Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#533 Brooklyn Nets vs.
#534 Indiana Pacers
Friday, November 25, 2022 at 8:10pm EST
Bankers Life Fieldhouse, Indianapolis
Written by Mason Folz

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This Friday, the (9-10) Brooklyn Nets will travel to Indianapolis, IN to take on the (10-7) Indiana Pacers. Tipoff will be at 8:00 PM EST inside the Gainbridge Fieldhouse. The last time that these two teams matched up, the Nets walked away with a 116-109 victory.

The Brooklyn Nets are coming into this one after taking down the Toronto Reports, 112-98. The Nets had it working on both ends of the court, as they will have to carry that momentum over into this game if they want to challenge the Pacers on the road.

The Indiana Pacers are entering this matchup after losing to the Minnesota Timberwolves, 115-101. The Pacers struggled on the offensive end of the court, as they only shot 38.5% from the floor. They will have to be more efficient on the offensive end if they want to defend their home court against the Nets.

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This game was written/published before last night's results.

Can the Nets Show Up on the Road?

The Brooklyn Nets are currently in 10th place in the Eastern Conference standings, as they are still 5.5 games back from the first-place Boston Celtics. They will have to start stringing together some wins if they want to continue to climb the ranks. On offense, they are scoring 111.4 points per game and they are shooting 49.2% from the floor. This is the 18th most points scored per game, but the third-highest team shooting percentage. According to dunksandthrees.com, Brooklyn has an adjusted offensive rating of 114.1, which is the seventh-highest rating in the NBA. Kevin Durant continues to lead the way for the Nets, as he is scoring 28.8 points per game on 53.4% shooting from the field. Brooklyn has also shown that they can score from mid-range or step behind the arc and knock down deep threes. The Nets are making 37.1% of their three-point shots, which is the 11th-highest shooting percentage in the league. They have taken care of business at the free-throw line as well. They have made 79.9% of their shots at the charity stripe, as this is the 10th-highest free-throw shooting percentage in the NBA. They can't miss out on these free points and still expect to win these games.

On the defensive end of the floor, the Nets have struggled to consistently keep their opponents from scoring. According to dunksandthrees.com, the Nets have an adjusted defensive rating of 112.9, which is the 20th lowest rating in the NBA. Brooklyn is also allowing 111.1 points per game and their opponents have shot 44% from the floor. This is the 12th least amount of points surrendered per game and the lowest shooting percentage allowed from the field. They have continued to defend shots at the rim, but their perimeter defense has continued to hurt them. They have allowed their opponents to knock down 38.1% of their three-point shots. This is the 28th-highest percentage surrendered in the league, as they have to close out on the perimeter and contest more shots from the outside. The Nets will also need to focus on cleaning the glass and securing the ball after a missed shot. They are only snatching 40.3 rebounds per game, which is the 28th most in the league.

Injury Report: T.J. Warren SF (Foot) is out. Seth Curry SG (Ankle) and Yuta Watanabe SF (Hamstring) are both questionable for this contest.

Can the Pacers Bounce Back?

The Indiana Pacers are currently in fifth place in the Eastern Conference standings, as they are 3.5 games back from the Boston Celtics. The Pacers are also (7-3) in their last 10, as they have to stay hot if they want to inch closer to the top. On offense, the Pacers are scoring 115.9 points per game and they are shooting 45.7% from the field. This is the seventh most points scored per game, but only the 23rd-highest team shooting percentage. According to dunksandthrees.com, Indiana has an adjusted offensive rating of 113.4, which is the ninth-highest rating in the NBA. They have shown that they can attack the basket, but they aren't afraid to pull the trigger from deep either. They are shooting 36.9% from behind the arc, which is the 12th-highest three-point shooting percentage in the NBA. Tyrese Haliburton has led the way for the Pacers, as he is scoring 19.8 points per game and averaging 10.9 assists. He leads the team in both of those categories, as he has continued to get his teammates involved. Indiana is also shooting 79.7% from the charity stripe, as this is the 12th-highest team free-throw shooting percentage in the league.

On the defensive end of the court, the Pacers are surrendering 114.1 points per game and they have allowed their opponents to shoot 46.2% from the field. This is the 19th most points given up per game, but the 10th-lowest shooting percentage surrendered from the field. They have done an outstanding job of protecting the rim and the paint, but their perimeter defense has lacked. They are allowing their opponents to shoot 37.6% from deep, as this is the 26th-highest three-point shooting percentage allowed in the NBA. According to dunksandthrees.com, the Pacers have an adjusted defensive rating of 113.9, which is the 23rd-lowest rating in the league. They have to continue to secure the ball after missed shots as well. They are currently grabbing 43.6 rebounds per game, which is the 17th most in the league. They have to clean the glass and secure the ball if they want to keep the Nets from crashing the glass and scoring second-chance points.

Injury Report: Andrew Nembhard PG (Knee) and Isaiah Jackson SF (Foot) are listed as questionable. Daniel Theis PF (Knee) is out indefinitely.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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Rating:

I will be hammering the Brooklyn Nets (-3) on the road, as I see them being the more efficient team on both ends of the court. Brooklyn has the seventh-highest adjusted offensive rating and they have the third-highest team shooting percentage from the field. They will continue to find open shots throughout this game, as they will take advantage and slowly pull away. The Pacers have struggled on the defensive end of the court, as they are allowing the 19th most points per game and their opponents have shot 45.7% from the floor. They won't be able to slow down the Net's stars and Brooklyn will continue to score throughout this game. Now, I also see the Nets showing up on the defensive end of the court as well. They are only allowing the 12th least amount of points per game and they have held their opponents to 44% shooting from the floor as well. This is the lowest shooting percentage given up in the league, as they have continued to contest shots near the rim. Indiana has struggled from the field to begin this season, and I see that trend continuing. They have only shot 45.7% from the field, which is the 23rd-lowest shooting percentage in the NBA. They won't make enough shots and the Nets will slowly pull away throughout this game.

Pick the Brooklyn Nets on the road and lay the points (-3).

Prediction: Brooklyn Nets -3

Full-Game Total Pick

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Rating:

I will be taking the over (235.5) in this game between the Pacers and the Nets. Both of these teams have been more successful on the offensive side of the court to begin this season, as I don't see either defense being able to slow them down. According to dunksandthrees.com, the Nets have the seventh-highest adjusted offensive rating in the league, but the 20th-lowest defensive rating. They can score a bunch of points in a hurry, but they continue to give up points on the other end. The Pacers will take advantage of this and continue to consistently score throughout this game. They are scoring the seventh most points per contest and they have the ninth-highest adjusted offensive rating. Brooklyn won't be able to slow them down and the Pacers will do their part in pushing this total over the number. I also expect the Nets to score throughout, as Indiana has the 23rd-lowest adjusted defensive rating and they are giving up the 19th most points per game. They will struggle to lock down Durant and Irving and the Nets will score enough points to push this total over the number.

These are two solid offensive teams that struggle on the defensive end. Take the over (235.5) and expect an exciting game in this one.

Prediction: Over 235.5
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Written By Mason Folz , "Mason Folz"

Mason graduated from the University of Colorado, Boulder and he has been watching SportsCenter since before he could walk. He has been crunching numbers since he could learn to count and nothing makes Mason happier in this world than talking sports, unless he is on the golf course! We are very happy to have added Mason to our team at StatSalt and you will be glad as well. Let's win some money!