Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#509 Golden State Warriors vs.
#510 Dallas Mavericks
Wednesday, November 20, 2019 at 7:35pm EST
American Airlines Center, Dallas
Written by Chris Kubala

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W/L
ATS
O/U
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#509 Golden State
#510 Dallas
3-12
8-5
44-58-2
46-34-2
51-52-1
37-44-1
116
108
111
110

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It’s a battle of Western Conference teams on the parquet floor in the Lone Star State. The Golden State Warriors are on the road as they take on the Dallas Mavericks Wednesday night. Golden State comes in off a 114-95 road victory over Memphis Tuesday night in their previous contest. Dallas knocked off San Antonio 117-110 at home on Monday night in their last game. The Mavericks lead the all-time regular season series between the teams 81-78 but the Warriors have won 12 of the last 14 meetings. Last season, the teams split four games with the Mavericks taking a 126-91 road win in the most recent matchup on March 23, 2019.

Golden State Warriors Try to Cap Back to Back With Victory

Golden State snapped a seven-game slide as they knocked off Memphis on the road Tuesday night. The Warriors close a back to back here sitting in the basement of the Pacific Division, nine games behind the Lakers. Golden State was down two after the opening quarter but used a 23-2 run to take a 54-34 lead in the second quarter and didn’t look back en route to the victory. The Warriors shot 47.8 percent from the field despite going nine of 29 from three-point range and controlled the glass by a 51-37 margin. Alec Burks led Golden State with 29 points and eight rebounds in the win.

The Warriors are 18th in the league in scoring offense with an average of 108.8 points per game on the year. Golden State is 23rd in rebounding by collecting 44.3 boards a night and stands 14th by dishing out 23.9 assists per contest. The Warriors have been terrible defensively, ranking 28th in the league as they allow 119 points per game. D’Angelo Russell leads the team with 24.3 points per game this season. Stephen Curry contributes 20.3 points plus 6.5 assists a night while Eric Paschall (16.7 points), Alec Burks (13.5 points) and Glenn Robinson (10.6 points, 5.5 rebounds) are solid scoring options. Golden State shoots 43.2 percent from the floor as a team on the year, which is 27th in the league. The Warriors are 26th in the league as they connect on 9.6 three-pointers a night while ranking 27th as they are shooting 31.5 percent from beyond the arc. Curry is out until sometime in the spring more than likely with a broken hand while Russell is likely out until the beginning of December with a sprained thumb.

Dallas Mavericks Look to Win Third Straight

Dallas earned a second straight win as they knocked off San Antonio for a divisional win Monday night. The Mavericks entered Tuesday second in the Southwest Division, 2.5 games behind the Rockets. Dallas was up 14 after the opening quarter and held the lead the rest of the way. The Mavericks saw San Antonio get within two with just over four minutes to play but came up with the victory. Dallas shot an even 50 percent from the floor, including 17 of 41 from three-point range, and overcame a 48-41 disadvantage on the glass. Luka Doncic led the way for the Mavericks with 42 points, 11 rebounds and 12 assists in the win.

The Mavericks enter this contest eighth in the league in scoring offense with 114.1 points per game on the season. Dallas stands third in rebounding with 47.5 boards per game while they rank 13th in assists by dishing out 24.1 dimes per contest. The Mavericks are 17th in scoring defense as they allow an average of 110.8 points per game on the year. Luka Doncic leads the team with 29.5 points, 10.7 rebounds and 9.3 assists per contest this season. Kristaps Porzingis contributes 18.6 points plus 8.9 rebounds per game while Tim Hardaway Jr. (10.2 points) is also a solid contributor on the offensive end. Maxi Kleber (9.2 points), Seth Curry and Dwight Powell are key pieces in the Mavericks’ rotation. Dallas is 14th in field goal percentage as they shoot 45.3 percent as a team from beyond the arc. The Mavericks are tied for fifth by knocking down 13.3 three-pointers per contest on the year. Dallas stands tied for 22nd in three-point shooting as they hit 33.6 percent from beyond the arc this season.

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Golden State may have beaten Memphis but they are playing the second game of a back to back here. The Warriors are just 3-12 overall and 2-6 on the road this season. Golden State is missing a slew of players and look nothing like the team that has made five straight trips to the NBA Finals. Dallas has been solid as the Doncic/Porzingis duo has done plenty of damage on the offensive end of the floor this season. The Mavericks are at home and they are rested for this contest. Dallas gets the upper hand in this one to run their win streak to three.

Prediction: Dallas Mavericks -13.5

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Golden State is nothing like the team we've seen in recent years. The only starter playing right now from those title teams is Draymond Green and asking him to carry a collection of misfit toys and vagabond gunners is too much. Russell going down made life even more miserable for Steve Kerr and company as they play their first season in the Chase Center. Dallas has been terrific as Doncic and Porzingis are meshing well while other guys are stepping up to contribute. The Mavericks seem relevant in the Western Conference: can they deliver another body blow to the reeling Warriors?

The over is 6-1 in the Warriors' last 7 games following a straight up win, 5-1 in the second game of their last six back to back situations and 7-2 in their last nine after an ATS win. Dallas has seen the over go 6-0 in their last six against Western Conference teams, 5-0 in their last five after an ATS win and 6-1 in their last seven after a straight up win. The teams have gone over the number in each of the last four meetings in Dallas and five of the last six overall. Dallas may have to do more of the heavy lifting but they should be able to help ease this one past the mark.

Prediction: Over 221.5
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Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.