Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#517 Washington Wizards 238 vs.
#518 Minnesota Timberwolves -7
Friday, November 15, 2019 at 8:05pm EST
Target Center, Minneapolis
Written by Chris Kubala

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#517 Washington
#518 Minnesota
2-7
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40-42
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44-38
114
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113

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It’s an interconference battle on the parquet floor in the Land of 10,000 Lakes. The Washington Wizards are on the road as they prepare to clash with the Minnesota Timberwolves Friday night. Washington was dropped 140-133 on the road by Boston Wednesday night in their previous contest. Minnesota came up with a 129-114 home triumph over San Antonio in their last contest Wednesday night. The Wizards lead the all-time regular-season series 32-26 but the Timberwolves have claimed the last two meetings. That includes a 131-109 road win in the first matchup this season on November 2.

Washington Wizards Hope to Earn Season Split

Washington had another big offensive performance go to waste as their defense proved to let them down in Beantown. The Wizards entered Thursday in the basement of the Southeast Division, five games behind the Heat. Washington trailed by two at the half and grabbed their last lead at 69-68 on an Isaiah Thomas three-pointer in the opening seconds of the second half. The Wizards quickly gave up a 12-2 run to trail 80-71 and never got closer than three the rest of the way. Washington shot 52.1 percent from the field, including 11 of 29 from beyond the arc, and lost the rebounding battle 44-36. Bradley Beal led the Wizards with 44 points and six assists in the loss.

The Wizards enter this contest eighth in the league in scoring offense as they put up an average of 115.6 points per game on the year. Washington is 25th in rebounding as they collect 42.9 boards per contest and are fifth by dishing out 26 assists per contest. The Wizards have been a sieve defensively, ranking 27th in the league in scoring defense by allowing 120 points per game. Bradley Beal leads the team with 28.1 points and 6.4 assists per game on the season. Isaiah Thomas puts up 13.9 points plus 6.3 assists a night while rookie Rui Hachimura adds 14.4 points and 5.9 boards a night. Davis Bertans (11.8 points), Thomas Bryant (14.7 points, 9.3 rebounds) and Moritz Wagner (10.9 points) are all averaging in double figures. The Wizards need more from Ish Smith and Isaac Bonga if those two are going to remain in the starting lineup. Washington is tied for 11th in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 46.1 percent from the floor as a team on the year. The Wizards are tied for 13th in the league in threes per game as they drain 12.1 triples a night while the team stands tied for 17th in three-point shooting by hitting 34.5 percent of their attempts from beyond the arc.

Minnesota Timberwolves Look to Stay Hot

Minnesota won their second straight and their third in the last four games as they rolled past San Antonio at home in their last game. The Timberwolves entered Thursday third in the Northwest Division, one game behind the Jazz. Minnesota led by two after the opening quarter and six at the half only to see San Antonio come back to tie the game midway through the third quarter. The Timberwolves went on an 11-2 run to go up 94-85 and held San Antonio at bay the rest of the way. Minnesota shot 49.5 percent from the field, knocked down 11 of 34 from three-point range, and drained 28 of 34 at the charity stripe in the win. Andrew Wiggins finished with 30 points, eight rebounds and seven assists in the win.

The Timberwolves enter this one fourth in the league in scoring offense as they average 117.2 points per game this season. Minnesota is seventh in the league in rebounding as they collect 47.4 boards per contest and 18th as they dish out 23.9 assists per game. The Timberwolves are 25th in the league in scoring defense as they allow 116.2 points per contest. Karl-Anthony Towns is second on the team with 25.8 points, 12 rebounds and 4.2 assists per game. Andrew Wiggins contributes 25.9 points a night, Jeff Teague puts up 13.9 points plus 6.3 assists a night while Robert Covington (11.8 points) and Josh Okogie (8.5 points) are solid scoring options as well. Minnesota is 24th in field goal percentage as they shoot 44 percent from the floor this season. The Timberwolves are 12th by knocking down 12.3 threes per game while the team is 28th by shooting only 30.9 percent from beyond the arc as a team this season.

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The Timberwolves have momentum with three wins in their last four games and they are at home in this contest. Washington has been very good offensively but they have been atrocious on the defensive end of the floor. The Wizards have already lost three games this season where they have scored at least 122 points, which is a major cause for concern for coach Scott Brooks. Washington is just 1-5 on the road this season and until they can tighten up defensively, it’s hard to trust them. Minnesota, led by Wiggins and Towns, gets the victory here to stay in the Northwest Division hunt.

 

Prediction: Minnesota Timberwolves -7

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Washington's defense has been a sieve this season and that is being generous. We've seen the Wizards allow 118 points a game in their five road games this season. Five times, Washington has already allowed at least 120 points a game with two games of at least 140 points. The Wizards gave up 131 to Minnesota in their first meeting this season, which came at home. Seeing how the Timberwolves are averaging 114.8 points per game at home, you have to think that they can take advantage of the weak Washington defense. Will this one end up as another high-scoring affair?

The over is 7-2 in the Wizards' last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 22-9-1 in their last 32 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Minnesota has seen the over go 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record, 6-0 in their last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points and 6-0 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Look for this one to go over the mark in a game where Washington's defense is torched again.

Prediction: Over 240
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Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.