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Golden State Warriors vs. San Antonio Spurs,
11-2-2017 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#501 Golden State
Warriors
#502 San Antonio
Spurs

Thursday, November 2, 2017 at 8:15pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Golden State Warriors

5 - 3

51-45
ATS
45-53
O/U
116
PPG
104
OPPG

San Antonio Spurs

4 - 3

50-46
ATS
55-41
O/U
105
PPG
99
OPPG

Betting Trends

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Golden State Warriors (5-3 SU, 2-6 ATS, 6-2 O/U) vs. San Antonio Spurs (4-3 SU, 3-4 ATS, 3-4 O/U)

NBA: Thursday, November 2, 2017, AT&T Center, San Antonio, Texas, 8 pm ET

Line: Golden State -6.5; Over/Under: 218

It’s a matchup between a pair of Western Conference powerhouses looking to make an impact down in the Lone Star State. The defending champions, the Golden State Warriors, take their act on the road as they take on the San Antonio Spurs Thursday night. Golden State bounced back from a home loss to the Pistons by bombing the Clippers 141-113 on the road Monday night. San Antonio dropped their third in a row with a 108-94 road loss at Boston Monday night. The Spurs hold a 106-57 advantage in the all-time regular season series and took two of three meetings in the regular season last year. The Warriors got the last laugh, sweeping San Antonio in the Western Conference Finals.

Golden State Warriors Seeking Consistency

Golden State blew the Clippers out Monday night and have had two days to bask in the glory of that win. The Warriors still are looking for some consistency: after going 36-5 at home last season, they are just 2-2 at the Oracle Arena this year. Golden State led by six after one quarter and extended the lead to 17 at the half before piling on in the second half. The Warriors shot a blistering 58.4 percent from the field and knocked down 14 of 29 three-point attempts in the contest. Golden State owned a 46-35 edge on the glass and assisted on 37 of their 52 field goals in the win. Stephen Curry led the Warriors with 31 points plus six assists in the win.

The Warriors come into this one #1 in the league in scoring with 121 points per game. Golden State stands 14th in rebounding with 45.3 per contest. The Warriors are leading the league by dishing out 30.9 assists a night. Golden State is scuffling defensively as they are 27th in scoring defense, allowing 114.1 points a night. Kevin Durant is the team’s second-leading scorer this season, posting 25.4 points and 7.8 rebounds per game. Stephen Curry leads the team with 28 points plus 6.3 assists while Klay Thompson contributes 21 points a night. Draymond Green is chipping in with 8.3 points, 8.3 rebounds and 7.3 assists so far this year. Zaza Pachulia, Andre Iguodala, David West, Nick Young and Shaun Livingston are key complementary pieces for the Warriors’ rotation. The Warriors are first in the league, shooting 52.4 percent from the floor as a team. Golden State is 2nd with 13.4 triples a night while the team stands 3rd by sinking 39.9 percent of their attempts from beyond the arc.

San Antonio Spurs Look to Avoid Fourth Straight Loss

San Antonio has dropped three in a row after starting the season 4-0 and a major reason why is their lack of offense. In those three losses, the Spurs have scored 87, 94 and 94 points while giving up 114, 97 and 108 points. Certainly, these numbers will improve when Kawhi Leonard and Tony Parker are back but the fact remains that right now, they’re not getting it done. San Antonio trailed by five at the half but was outscored 26-18 in the decisive third quarter. The Spurs were unable to overcome 41.4 percent shooting from the floor despite going 12 of 26 from beyond the arc, in part due to a 54-40 beating on the glass.

The Spurs are below average offensively this season, ranking 27th in scoring offense with 98.1 points per game. San Antonio is 4th in rebounding with 47.7 boards a contest while the team is tied for 20th in assists with 20.9 dimes per game. San Antonio is 7th in the league in scoring defense as they allow 98.9 points a game. Kawhi Leonard is still out of the mix and the team hopes to have him back in the near future. LaMarcus Aldridge contributes a team-leading 23.6 points plus 8.4 rebounds a night while Manu Ginobili chips in 7.7 points per game. Pau Gasol averages 10.1 points and eight rebounds in his second year with the team., Tony Parker (once he returns), Rudy Gay (12.1 points) and Danny Green (11.1 points) all are looked at to contribute for coach Gregg Popovich’s team. The Spurs are tied for 24th in the league by shooting 42.8 percent from the field. San Antonio is 30th in three-point field goals per game with seven per contest. The Spurs are 25th in the league by knocking down 33.1 percent of their long-range attempts.

Trends:

Golden State

  • Warriors are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600
  • Warriors are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 road games
  • Warriors are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record

San Antonio

  • Spurs are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight-up loss
  • Spurs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game
  • Spurs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points

Golden State showed how dangerous of a team the defending champions can be with their emphatic dissection of the Clippers. The Warriors are dangerous from the perimeter and they are unselfish with the ball, creating open shots for anyone on the floor. San Antonio has really bogged down offensively without Leonard in the mix as their creator and primary scoring option. The Spurs have dropped three straight and haven’t done much to write home about on the offensive end of the floor in any of those games. It’s tough to like them here, especially against the #1 scoring offense in the league. The Warriors’ high octane offense and tremendous depth is the difference in this one.

Pick: Golden State Warriors -6.5

These two teams have been at the top of the Western Conference standings for the past few years. Once Leonard comes back, it’s safe to assume San Antonio will get things together and go on a run but in the interim, the Spurs have issues. Golden State will push the tempo and force San Antonio to try and keep up. The Warriors are the league’s top shooting team by a wide margin in the early going and if their defense tightens up even a little, wins like the one over the Clippers could be an average margin of victory for this squad.

The over is 5-0 in the Warriors’ last 5 games playing on 2 days rest, 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record, 9-1 in their last 10 vs. Western Conference opponents, 8-1 in their last night against the Southwest Division and 12-2 in their last 14 road contests. San Antonio has seen the over go 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, 4-0 in their last four games against the Pacific Division and 7-1 in their last eight at home. Given the way the Warriors are scoring points, this one seems poised to go over the number.

Over 218

4

Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.

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