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San Antonio Spurs vs. Indiana Pacers,
10-29-2017 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#503 San Antonio
Spurs
#504 Indiana
Pacers

Sunday, October 29, 2017 at 4:35pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

San Antonio Spurs

4 - 1

50-46
ATS
55-41
O/U
105
PPG
99
OPPG

Indiana Pacers

2 - 3

41-43
ATS
43-42
O/U
105
PPG
105
OPPG

Betting Trends

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San Antonio Spurs (4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS, 2-3 O/U) vs. Indiana Pacers (2-3 SU, 3-2 ATS, 3-2 O/U)

NBA: Sunday, October 29, 2017, Bankers Life Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, Indiana, 4:30 pm ET

Line: San Antonio -6.5; Over/Under: 204

It’s an inter-conference contest on the hardwood in the Hoosier State between a pair of teams coming off losses. The San Antonio Spurs are on the road as they clash with the Indiana Pacers Sunday afternoon. San Antonio suffered their first loss of the season as they were trounced 114-87 by the Magic Friday night. Indiana dropped a 114-96 decision on the road to Oklahoma City in their last contest Wednesday night. The Spurs hold a 53-36 edge in the all-time regular season series between the teams: they’ve won six of the last seven meetings, including both matchups last season.

San Antonio Spurs Seek to Bounce Back From First Loss

San Antonio fell to 1-1 on their four game road trip against Eastern Conference competition as they were waxed by Orlando. The Spurs look to regroup from their first loss of the year as they take on Indiana here. San Antonio was taken to the woodshed as they were down 14 after the opening quarter and 27 at the half: the rest of the contest was an exercise in garbage time. The Spurs shot only 33.7 percent from the floor, including a dismal 4 of 24 showing from beyond the arc. San Antonio allowed Orlando to shoot a blistering 57.1 percent from the floor and 11 of 23 from three point range in the game.

The Spurs are below average offensively this season, ranking 22nd in scoring offense with 99.8 points per game. San Antonio is 3rd in rebounding with 50 boards a contest while the team is 22nd in assists with 20.6 dimes per game. San Antonio is 6th in the league in scoring defense as they allow 97.4 points a game. Kawhi Leonard is still out of the mix and the team hopes to have him back in the near future. LaMarcus Aldridge contributes a team leading 25.6 points plus 9.2 rebounds a night while Manu Ginobili chips in 8.6 points per game. Pau Gasol averages 8.6 points and 8.2 rebounds in his second year with the team., Tony Parker (once he returns), Rudy Gay (12.2 points) and Danny Green (12.2 points) all are looked at to contribute for coach Gregg Popovich’s team. The Spurs are tied for 19th in the league by shooting 43.7 percent from the field. San Antonio is 30th in three point field goals per game with 5.6 per contest. The Spurs are 27th in the league by knocking down 29.8 percent of their long range attempts.

Indiana Pacers Look to Secure Home Victory

Indiana couldn’t build off their impressive win at Minnesota as they were clubbed on the road against Oklahoma City. They’ve had a few days to rest and recover from that back to back on the road, in addition to preparing for this one. The Pacers trailed by just three after the opening quarter and were within six at the half before Oklahoma City pulled away. Indiana was done in by poor shooting: they hit only 33.7 percent from the floor and went 10 of 29 from beyond the arc. Victor Oladipo led the Pacers with 35 points in the loss.

The Pacers are 4th in the league in scoring with 114 points a night. Indiana is 20th in the league in rebounding by collecting 42.8 boards per game. The Pacers are tied for 19th in assists with 21.2 per game but are a sieve defensively. Indiana is 28th in the league in scoring defense, allowing 115.6 points per game. Victor Oladipo leads the Pacers with 26 points plus 4.6 rebounds and 2.2 steals per contest. Myles Turner put up 21 points, 14 rebounds and two blocks in the opener but has been out since with a concussion. Darren Collison (15.6 points, 8.4 assists), Thaddeus Young (12.4 points, 6.8 rebounds), Domantas Sabonis (11.2 points, 9.8 rebounds), Al Jefferson (8.8 points, five boards) and Bojan Bogdanovic (11 points) are contributing offensively. The Pacers have to get production from Cory Joseph, Lance Stephenson and TJ Leaf while tightening up defensively. Indiana is 3rd in the league by shooting 48.5 percent from the field. The Pacers are tied for 26th with eight threes per game. Indiana stands tied for 21st in the league as they’re knocking down 32.8 percent from beyond the arc.

Trends:

San Antonio

  • Spurs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Sunday games

Indiana

  • Pacers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. Western Conference

Indiana is struggling to stop opposing teams from putting points on the board and a major reason is the fact that Turner is out. He’s doubtful for this one as well and let’s be honest: the Pacers don’t have the kind of depth that can overcome the loss of their marquee player. San Antonio may have been taken to the woodshed by the Magic but Gregg Popovich gets his team motivated after games like that. The Spurs will be ready to prove that was an aberration: look for San Antonio to get back on track with a win here.

Pick: San Antonio Spurs -6.5

This matchup of old ABA franchises should be a test for the young Pacers’ rotation. San Antonio is a grizzled veteran team with plenty of leadership and experience, plus the guru Popovich on the bench. The loss for the Spurs Friday night was the worst loss the team suffered in Popovich’s tenure against a team that finished with a winning percentage below .400 the year before. Indiana doesn’t have the experience that San Antonio has with the next man up mentality, which is something they have to adjust to if they hope to surprise in the Eastern Conference.

The over is 6-0 in the Spurs’ last 6 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points, 10-2 in their last 12 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game and 9-2 in their last 11 games following an ATS loss. Indiana has seen the over go 4-0 in their last 4 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points, 5-1 in their last 6 games following a straight up loss and 5-1 in Pacers last 6 games following an ATS loss. Given Indiana’s wretched defense so far this season, this one seems primed to go over the total.

Over 204

4

Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.

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