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Dallas Mavericks vs. Memphis Grizzlies,
10-26-2017 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#701 Dallas
Mavericks
#702 Memphis
Grizzlies

Thursday, October 26, 2017 at 8:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Dallas Mavericks

1 - 4

43-38
ATS
32-47
O/U
97
PPG
100
OPPG

Memphis Grizzlies

3 - 1

43-45
ATS
45-43
O/U
100
PPG
100
OPPG

Betting Trends

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Dallas Mavericks (0-4 SU, 0-4 ATS, 2-2 O/U) vs. Memphis Grizzlies (3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS, 0-3 O/U)

NBA: Thursday, October 26, 2017, FedExForum, Memphis, Tennessee, 8 pm ET

Line: Memphis -9; Over/Under: 196.5

It’s a matchup of Western Conference foes at differing ends of the spectrum of the Southwest Division in the Music City. The Dallas Mavericks are on the road as they battle the Memphis Grizzlies Thursday night in the second game of a home and home series. Dallas remained winless on the year as they were pasted 133-103 at home by the Warriors Monday night heading into Wednesday’s game. Memphis remained unbeaten as they rallied for a 98-90 win over Houston on the road Monday night as they went into Wednesday. The Mavericks hold a 61-25 advantage in the all-time regular season series but the teams split four meetings last season.

Dallas Mavericks Try to Erase Slow Start

Dallas was winless heading into the opener of this home and home set with the Grizzlies. The Mavericks were walloped by the Warriors at home Monday night to remain winless on the year. Dallas is 0-3 at home this season and lost their lone road contest by 16 points to the Rockets. The Mavericks are 3.5 games behind the Spurs and Grizzlies in the Southwest Division entering Wednesday night’s contest. Dallas is the lone remaining winless team in the Western Conference and stands 0-1 in division play and 0-3 against Western Conference foes.

The Mavericks have struggled on the offensive end of the floor this season. Dallas is 25th in the league in scoring with 98.3 points per game. The Mavericks are 26th in rebounding with 40 boards per contest and are 21st in the league with 21.5 assists per game. Dallas is below average on the defensive end, ranking 25th in scoring defense with 112.5 points per game. Harrison Barnes leads the Mavericks with 16.3 points plus 5.8 rebounds per game. Dennis Smith Jr. (13 points, 5.5 assists) is the point guard of the future: he missed two games with a knee effusion. Yogi Ferrell (13.8 points, three assists) and J.J. Barea (13.5 points, 6.5 assists) are contributing in the backcourt. Gian Clavell, Nerlens Noel, Wesley Matthews, Dorian Finney-Smith and the ageless Dirk Nowitzki are all cogs in the Mavericks’ rotation. Dallas is 30th in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 40.5 percent as a team. The Mavericks are 3rd in threes with 12.5 per game but are tied for 11th in three-point shooting by hitting 36.2 percent from beyond the arc.

Memphis Grizzlies Look to Continue Strong Start

Memphis rallied from a deficit against the Rockets to get the win as they outscored Houston 28-14 in the fourth quarter to get the win. The win gave the Grizzlies a 3-0 mark and put them tied with the Spurs atop the Southwest Division. Memphis is one of four unbeaten teams left in the league along with Washington, San Antonio, and the Clippers. The Grizzlies are 2-0 at home compared to 1-0 on the road entering Wednesday. Memphis is 2-0 against Southwest Division opponents and is 3-0 against the Western Conference early on this season.

The Grizzlies enter this contest ranked 16th in scoring offense in the league as they average 104 points per game. Memphis is in the bottom third of the pack in the league on the glass, ranking tied for 22nd with 41 boards a night. The Grizzlies are 27th in the league in assists with 18.3 per game. Memphis stands 3rd in the league in scoring defense as they allow 94 points per game. Marc Gasol leads the team with 24.7 points and 10 rebounds per game. Mike Conley adds 18 points plus 4.7 assists a night, rookie Dillon Brooks contributes 10.3 points a game while Tyreke Evans adds 9.3 points plus 5.7 rebounds per game. James Ennis III, Chandler Parsons, Mario Chalmers, Brandan Wright and Andrew Harrison are key pieces in the rotation for Memphis. The Grizzlies are 20th in the league in field goal percentage as the team shoots 43.9 percent from the floor. Memphis is tied for 24th in the league with 8.3 threes per game and 19th in the league as they shoot 33.3 percent from beyond the arc.

Trends:

Dallas

  • Mavericks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600
  • Mavericks are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 vs. Western Conference
  • Mavericks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall

Memphis

  • Grizzlies are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 Thursday games
  • Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games

With this being the second game of a back to back between the same teams, it will be interesting to see how things unfold. The Grizzlies rested Parsons for the road half of this home and home set so it’s expected that he’ll see the floor here. Dallas is struggling right now as their young guys need experience. Nowitzki is a consummate leader but he’s not the scoring threat he was in his prime at this point. Memphis makes life tough on opposing teams and already owns wins over the Rockets and Warriors. They should be able to dispatch the Mavericks and sweep the home and home set.

Pick: Memphis Grizzlies -9

Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.

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