Heat are averaging 116.5 points per game on their home floor this season. Despite the numerous injuries, the Magic will have to come into the game with the expectation that everyone will be playing. We already got a taste of Dion Waiters’ long-awaited return to Miami. So the Magic will have to figure out ways to generate more scoring than they have in previous games.

They have the second-worst scoring offense in the league, and they have been held to less than 100 points in four of their last six games.

Sunday’s game against the Clippers looked impossible for them to win with both offensive crutches, Evan Fournier and Nikola Vucevic, turning in disappointing performances. Things won’t get any easier on the road against a talented defensive team like the Heat. The Magic have to do better on offense to give themselves a chance to compete.

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The bad luck streak won’t be ending on Monday for the Magic.

Only the Lakers and Clippers have managed to steal a win at the American Airlines Center in Miami, and they are arguably the two best teams in the league. The Magic don’t boast the offense to compete against the upper-echelon teams on the road. They are averaging 42.7 percent shooting when playing away from their home building.

The offensive struggles will put even more pressure on them to play flawless defense, which is impossible in the high-scoring era in the NBA. That old school style of play isn’t going to cut it for the Magic. They will continue to lose games if they can’t put the pieces together on offense.

There is some concern with the injuries for the Heat, and it’s definitely something to monitor before tip-off. However, I’m banking on them having more than enough available bodies to turn the Magic away empty-handed. Give me the Heat to hand the Magic a fourth straight loss and get back on the winning track.

Prediction: Miami Heat

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My concern for the Magic is never about their defense. They have great on-ball defenders that can lock-up shooters by consistently forcing them into taking contested shots. They’re the top-ranked scoring defense in the league with teams only averaging 104.4 points per game against them. So I’m expecting them to come out and make things difficult on the banged-up Heat.

But the home-cooking in Miami will be one-sided.

The Magic will wilt on the road offensively as they have consistently done all season. They are only averaging 103.8 points per game. That doesn’t bode well with the house of horrors at the American Airlines Arena next on the itinerary. I’m taking the under betting total here.

Prediction: Under
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Written By Jordy McElroy , "Sporty Jordy"

Born in Germany and raised in the beautiful state of Tennessee, Jordy McElroy is a storyteller of sports, a sports betting enthusiast and a semi-deep thinker. Being a New England Patriots fan means he's a six-time Super Bowl winner as well, which means you'd have to be a fool to ignore his advice. Prior to joining our team here at Winners & Whiners, Jordy’s work appeared on CNN.com, FOX Sports, Bleacher Report, USA TODAY and BJPenn.com. There are no beaches where he comes from -- just rolling hills, green valleys and all the Sun Drop you can drink.