Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#519 Indiana Pacers 226 vs.
#520 Houston Rockets -6
Friday, November 15, 2019 at 8:05pm EST
Toyota Center, Houston
Written by Chris Kubala

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#519 Indiana
#520 Houston
7-4
8-3
40-45-1
47-43-3
35-50-1
43-46-4
107
113
104
108

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It’s an interconference matchup between a couple of teams that have had success of late down in the Lone Star State. The Indiana Pacers are on the road as they travel to face the Houston Rockets Friday night. Indiana comes in off a 111-85 demolition of Oklahoma City at home Tuesday night in their previous contest. Houston defeated the Clippers 102-93 at home Wednesday night in their previous contest. The Rockets lead the all-time regular-season series 56-37 and have won the last four meetings, including a 115-103 home win in the most recent matchup on November 11, 2018.

Indiana Pacers Seek Fifth Straight Victory

Indiana had little problem dispatching Oklahoma City at home for their fourth straight win and their seventh victory in the last eight games. The Pacers entered Thursday second in the Central Division, a half-game behind the Bucks. Indiana led by six after the opening quarter and by 10 at the half. The Pacers put the game away by outscoring Oklahoma City 34-20 in the third quarter to put the game away. Indiana shot 48.9 percent from the field, including seven of 23 from beyond the arc, and won the rebounding battle 50-40. T.J. Warren had 23 points to lead the Pacers in the triumph.

The Pacers enter this contest 18th in scoring offense with 109.5 points per game on the season. Indiana is 19th in the league in rebounding with 44.8 boards per contest and stand tied for 7th with 25.7 assists per game. The Pacers are 5th in the league in scoring defense as they allow 104 points per game this season. Malcolm Brogdon leads the team with 20.7 points, 5.2 rebounds plus 8.5 assists per game this season. Domantas Sabonis (19.8 points, 13.3 rebounds), Myles Turner (14.8 points, 6.8 rebounds, 1.3 blocks), T.J. Warren (18.5 points) and Jeremy Lamb (17 points) are all contributing on the offensive end. The Pacers still miss Victor Oladipo, who is on the comeback trail after last season’s knee injury: he is expected to be re-evaluated later this month. Turner is week to week with an ankle injury: he misses his eighth straight game here. Lamb will miss his fifth straight game with an ankle injury here. Indiana is 3rd in the league in field goal percentage as the team shoots 47.4 percent from the field this season. The Pacers are 30th in threes made per game as they have drained 8.4 triples a night while the team stands tied for 17th in three-point shooting by hitting 34.5 percent from beyond the arc.

Houston Rockets Shoot for Sixth Straight Victory

Houston won their fifth straight game as they shut down the Clippers at home in their last contest. The Rockets entered Thursday leading the Southwest Division by 1.5 games over the Mavericks. Houston led by 16 after the opening quarter but found themselves in need of a late rally to earn the victory over the Clippers. The Rockets trailed 84-80 in the fourth quarter with under seven minutes to play but closed the game on a 22-9 run to earn the victory. Houston shot 38.4 percent from the field, hit 14 of 42 from three-point range, and prevailed thanks to their work at the charity stripe. The Rockets were 22 of 27 to the Clippers’ seven of 14. James Harden led Houston with 47 points, six rebounds and seven assists in the win.

The Rockets enter this contest third in the league with 118.6 points per game on the season. Houston is 8th in rebounding by collecting 47.3 boards a night while they are 23rd in assists with 22.2 dimes per contest. The Rockets are a dismal 24th in scoring defense as they give up an average of 116.1 points per game on the year. James Harden leads the team with 38.2 points plus 8.2 assists a night on the season. Russell Westbrook puts up 21.4 points, eight rebounds and 6.9 assists a night while Clint Capela contributes 13.4 points along with 12.5 rebounds per contest. PJ Tucker (10.2 points, 6.5 rebounds), Eric Gordon (10.9 points) and Danuel House Jr. (11.8 points) are solid contributors. Austin Rivers and Tyson Chandler are key pieces of the rotation as well for coach Mike D’Antoni. Houston is tied for 22nd in field goal percentage as they shoot 45.1 percent as a team from the floor. The Rockets are first in threes per game as they knock down 15.5 triples a night and stand 20th in three-point shooting by hitting only 33.6 percent from beyond the arc. Capela is expected to be out for this one after being evaluated for a concussion after Wednesday’s game. Gordon is expected to miss four to six weeks after undergoing knee surgery. Westbrook is expected to sit out either this one or Saturday’s game against Minnesota for rest purposes.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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Both teams have been rolling of late but this one is going to be tough sledding. Houston is dealing with a slew of injuries and the loss of Capela is a big one for the Rockets. His interior presence on both ends makes the Rockets a better team and with Nene still injured, there isn’t a lot of experience to work with. It wouldn’t be a surprise to see Westbrook rest in this one as it’s not against a conference foe. Indiana is going to be minus Turner and Lamb again so they’re nowhere near 100 percent either. The Pacers have thrived without that duo though, which is important. Give Indiana the upper hand in this one as they steal one on the road.

Prediction: Indiana Pacers +7.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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Both teams have been hot of late but the injury woes are piling up. Houston is going to have to try and figure out how to handle the paint on both ends with Capela out of the mix for this game at a minimum. Indiana is on a roll though missing Lamb and Turner is a blow to their rotation. Houston is clicking even with the questionable system of Harden and Westbrook sharing the backcourt. It's going to be interesting to see how things pan out in the long run with that pairing. Can they carry Houston with Gordon and Capela missing in action here?

The under is 4-0 in the Pacers' last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record and 27-8-1 in their last 36 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Houston has seen the under go 6-1 in their last seven overall, 6-1-1 in their last eight against Eastern Conference teams and 6-1 in their last seven after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. The teams have stayed under the total in six of the last seven meetings: look for this one to end up short of the number.

Prediction: Under 224.5
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Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.