Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#579 Memphis Grizzlies 220 vs.
#580 Charlotte Hornets -2.5
Wednesday, November 13, 2019 at 7:05pm EST
Spectrum Center, Charlotte
Written by Chris Kubala

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#579 Memphis
#580 Charlotte
3-7
4-6
39-42-1
39-41-2
36-45-1
45-36-1
103
110
106
111

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It’s an interconference matchup between a pair of teams from the southeast down in Buzz City. The Memphis Grizzlies are on the road as they make the trip to face the Charlotte Hornets Wednesday night. Memphis earned a 113-109 road win over San Antonio in their previous contest Monday night. Charlotte was dropped 114-106 on the road by Philadelphia in their previous game Sunday night. The Hornets own a 24-17 advantage in the all-time regular-season series and have won the last five matchups, including a 100-92 home win in the most recent matchup on February 1, 2019.

Memphis Grizzlies Look to Build Off Road Win

Memphis had dropped two straight and five of six before taking down San Antonio on the road in their last game. The Grizzlies are fourth in the Southwest Division after spoiling Tony Parker’s night, four games behind the Rockets. Memphis led by 13 after the opening quarter and by as many as 16 in the second only to see their lead trimmed to three at the half. The Grizzlies went up 13 again in the third quarter and led by 10 at the end of the third quarter. Memphis actually trailed by five with 4:53 to play before closing the game out on a 12-3 run to earn the win. The Grizzlies shot 50.6 percent from the field, including 11 of 28 from beyond the arc, and won the rebounding battle 47-42. Jaren Jackson Jr. led Memphis with 24 points in the victory.

The Grizzlies are 18th in the league in scoring offense as they put up 109.1 points per game on the year. Memphis stands 18th in the league in rebounding with 45.9 boards a night while the team is third by dishing out 26.4 assists per contest. The Grizzlies are 27th in the league in scoring defense as they allow 119 points per game on the year. Ja Morant leads Memphis with 17.8 points plus 5.2 assists per game this season. Dillon Brooks puts up 13.5 points a night while Jonas Valanciunas contributes 12.3 points and 9.1 rebounds per game. Brandon Clarke (11.8 points) and Jaren Jackson Jr. (14.1 points) are solid secondary options. Jae Crowder (10.1 points), Kyle Anderson and Tyus Jones are important rotation pieces for the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies are tied for 16th in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 45.4 percent from the floor as a team this season. Memphis is 25th in the league with 9.4 three-pointers a night while the team is 25th in three-point shooting as they hit 31.6 percent from beyond the arc this season.

Charlotte Hornets Hope to Bounce Back

Charlotte dropped their third straight as they were beaten in Philadelphia in the second game of a back to back situation Sunday. The Hornets entered Tuesday 2.5 games behind the Heat in the Southeast Division: they were in second place despite a 4-6 mark. Charlotte trailed by nine after the opening quarter, rallied to lead by five at the half and then trailed by seven after three quarters. The Hornets couldn’t muster a run in the final quarter, getting no closer than five with 34.2 seconds to play. Charlotte shot 45.2 percent from the field, including 14 of 33 from three-point range, and was dominated 49-31 on the glass. The Hornets were hurt by Philadelphia shooting 54.6 percent from the floor in the contest. Cody Zeller led the team with 24 points in the loss.

The Hornets are a below-average team offensively in the early part of the season, ranking 23rd in the league with 105.8 points per game. Charlotte is 29th in rebounding with 41.9 boards per game and 19th by dishing out 23.7 assists per contest. The Hornets are below average defensively this season as they are ranked 22nd in scoring defense by allowing 113.2 points per game. Terry Rozier is second on Charlotte with 15.2 points, 3.8 rebounds and 5.1 assists per game this season. PJ Washington (13.5 points, 6.4 rebounds), Devonte’ Graham (team-leading 17.9 points, 7.6 assists), Cody Zeller (12.9 points, 9.8 rebounds) and Miles Bridges (13 points, 5.6 rebounds) are all scoring in double figures. Dwayne Bacon, Malik Monk and Marvin Williams are solid contributors offensively as well. The Hornets are tied for 21st in field goal percentage as the team shoots 44.6 percent from the floor. Charlotte is 13th in the league with 12.2 threes per game while ranking tied for 11th in three-point shooting as they hit 36.1 percent from beyond the arc.

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Charlotte is slumping with three straight losses coming into this one. While Graham (first bench player with at least 15 points and 10 assists off the bench in consecutive games since 2015) and Washington have stepped up in a hurry, the team clearly lacks a proven go-to commodity. Memphis is coming off a solid win over the Spurs on the road as Morant leads the way for them along with Jackson Jr. to provide a quality young nucleus. The Grizzlies are the better team right now and they have a little momentum to lean on coming into the game. Memphis tightens up their defense and escapes with a victory in this contest.

Prediction: Memphis Grizzlies +1.5

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Both teams have had their struggles on the defensive end of the floor this season. Charlotte entered Tuesday's action 23rd in the league in scoring defense while Memphis was an abysmal 27th in that department. The grit and grind days of the Grizzlies are gone now and it's clear that with that went their ability to play any kind of decent defense. Memphis gave up 137 points to an Orlando team that averages close to 40 fewer points than that a game. Charlotte hasn't looked good recently either: will two days off fix their three losses in a four-day stretch prior to the breather?

The over is 4-0 in the Grizzlies' last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record, 7-1-1 in their last 9 Wednesday games and 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Charlotte has seen the over go 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. With both teams struggling to play defense this season, you have to think that this one will end up going over the total.

Prediction: Over 220
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Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.