Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#575 Portland Trail Blazers 231.5 vs.
#576 New Orleans Pelicans -1.5
Tuesday, November 19, 2019 at 8:05pm EST
Smoothie King Center, New Orleans
Written by Chris Kubala

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#575 Portland
#576 New Orleans
5-9
4-9
52-45-1
38-43-1
52-45-1
44-37-1
113
115
110
116

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A pair of Western Conference teams looking to get things going in a positive direction take the floor in the Big Easy. The Portland Trail Blazers are on the road as they face the New Orleans Pelicans Tuesday night. Portland was in action on the road Monday night as they faced the Rockets in Houston. New Orleans defeated Golden State 108-100 at home Sunday night in their previous game. The Trail Blazers lead the all-time regular season series between the teams 33-25 and have won the last four meetings. That includes a 122-110 road win in the most recent matchup on March 15, 2019.

Portland Trail Blazers Look for Back to Back Wins

Portland had dropped six of their previous seven games before coming up with the victory over San Antonio on the road Saturday night. The Trail Blazers enter this one in the basement of the Northwest Division, five games behind the Nuggets for the top spot. Portland was up one after the opening quarter but was outscored 35-20 in the second to trail by 14 at the half. The Trail Blazers were down by as many as 28 in the second half and never drew closer than 11. Portland shot 41.7 percent from the field, including 11 of 36 from three-point range, and turned the ball over 17 times in the loss. C.J. McCollum led the Trail Blazers with 25 points in the loss.

The Trail Blazers come into this one 11th in the league in scoring with 112.8 points per game. The Trail Blazers are tied for 10th in the league in rebounding as they collect 46.5 boards a night. Portland is 30th in the league in assists with 17.8 per contest. The Trail Blazers are average defensively as they come in 21st in the league by allowing 114.1 points a night. Damian Lillard leads the team with 29.8 points plus 6.8 assists per contest. CJ McCollum chips in 21.5 points a night while Hassan Whiteside contributes 15.3 points and 12.2 rebounds per contest. Rodney Hood (12.4 points) and Anfernee Simons (11.4 points) are contributing but injuries have taken a toll. Jusuf Nurkic remains out after last season’s broken leg while Zach Collins (shoulder) and Pau Gasol (foot) are also out. As a result, the Trail Blazers signed Carmelo Anthony to a contract: he could make his debut here but it’s unclear. Portland is tied for 22nd in the league in field goal percentage by shooting 44.2 percent from the floor. The Trail Blazers are knocking down 12.2 three pointers a night, which is tied for 13th in the league, while ranking 14th in the league by shooting 35.6 percent from downtown.

New Orleans Pelicans Trying to Build Momentum

New Orleans won for the third time in five games after their 1-8 start to the season as they took down Golden State at home. The Pelicans entered Monday in the basement of the Southwest Division, six games behind the Rockets. New Orleans scored the first five points of the game and never trailed: the game was only tied once, at 21, the entire game after the opening tip. The Pelicans saw a 15-point third-quarter lead trimmed to three early in the fourth but maintained their edge. New Orleans shot 41.6 percent from the field, including draining 18 of 46 from three-point range, and controlled the glass by a 48-43 margin. JJ Redick led the Pelicans with 26 points in the victory.

The Pelicans are seventh in the league in scoring offense as they average 115.7 points per game on the season. New Orleans is 17th in rebounding by collecting 45.4 boards a night while the team ranks sixth in assists by dishing out 26.2 dimes a night. The Pelicans are 29th in the league in scoring defense as they allow 120 points per game so far this year. Brandon Ingram leads the team in scoring with 25.9 points per game along with 7.3 rebounds and 3.9 assists this season. Josh Hart contributes 12.6 points plus 6.6 boards a night while Lonzo Ball (11.5 points, 6.1 assists), Jrue Holiday (17.2 points, 7.1 assists), Jahlil Okafor (9.9 points), JJ Redick (13.8 points) and Derrick Favors (8.3 points, 8.9 rebounds) are key rotation pieces. Favors missed three straight games with knee soreness before returning against Brooklyn November 4 while Zion Williamson remains out as he recovers from knee surgery. New Orleans is 14th in field goal percentage by shooting 45.7 percent from the field as a team this season. The Pelicans are second in the league in threes per game as they knock down 15.1 triples per contest and stand 5th in three-point shooting by hitting 38.1 percent from beyond the arc.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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Portland is playing the second game of a back to back situation here and that’s going to be an issue here. The Trail Blazers are lacking much in the way of frontcourt depth and it will be interesting to see how Anthony eventually slots into the rotation. New Orleans has won three of five after losing eight of their first nine games. The Pelicans have had a couple of days off and they are at home. Holiday and company have played better of late: playing at home against a tired Portland team missing key components gives them the upper hand.

 

Prediction: New Orleans Pelicans +3.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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Portland is logging the ever-popular second game of a back to back situation. Surprisingly, the Trail Blazers are logging their 10th road game of the season already in this contest. Portland has been mediocre on the defensive end of the floor and their frontcourt depth is atrocious. The Pelicans have looked better of late and they're starting to put things together. New Orleans still has plenty of work to do in order to even become average on the defensive end. Will the Trail Blazers find a way to dial things up and take advantage of the Pelicans' soft defense?

The over is 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record, 4-1 in their last five against Southwest Division teams and 10-3-1 in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. New Orleans has seen the over go 9-4 in their last 13 against Western Conference foes. The teams have gone over the total in four of their last five meetings: look for this one to follow suit in a track meet.

Prediction: Over
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Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.