Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#565 Detroit Pistons 217.5 vs.
#566 Miami Heat -8.5
Tuesday, November 12, 2019 at 7:35pm EST
American Airlines Arena, Miami
Written by Chris Kubala

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#565 Detroit
#566 Miami
4-7
6-3
42-43-1
42-38-2
41-44-1
42-38-2
106
105
107
105

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It’s a battle of Eastern Conference teams on the hardwood down in South Beach. The Detroit Pistons are on the road as they make the trip to face the Miami Heat Tuesday night. Detroit was in action on Monday night at home as they faced Minnesota. Miami was drubbed 95-80 on the road by the Lakers in their previous contest on Friday night in their latest contest. The Heat leads the all-time regular-season series between the teams 59-54. Last season, the teams split four meetings with Miami picking up a 108-74 triumph at home in the last matchup on March 13, 2019.

Detroit Pistons Log Second Game of Back to Back Situation

Detroit was in action against Minnesota at home on Monday night so they are logging the second game of a back to back situation here. The Pistons entered Monday’s contest fourth in the Central Division, three games behind the Bucks. Detroit is 1-1 in the second game of back to back situations this season. In those contests, the Pistons have averaged 106.5 points per game, slightly below their full season average of 108.5 points per contest. Detroit gives up an average of 113 points per game in those contests, which is worse than their season average of 111.3 points per game this season.

The Pistons enter this contest 19th in the league in scoring offense with 108.5 points per game on the season. Detroit stands 28th in rebounding with 42.2 boards per contest and 10th with 24.4 assists per game. The Pistons are just below the middle of the pack in scoring defense, ranking 17th by allowing 111.3 points per game. Andre Drummond is leading the team in the early going with 21.2 points, 18 rebounds, 1.5 steals and 2.1 blocks per game. Derrick Rose contributes 20.8 points plus 6.3 assists a night while Luke Kennard chips in 18 points per game. Markieff Morris adds 12 points plus 3.7 rebounds a night while Langston Galloway has chipped in 11 points a night. Detroit is second in the league in field goal percentage as they hit 47.4 percent from the floor as a team on the year. The Pistons are 16th in threes made per game with 11.1 per contest and stand tied for first in three-point shooting as they connect on 39.6 percent of their shooting from beyond the arc. Reggie Jackson has missed the last seven games with a back injury: it was diagnosed as a stress reaction on November 2 and he is expected to miss at least four weeks. Rose (hamstring) and Tim Frazier (shoulder) both practiced Sunday but their status is unknown. Blake Griffin was due to make his season debut on Monday night against Minnesota.

Miami Heat Dealing With Internal Fallout

Miami came up on the wrong end of the scoreboard against the Lakers to finish a three-game road trip 1-2. The Hawks entered Monday 2.5 games ahead of Charlotte in the Southeast Division race. Miami trailed 13-2 out of the gate and remained down seven after the opening quarter. The Heat cut the deficit to two at the half before getting outscored 30-20 in the third quarter. That told the tale as Miami couldn’t get closer than six in the fourth quarter. The Heat shot only 35 percent from the field, including six of 35 from three-point range, and lost the rebounding battle 48-37. Jimmy Butler led the Heat with 22 points in the loss. Miami suspended Dion Waiters, who had a “panic attack” after eating THC-infused edibles, for 10 games: there are reports that he has played his last game with the franchise.

The Heat enters this one 15th in the league in scoring offense with 111.1 points per game this season. Miami is 19th in the league in rebounding with 44.9 boards a contest while the team stands 9th in assists by dishing out 25 dimes a night. The Heat stands 6th in the league in scoring defense as they allow 105.4 points per game. Jimmy Butler leads the team with 19.3 points, 6.5 rebounds and 5.5 assists per game this season. Goran Dragic contributes 16.7 points, 3.7 rebounds and 4.8 assists per contest while Kendrick Nunn chips in 16.6 points a night. Justise Winslow adds 13.8 points, eight rebounds and 4.8 assists per night. Bam Adebayo chips in 12.8 points, 9.3 rebounds plus 4.9 assists a game while Tyler Herro (13.1 points, 4.8 boards) and Duncan Robinson (8.8 points) are all putting together solid numbers in the early going. Miami is 12th in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 46.8 percent from the floor this season. The Heat stands 9th in threes per game by draining 12.6 triples per contest and the team is fifth in three-point shooting by hitting 37.8 percent from beyond the arc. Herro and Kelly Olynyk are questionable here while Winslow (concussion) is out.

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Miami was playing solid basketball until their road trip, where they sandwiched a win over Phoenix between one-sided losses to Denver and the Lakers. The Heat does have three days of rest in their back pocket coming into this one while the Pistons are playing the second game of a back to back. Detroit is still dealing with some injury issues as we aren’t sure what the status of Rose, Frazier and even Griffin is for the second game of this back to back set. Miami is 3-0 at home while the Pistons are 1-4 on the road this season. Give Miami the advantage as they take care of business in this contest.

 

Prediction: Miami Heat

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The Pistons have struggled this season, going 1-4 on the road coming into this contest. Detroit has dropped four straight on the road, scoring 113 points or less in each of those games. Miami is 3-0 at home on the season, winning all three games by at least 15 points. The Heat has a deep rotation that can overcome injury issues for short periods of time. Facing a tired Detroit team that is uncertain as to who will be on the floor for this contest, can the Heat take care of business?

The under is 4-1 in the Pistons' last five against Southeast Division teams and 7-2 in their last nine against teams with a winning record. Miami has seen the under go 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, 5-1 in their last six overall and 8-2 in their last 10 at home. Given the fact that the Pistons are banged up and gassed here, this one should end up under the total.

Prediction: Under
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Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.