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Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks,
10-23-2017 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#509 Golden State
Warriors
#510 Dallas
Mavericks

Monday, October 23, 2017 at 8:35pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Golden State Warriors

-

-
ATS
-
O/U
0
PPG
0
OPPG

Dallas Mavericks

-

-
ATS
-
O/U
0
PPG
0
OPPG

Betting Trends

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Golden State Warriors (1-2 SU, 0-3 ATS, 2-1 O/U) vs. Dallas Mavericks (0-3 SU, 0-3 ATS, 1-2 O/U)

NBA: Monday, October 23, 2017, American Airlines Center, Dallas, Texas, 8:30 pm ET

Line: Golden State -11; Over/Under: 213

It’s a matchup of Western Conference foes down in the Lone Star State. The Golden State Warriors are on the road as they travel to face the Dallas Mavericks Monday night. Golden State lost for the second time in three games in the early going as they fell 111-101 at Memphis Saturday night. Dallas remained winless on the year as they were defeated 107-91 at Houston Saturday night. The Mavericks hold a 79-72 advantage in the all-time series between the franchises but the Warriors have taken six straight meetings, including all three last season.

Golden State Warriors Try to Even Record

Golden State had their struggles on the road against the Grizzlies and had a meltdown from two of their stars in the loss. The Warriors trailed by five after the opening quarter and at the half before things unraveled in the third quarter. Golden State was outscored 32-20 in the third quarter to go down 17 and their fourth quarter rally fell short. The Warriors were limited to 39.3 percent shooting from the floor and went 12 of 38 from beyond the arc in the contest while turning the ball over 17 times. Stephen Curry (37 points) and Kevin Durant (29 points, 13 boards) were both ejected in the fourth quarter.

The Warriors come into this one #6 in the league in scoring with 116.7 points per game. Golden State stands tied for 15th in rebounding with 45.3 per contest. The Warriors are leading the league by dishing out 28.3 assists a night. Golden State is decent defensively as they are 26th in scoring defense, allowing 117.7 points a night. Kevin Durant is the team’s second-leading scorer this season, posting 23.7 points and 8.7 rebounds per game. Stephen Curry leads the team with 29 points plus five assists while Klay Thompson contributes 20.3 points a night. Draymond Green is chipping in with 7.3 points, 7.7 rebounds and 9.3 assists so far this year. Zaza Pachulia, Andre Iguodala, David West and Shaun Livingston are key complementary pieces for the Warriors’ rotation. The Warriors are 4th in the league, shooting 48.2 percent from the floor as a team. Golden State is 1st with 15.3 triples a night while the team stands 3rd by sinking 42.6 percent of their attempts from beyond the arc.

Dallas Mavericks Looking for First Win

Dallas struggled and sputtered on the road against the Rockets as they didn’t make much of a dent in the contest until it was well out of hand. The Mavericks were down 13 after one quarter, 23 at the half and 34 after three quarters before outscoring Houston 33-15 in the fourth to make the final score more respectable. Dallas shot 36.9 percent from the field and went 13 of 31 from three point range in the contest. The Mavericks were drubbed 54-41 on the glass while allowing the Rockets to shoot 47.6 percent from the field. J.J. Barea led Dallas with 19 points in the loss.

The Mavericks have struggled on the offensive end of the floor this season. Dallas is 25th in the league in scoring with 96.7 points per game. The Mavericks are 28th in rebounding with 39.3 boards per contest and are 11th in the league with 21.7 assists per game. Dallas is average on the defensive end, ranking 17th in scoring defense with 105.7 points per game. Harrison Barnes leads the Mavericks with 17.3 points plus 5.3 rebounds per game. Dennis Smith Jr. is the point guard of the future: he’s questionable here after missing the last two games with a knee effusion. Yogi Ferrell (14 points, 3.3 assists) and J.J. Barea (13.3 points, six assists) are contributing in the backcourt. Gian Clavell, Nerlens Noel, Wesley Matthews, Dorian Finney-Smith and the ageless Dirk Nowitzki are all cogs in the Mavericks’ rotation. Dallas is 28th in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 40.8 percent as a team. The Mavericks are 3rd in threes with 13.7 per game but are 9th in three point shooting by hitting 37.6 percent from beyond the arc.

Trends:

Golden State

  • Warriors are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record
  • Warriors are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games playing on 1 day of rest
  • Warriors are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 road games

Dallas

  • Mavericks are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. Western Conference
  • Mavericks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games
  • Mavericks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record

The Warriors were outplayed by the Grizzlies on the road and lost their cool in the process. Golden State doesn’t have meltdowns like that often and you have to wonder if the three straight long seasons have taken a toll on the rotation. You’re talking about an extra 62 games in the last three postseasons, which is a lot on top of the regular season grind. Dallas is struggling as they’re young and Nowitzki is scuffling in the early going. This one likely is a Golden State romp as the Warriors get back to form with a win here.

Pick: Golden State Warriors

Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.

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