Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#575 Portland Trail Blazers -1.5 vs.
#576 Sacramento Kings 227
Tuesday, November 12, 2019 at 10:05pm EST
Golden 1 Center, Sacramento
Written by Sporty Jordy

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#575 Portland
#576 Sacramento
4-6
3-6
52-45-1
45-36-1
52-45-1
40-41-1
113
114
110
115

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This article covers a past game!

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When and where: November 12, 2019, Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA, 10:00 PM ET

After putting an end to a four-game losing streak, the Portland Trail Blazers hope to continue that success on the road in Tuesday’s Western Conference meeting with the Sacramento Kings. It would seem as if the Trail Blazers are building up their confidence by using struggling, young teams as stepping stones. They trounced the Atlanta Hawks at home in a 124-113 victory, and they’ll look to do the same against a Kings team that only has three wins in its first 10 games of the season, including a recent win over the Hawks.

Trail Blazers end four-game losing streak

The Trail Blazers are only 10 games into the season, and there are already questions regarding the need to hit the reboot button. Those questions seemed to simmer down a bit after they played their way to the Western Conference Finals last season.

How could they not return after Damian Lillard dropped 60 points in a fourth consecutive loss to the Brooklyn Nets last Friday?

They did manage to end the losing streak by beating up on the Hawks (3-6) at home on Sunday, but no one is measuring their talent as a team with that win. The defensive struggles have crippled their ability to close out games. Most notably, they gave up 127 points a week ago to a Golden State Warriors team with virtually no star on the floor. So there is a strong likelihood they’ll struggle on Tuesday, even in a game against another young team in the Kings.

The Kings have scored 120-plus points in back-to-back games against the Hawks and Toronto Raptors. Unless Lillard puts on another otherworldly performance, it’s safe to assume the Trail Blazers wouldn’t be able to match that sort of scoring. They need help all-around, but they could really use some more offense at small forward. Mario Hezonja isn’t getting the job done with 11 total points in three games combined.

Rodney Hood could give the team a decent offensive burst if he returns to game action on Tuesday. He sat out the game against the Hawks and is officially day-to-day with a back injury.

Kings potentially suffer a blow with Fox injury

I can’t imagine a worse start to the Kings’ week than seeing star guard De’Aaron Fox go down with an ankle injury. Yet, that’s their new reality after a scare at practice on Monday. ESPN’s Adrian Wojnarowski and Zach Lowe reported Fox suffered what looked like an ankle sprain. After undergoing a medical evaluation, the report was confirmed as an ankle sprain with Fox expecting to be sidelined for at least three weeks.

He was averaging a team-high 18.2 points per game and 7.0 assists. That sort of production isn’t easily replaced, particularly in a match-up with one of the best guards in the game in Lillard. The Kings being without their floor general should mean extra minutes for veteran guard Cory Joseph.

Losing a player like Fox for any amount of time sends a ripple effect throughout the roster. The Kings already ranked in the bottom-half of the league in shooting percentage (44.4), and that number would dip even further without Fox on the floor setting up plays and feeding the ball to the open shooter.

They have also been a liability on defense this season. The team hopes to find some success against a Trail Blazers unit that leans so heavily on the scoring of Lillard and CJ McCollum. Perhaps the only silver lining is Joseph’s strong defensive abilities, but nothing is worth losing the two-way presence of an evolving young player like Fox.

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The absence of Fox in this game gives a huge advantage to the Trail Blazers at a position where they’ll have the best player on the floor. Joseph has proven himself to be a good defender, but he clearly isn’t good enough to stop Lillard from getting whatever he wants.

Even with the defensive struggles for the Trail Blazers, they’ll be taking on a Kings team ranking in the bottom-half of the league in shooting percentage (44.4) and points per game (105.4). So this isn’t one of those standout offensive teams that can really test the weaknesses of the Trail Blazers.

The combination of Lillard and McCollum will be too much for the Kings in this match-up. Along with the offensive shortcomings, the Kings also rank as the fourth-worst team in defensive efficiency. This is more of a right place and right time scenario for the Trail Blazers. I’ll gladly take them and the points for Tuesday’s game

Prediction: Portland Trail Blazers (+1.5)

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The Kings’ offensive efficiency, which was already suffering in the first place, will take a huge hit without Fox playing on Tuesday. Not only is he the team’s best scorer, but he’s also the player that predominantly handles the ball. I don’t have faith in the offense running through anyone else on their roster, particularly in a match-up against a team like the Trail Blazers. The Kings can find solace in the fact that no one else on Portland’s roster seems capable of getting buckets consistently outside of Lillard and McCollum. I’m taking the under betting total here.

Prediction: Under (227)
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Written By Jordy McElroy , "Sporty Jordy"

Born in Germany and raised in the beautiful state of Tennessee, Jordy McElroy is a storyteller of sports, a sports betting enthusiast and a semi-deep thinker. Being a New England Patriots fan means he's a six-time Super Bowl winner as well, which means you'd have to be a fool to ignore his advice. Prior to joining our team here at Winners & Whiners, Jordy’s work appeared on CNN.com, FOX Sports, Bleacher Report, USA TODAY and BJPenn.com. There are no beaches where he comes from -- just rolling hills, green valleys and all the Sun Drop you can drink.