Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#563 Oklahoma City Thunder 209.5 vs.
#564 Indiana Pacers -1.5
Tuesday, November 12, 2019 at 7:05pm EST
Bankers Life Fieldhouse, Indianapolis
Written by Chris Kubala

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#563 Oklahoma City
#564 Indiana
4-6
6-4
44-43
40-45-1
41-44-2
35-50-1
113
107
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It’s an interconference matchup on the hardwood at the pro level in the Hoosier State. The Oklahoma City Thunder is on the road as they make the trip to face the Indiana Pacers Tuesday night. Oklahoma City was edged 121-119 at home by Milwaukee in their last game on Sunday afternoon. Indiana turned back Orlando in a 109-102 road victory on Sunday in their previous contest. The Thunder leads the all-time regular-season series 51-38. Last season, the teams split two meetings with Oklahoma City earning a 107-99 home victory in the last contest on March 27, 2019.

Oklahoma City Thunder Looking for Road Victory

Oklahoma City had won three of their previous four contests as they were upended by the Bucks in a tight game Sunday. The Thunder entered Monday tied for the basement in the Northwest Division, 3.5 games behind the Nuggets. Oklahoma City led by six at the half and then was outscored 37-24 in the third quarter. The Thunder rallied in the fourth, tying the game at 114 with 33 seconds to play, but ran out of steam. Oklahoma City shot 49.5 percent from the field and hit 17 of 42 three-point attempts in the game. The Thunder did allow Milwaukee to shoot 56.6 percent from the floor in the contest and was dumped 48-35 on the glass. Dennis Schroder led Oklahoma City with 25 points, six rebounds, five assists and three steals in the loss.

The Thunder enters this one 21st in the league in scoring offense as they average 107.3 points per game. Oklahoma City is tied for 21st in rebounding with 44.4 boards a night while ranking 24th in assists by dishing out 21.8 per game. The Thunder stands seventh in the league in scoring defense by allowing 105.5 points per contest. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leads Oklahoma City with 21 points plus 5.8 rebounds per game on the season. Danilo Gallinari contributes 18.6 points plus five rebounds per game while Chris Paul chips in 16.1 points plus 5.2 assists a night. The Thunder needs more from Steven Adams (8.3 points, 10.1 rebounds) and Dennis Schroder (14.7 points, 5.2 rebounds, 4.7 assists) in order to get their offense going. Oklahoma City is 11th in the league in field goal percentage as they hit 46.1 percent from the floor as a team this season. The Thunder is 15th in threes made per game as they drain 11.5 per contest while ranking 7th by hitting 37.5 percent of their attempts from beyond the arc.

Indiana Pacers Try to Maintain Recent Momentum

Indiana started the year 0-3 but has won three straight and six of their last seven games heading into this one after downing Orlando. The Magic entered Tuesday second in the Central Division, one game behind the Bucks. Indiana trailed by as many as 13 in the first half and cut the deficit to nine at halftime. The Pacers closed the third quarter on a 10-1 run to take an 81-77 lead entering the fourth quarter. Indiana didn’t let Orlando closer than two in the fourth and pulled away late to earn the victory. The Pacers shot 52.2 percent from the field, including nine of 20 from three-point range, and won the rebounding battle 44-37 in the game. Domantas Sabonis led the team with 21 points, 16 rebounds and seven assists in the victory.

The Pacers enter this contest 17th in scoring offense with 109.3 points per game on the season. Indiana is 22nd in the league in rebounding with 44.4 boards per contest and stand 4th with 25.7 assists per game. The Pacers are tied for 8th in the league in scoring defense as they allow 106.3 points per game this season. Malcolm Brogdon leads the team with 20.9 points, 5.2 rebounds plus 8.9 assists per game this season. Domantas Sabonis (20 points, 13 rebounds), Myles Turner (14.8 points, 6.8 rebounds, 1.3 blocks), T.J. Warren (18 points) and Jeremy Lamb (17 points) are all contributing on the offensive end. The Pacers still miss Victor Oladipo, who is on the comeback trail after last season’s knee injury: he is expected to be re-evaluated later this month. Turner is week to week with an ankle injury: he misses his seventh straight game here. Lamb will miss his fourth straight game with an ankle injury here. Indiana is 4th in the league in field goal percentage as the team shoots 47.1 percent from the field this season. The Pacers are 30th in threes made per game as they have drained 8.5 triples a night while the team stands 18th in three-point shooting by hitting 34.8 percent from beyond the arc.

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Indiana has a ton of momentum as they have won six of their last seven games after their 0-3 start to the year. The Pacers are going to miss Turner and Lamb though they’ve had other guys step up and contribute in their absences of late. Oklahoma City has struggled at times this season and they continue to have problems on the road. The Thunder is 0-3 on the road as Adams has yet to get untracked. Oklahoma City’s rotation as a whole has yet to jell properly: with the Pacers 4-1 at home and having success, look for Indiana to get the win here.

Prediction: Indiana Pacers -3

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Indiana has played tough defense all season long, which is going to be a test for a Thunder team that has struggled offensively. Granted, Oklahoma City has put up at least 112 points in four of their last five games but they've been playing against some suspect defenses. In their lone game in that stretch against a good defense, they put up 102 points in an eight-point win against Orlando. The Pacers are clicking right now with six wins in their last seven games as they've been tough on both ends: can they do the job again here at home?

The under is 5-0 in the Thunder's last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record, 5-1 in their last 6 games following a straight up loss and 4-1 in their last five on Tuesday. Indiana has seen the under go 4-1 in their last five against Northwest Division teams and 5-2 in their last seven against Western Conference teams. The teams have stayed under the total in each of their last five meetings: look for this one to follow suit.

Prediction: Under 209.5
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Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.