Denver Nuggets (2-3; 1-4 ATS: 0-5 O/U) vs. Brooklyn Nets (3-3; 4-2 ATS; 3-2 O/U)
NBA: Sunday, October 29, 2017 at 6:00pm EST
Line: Denver -4
The Brooklyn Nets will look to get back in the win column when they host the Denver Nuggets in an inter-conference battle Sunday evening from the Barclays Center. The Nuggets notched a 105-100 road win over the Hawks in their latest contest, and the Nets dropped a 107-86 decision to the Knicks on Friday night. Each team notched a win on their home court in last year’s season series.
Nuggets Defense Shines in Road Win Over Hawks
The Denver Nuggets scored 30 points in the fourth quarter in their much-needed 105-100 road win over the Nets on Friday night. The Nuggets shot a solid 46% from the field, and limited the Hawks to a 41% clip. Nikola Jokic was outstanding, sinking 18 points on an 8 for 16 mark from the field and collected a season-high 15 rebounds for his second consecutive double-double. The 22-year old center has played well in his last three games after a slow start, and is currently averaging 14.4 points along with nine rebounds per game. Jokic averaged eight points along with eight rebounds in two games against the Nets last season. Nuggets’ top scorer Paul Millsap was solid as well, notching 16 points and six boards. The 32-year old power forward is off to a promising start with his new club, posting an average of 15.6 points in five games played.
The Nuggets snapped a two game skid with the win on Friday night and are playing the third game of a four game road trip in this contest. They possess a 1-2 road record on the season. Denver is only averaging 98.8 points per game, ranking them down at 24th in the NBA. The Nuggets are playing solid defense, conceding an average of 100.8 points, placing them eighth overall.
Nets Offense Goes Cold in Loss to Knicks
The Brooklyn Nets struggled in the paint in their rough 107-86 road loss to the Knicks on Friday night. The Nets only shot 40.5% and were out-rebounded by a wide 55-34 clip and allowed the Knicks to score 50 points in the paint. Nets’ leading scorer D’Angelo Russell made his return from a one game absence and collected 15 points on 6 for 10 shooting. The 21-year old point guard is playing well, averaging 21.4 points in five games. Russell posted 12.3 points in three games against the Nuggets last season. DeMarre Carroll was quiet in the loss, scoring only six points in 30 minutes of playing time. The 31-year old small forward had tallied at least 17 points in four straight games prior to his six point effort, and is now posting 14.2 points per game.
The Nets got off to a surprising red-hot start offensively in their first five games and were finally cooled down by the Knicks on Friday night. They feature a 3-0 home record which included a 112-107 win over the Cavaliers last week. The Nets are scoring an average of 115.3 points per game, good for third in the NBA. Brooklyn is not strong defensively, allowing an average of 117.3 points, placing them down 29th overall.
The Denver Nuggets are:
- 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games against a team with a winning home record.
- 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games against a team with a home winning percentage above .600.
- 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against the NBA Atlantic.
- 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring at least 100 points in their previous game.
The Brooklyn Nets are:
- 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games against the Northwest division.
I am going with the Nuggets in this contest. The Nets are very weak defensively and have already allowed over 120 points on three occasions this season. I expect a big game from Nikola Jokic who is heating up, averaging 21.7 points along with 12 rebounds over his last three games, and the Nets don’t have anyone that can contain him. In addition, the Nuggets have played strong defense, holding opponents to 43.9% shooting, so they should be able to contain the Nets scoring, plus they also have the rebounding advantage.