Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#547 Boston Celtics -2.5 vs.
#548 Sacramento Kings 217.5
Sunday, November 17, 2019 at 3:35pm EST
Golden 1 Center, Sacramento
Written by Chris Kubala



#547 Boston
#548 Sacramento


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It’s a battle of teams from the opposite coasts out on the west coast. The Boston Celtics are on the road as they continue a road swing out west with a stop against the Sacramento Kings Sunday afternoon. Boston rolls in off a 105-100 road victory over a beaten-up Golden State squad Friday night in their previous contest. Sacramento was edged 99-97 on the road by the Lakers in a Pacific Division tilt on Friday night the last time they took the floor. The Celtics lead the all-time regular season series 185-116 and have taken the last four meetings. In the most recent matchup, Boston picked up a 126-120 home win on March 14, 2019.

Boston Celtics Shoot for 11th Straight Triumph

Boston had their hands full with an undermanned but game Golden State team but prevailed on the road for a 10th straight victory. The Celtics entered Saturday holding the top spot in the Atlantic Division by two games over the Raptors. Boston trailed by as many as 15 in the opening quarter and by nine at the end of the stanza. The Celtics rallied to take a one-point halftime lead and were up five after three quarters. Golden State rallied to lead by five in the fourth and held a one-point lead when Jayson Tatum had a dunk off a jump ball with 1:36 to play to give Boston a 98-97 lead. That was part of an 11-0 Boston run to go from down 97-92 to up 103-97: they held on for the win. In the game, the Celtics shot only 40.7 percent from the field, including 13 of 33 from three-point range. Boston did benefit from 20 Golden State turnovers in the contest. Tatum led the way with 24 points for the Celtics in the win.

The Celtics enter this contest ranked 8th in the league in scoring offense with an average of 115.1 points per game this season. Boston is 15th in rebounding by pulling down 46.3 rebounds per contest and stand tied for 11th in assists with 24.6 dimes per game. On the season, Boston is seventh in the league in scoring defense by allowing 106.3 points per contest. The Celtics are led offensively by Kemba Walker, who puts up 24.5 points, 5.1 rebounds and 4.5 assists per game on the year. Jayson Tatum puts up 20.2 points plus 7.6 boards a night while Jaylen Brown (20.4 points, seven rebounds), Gordon Hayward (18.9 points, 7.3 boards) and Marcus Smart (12 points, 4.6 assists) are solid contributors offensively. Enes Kanter has missed seven straight games with a knee bruise he sustained in his team debut. Boston is 18th in the league in field goal percentage by shooting 45.3 percent from the floor as a team on the year. The Celtics are 9th in three-pointers per game as they drain 13 triples per night while they rank 7th by hitting 37.2 percent of their attempts from beyond the arc. Hayward fractured his left hand November 9 against the Spurs and is expected to miss four to six weeks after surgery.

Sacramento Kings Look to Bounce Back

Sacramento went to the wire but ended up falling a bucket short on the road against the Lakers. The Kings entered Saturday fourth in the Pacific Division, 5.5 games behind the Lakers in the standings. Sacramento was up 10 after the opening quarter but saw their lead trimmed to one at the half. The Kings trailed by four after three quarters and were tied in the dying seconds. Sacramento gave up the go-ahead free throws with 5.5 seconds to play and had a chance for the tying bucket blocked with 2.3 seconds to play. The Kings shot 43.9 percent from the field, including 16 of 39 from three-point range, and turned the ball over 18 times. Buddy Hield led Sacramento with 21 points in the loss.

The Kings enter this contest 26th in the league in scoring offense as they put up an average of 104.8 points per game this season. Sacramento is tied for 27th in rebounding with 42.2 boards per game and 24th in assists by dishing out 21.7 dimes per contest. The Kings are 13th in the league in scoring defense as they allow 109.3 points a night this season. De’Aaron Fox is second on Sacramento with 18.2 points plus seven assists a night on the season. Buddy Hield contributes a team-high 18.5 points a game while Harrison Barnes (15 points, 5.4 rebounds) and Richaun Holmes (10.7 points, 7.4 rebounds) are contributing in the early going. Nemanja Bjelica, Bogdan Bogdanovic (13.7 points), Cory Joseph, Dewayne Dedmon and Trevor Ariza need to put more points on the board to help the team. Marvin Bagley III suffered a fractured thumb in the opener and is expected to be out until late-November. Sacramento is tied for 21st in the league in field goal percentage as they hit 44.3 percent from the floor this season. The Kings are 7th in threes per game as they splash 13.3 triples a night while they are 5th in three-point shooting by connecting on 37.5 percent from beyond the arc. Fox is expected to miss three to four weeks with an ankle sprain.

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Sacramento is struggling at the moment and injuries are taking a toll. Missing Bagley III and Fox takes away a pair of starters from their ideal rotation. That’s tough sledding for any team, especially when it comes to facing a Boston team that is deep and talented. The Celtics have won 10 straight games coming into this contest even with Hayward missing. Boston has plenty of talent to work with and they are a dangerous team. We’ve seen the Celtics have success on this road trip and there’s little reason to think things will be different here. Give Boston the upper hand in this contest.

Prediction: Boston Celtics -2.5

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Boston is rolling right now with 10 straight victories coming into this one and they have had success regardless of the venue. The Celtics are clicking right now as they are coming up with clutch plays on both ends when they need them. Sacramento is inconsistent and they are dealing with injury issues. Losing Bagley III in the season opener was tough but having Fox go down for multiple weeks is a major blow. He is an expert that runs the offense and is the straw that stirs the drink so to speak. Can the Kings adjust and adapt or will they continue to flounder?

The under is 6-2 in the Celtics' last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and 5-2 in their last seven on the road. Sacramento has seen the under go 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600, 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game and 5-2 in their last 7 games following an ATS win. The teams have stayed under the number in each of the last four meetings in Sacramento. Boston's defense does the job to help keep this one under the number.

Prediction: Under 216.5

Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.