Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#503 San Antonio Spurs -2 vs.
#504 Washington Wizards 239.5
Wednesday, November 20, 2019 at 7:05pm EST
Capital One Arena, Washington
Written by Chris Kubala

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#503 San Antonio
#504 Washington
5-9
3-8
47-40-2
36-44-2
47-42
50-32
110
114
109
116

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It’s an interconference matchup on the hardwood in the nation’s capital. The San Antonio Spurs are on the road as they travel to face the Washington Wizards Wednesday night. San Antonio was dropped 117-110 on the road by Dallas in their last game Monday night. Washington was dropped 125-121 on the road by Orlando Sunday night in their previous contest. The Spurs own a 61-33 advantage in the all-time regular-season series between the teams and have won the last three meetings, including a 124-122 home win in the first matchup this season on October 26.

San Antonio Spurs Try to Halt Skid, Sweep Season Series

San Antonio suffered their sixth straight loss as they were dropped by Dallas in their last contest. The Spurs entered Tuesday fourth in the Southwest Division, six games behind the Rockets in the standings. San Antonio was down 14 after the opening quarter and was unable to climb all the way back. The Spurs were down 10 at the half and by 14 after three quarters. San Antonio got back within two at 106-104 with 4:07 to play before getting outscored 11-6 down the stretch. The Spurs shot 45.8 percent from the field, including eight of 24 from three-point range, but allowed Dallas to shoot an even 50 percent in the game. DeMar DeRozan led San Antonio with 36 points and eight boards in the loss.

The Spurs are average offensively this season, ranking 13th in scoring offense with 112.2 points per game. San Antonio is 4th in rebounding with 47.5 boards a contest while the team is 18th in assists with 23.6 dimes per game. San Antonio is 22nd in the league in scoring defense as they allow 114.6 points a game. DeMar DeRozan leads the team with 21 points per contest this season. LaMarcus Aldridge (18.3 points, 6.6 rebounds), Bryn Forbes (14.2 points) and Derrick White (9.9 points) are solid contributors as well on the offensive end. Dejounte Murray (10.6 points, 6.9 rebounds, 4.7 assists), Patty Mills (12 points) and Rudy Gay (11.2 points, 6.5 rebounds) are solid secondary scoring options. The Spurs are 8th in the league by shooting 46.5 percent from the field. San Antonio is 30th in three-point field goals per game with 8.7 per contest. The Spurs are 15th in the league by knocking down 34.9 percent of their long-range attempts.

Washington Wizards Look to Earn Home Victory

Washington lost for the fourth time in their last five games as they came up on the short end on the road against Orlando. The Wizards entered Tuesday tied for the basement in the Southeast Division, 5.5 games behind the Heat for the top spot. Washington trailed by seven after the opening quarter: the deficit was nine at the half and 11 after three quarters. The Wizards made a run in the fourth quarter, getting within one with just over a minute to play, but couldn’t get any closer. Washington shot 47.4 percent from the field, including 19 of 41 from three-point range, and took a 52-38 beating on the glass in the game. Bradley Beal had 34 points, six rebounds and eight assists in the loss to lead the Wizards.

The Wizards enter this contest third in the league in scoring offense as they put up an average of 118 points per game on the year. Washington is 26th in rebounding as they collect 43.2 boards per contest and are second by dishing out 27.5 assists per contest. The Wizards have been a sieve defensively, ranking 30th in the league in scoring defense by allowing 120.1 points per game. Bradley Beal leads the team with 30.1 points and 6.9 assists per game on the season. Isaiah Thomas puts up 13.3 points plus six assists a night while rookie Rui Hachimura adds 13.1 points and 5.5 boards a night. Davis Bertans (11.7 points), Thomas Bryant (14.4 points, nine rebounds) and Moritz Wagner (12.7 points) are all averaging in double figures. The Wizards need more from Ish Smith and Isaac Bonga if those two are going to remain in the starting lineup. Washington is 7th in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 46.9 percent from the floor as a team on the year. The Wizards are 12th in the league in threes per game as they drain 12.5 triples a night while the team stands tied for 11th in three-point shooting by hitting 35.8 percent of their attempts from beyond the arc.

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Washington’s defense has been atrocious and it’s a major factor why the team has struggled. The Wizards have given up at least 120 points six times this season and that’s a bad trend to have this early in the season. San Antonio hasn’t been great defensively but they have a little more experience in their rotation to work with at this point in time. The Spurs have struggled at times on the road but Washington has been awful regardless of venue. You can’t trust anyone beyond Beal for the Wizards at this point: go with the Spurs in this contest.

Prediction: San Antonio Spurs -2.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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We've seen how bad both defenses have been this season. Washington is dead last in the league while San Antonio is an uncharacteristic 22nd in that category entering Tuesday's action. The Spurs have allowed opposing teams to shoot 47.1 percent from the field, including 36.6 percent from beyond the arc, this season. Not to be outdone, Washington has been scorched at a 47.6 percent clip from the floor overall and 37.6 percent from three-point range, giving up 12.6 triples per night. With defense being optional for these teams, would we expect anything different here?

The over is 4-0 in the Spurs' last four overall, 6-0 in their last six against teams with a losing record, 4-0 in their last four after a straight up loss and 5-1 in their last six on one day of rest. Washington has seen the over go 4-0 in their last four against Western Conference teams, 4-0-1 in their last five after an ATS win and 7-1 in their last eight against Southwest Division teams. The squads have gone over the number in each of thier last four meetings: the trend continues here in a shootout.

Prediction: Over 239.5
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Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.