Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#579 Phoenix Suns 220.5 vs.
#580 Sacramento Kings -2.5
Tuesday, November 19, 2019 at 10:05pm EST
Golden 1 Center, Sacramento
Written by Chris Kubala

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W/L
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#579 Phoenix
#580 Sacramento
7-5
5-7
36-46
45-36-1
38-44
40-41-1
107
114
116
115

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It’s a Pacific Division matchup on the hardwood from the capital city of California. The Phoenix Suns are on the road as they travel to face the Sacramento Kings Tuesday night. Phoenix was at home as they faced the Celtics on Monday night, losing 99-85 in their previous contest. Sacramento edged Boston 100-99 at home on Sunday afternoon in their previous contest. The Suns own a 136-95 advantage in the all-time regular season series between the teams, including a 124-95 home win in the first matchup this season on October 23.

Phoenix Suns Play Second Game of Back to Back

Phoenix was in action against Boston on Monday night so they’re on the road for the second game of a back to back set here. The Suns were unable to get much offense going against the tough Celtics’ defense and it cost them. Phoenix trailed by four after the opening quarter but was outscored 31-20 in the second to trail by 15 at halftime. The Suns were unable to get closer than nine in the second half as the Celtics kept them in check. Phoenix shot only 40.2 percent from the field, including 10 of 36 from three-point range, and turned the ball over 19 times in the loss. Devin Booker led the Suns with 20 points in the loss.

The Suns are 4th in the league in scoring with an average of 117.6 points per game. The Suns are 28th on the glass by collecting 42.2 boards per game. Phoenix stands 1st in the league in assists with 28.8 per contest. Phoenix is 16th in the league in scoring defense as they allow 110.5 points a night. Devin Booker leads the Suns with 25.5 points plus 5.9 assists per game on the year. Kelly Oubre Jr. (16.9 points, 5.5 rebounds), Aron Baynes (15 points, 5.5 boards), Ricky Rubio (13.6 points, 6.3 rebounds, 8.7 assists), Dario Saric (11.3 points, six rebounds) and Frank Kaminsky (10.6 points, six rebounds) are each averaging in double figures. The Suns are 3rd in the league in field goal percentage at 47.5 percent so far. The Suns are 5th in three pointers per game with 13.6 per contest. Phoenix is 3rd in three-point percentage as they splash 38.8 percent of their chances from long range. The Suns will be even better once Deandre Ayton returns from his 25-game suspension for PEDs: he’s played just one game this season.

Sacramento Kings Try to Make it Back to Back Wins

Sacramento snapped Boston’s 10-game win streak as they held on for a narrow victory at home Sunday afternoon. The Kings entered Monday fourth in the Pacific Division, 5.5 games behind the Lakers in the division race. Sacramento led by 12 after the opening quarter against Boston before seeing their lead trimmed to four at the half. The Kings were down four after three quarters and trailed by five with 3:48 to go. Sacramento took the lead on two free throws by Richaun Holmes with 13.3 seconds to play and withstood Marcus Smart’s attempted game-winning jumper that rimmed out. The Kings shot 42.7 percent from the field, including 14 of 35 three-point attempts and limited the Celtics to 41.5 percent shooting in the contest. Buddy Hield led Sacramento with 35 points and six rebounds in the victory.

The Kings enter this contest tied for 27th in the league in scoring offense as they put up an average of 104.4 points per game this season. Sacramento is 27th in rebounding with 42.4 boards per game and 24th in assists by dishing out 21.8 dimes per contest. The Kings are 13th in the league in scoring defense as they allow 108.4 points a night this season. De’Aaron Fox is second on Sacramento with 18.2 points plus seven assists a night on the season. Buddy Hield contributes a team-high 19.9 points a game while Harrison Barnes (14.8 points, 5.2 rebounds) and Richaun Holmes (10.6 points, 7.7 rebounds) are contributing in the early going. Nemanja Bjelica, Bogdan Bogdanovic (13.6 points), Cory Joseph, Dewayne Dedmon and Trevor Ariza need to put more points on the board to help the team. Marvin Bagley III suffered a fractured thumb in the opener and is expected to be out until late-November. Sacramento is tied for 22nd in the league in field goal percentage as they hit 44.2 percent from the floor this season. The Kings are 6th in threes per game as they splash 13.3 triples a night while they are 6th in three-point shooting by connecting on 37.7 percent from beyond the arc. Fox is expected to miss three to four weeks with an ankle sprain.

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Phoenix has played well in the early going this season but they are playing the second game of a back to back situation. The Suns are on the road for just the fourth time this season in this contest. Sacramento comes in off a win over the Celtics in what was arguably their biggest win in quite some time. The Kings clamped down defensively to come up with the victory. Sacramento had a day off to rest and recover after that win: look for them to take advantage of a tired Phoenix team to defend their home floor and earn the victory.

Prediction: Sacramento Kings -2

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Phoenix was completely stymied by the Boston defense Monday night, falling more than 32 points below their season average. The Suns now have to play the second game of a back to back and face a Sacramento team that bested the Celtics Sunday. Sacramento has shown progress on the defensive end of the floor even with Bagley III and Fox missing from the mix. The Kings have to generate more offensive production in order to have success. That means getting more consistent output from other guys to help Hield shoulder the load. Can Sacramento wear down the Suns in this one?

The under is 10-3 in the Suns' last 13 against Pacific Division teams and 5-2 in their last seven against Western Conference teams. Sacramento has seen the under go 5-0 in their last five against Western Conference foes, 5-0 in their last five against the Pacific Division and 4-1 in their last five at home. The last four meetings between the teams have stayed under the total. Look for this one to be similar with the Suns being a bit fatigued and the Kings content to grind out a win.

Prediction: Under 220.5
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Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.