Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#535 Cleveland Cavaliers vs.
#536 Milwaukee Bucks
Friday, November 25, 2022 at 8:10pm EST
BMO Harris Bradley Center, Milwaukee
Written by Mason Folz

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This Friday, the (12-6) Cleveland Cavaliers will travel to Milwaukee, WI to take on the (12-5) Milwaukee Bucks. Tipoff will be at 8:00 PM EST inside the Fiserv Forum. The last time that these two teams matched up, the Bucks walked away with a 113-98 win.

The Cleveland Cavaliers are coming into this one after taking down the Portland Trail Blazers, 114-96. The Cavs looked great on the offensive end of the court, as they shot 55.4% from the field. They will have to stay hot in this one if they want to challenge the Bucks on the road.

The Milwaukee Bucks are entering this game after falling to the Chicago Bulls, 118-113. The Bucks blew it at the end of the game, as they struggled on the defensive end of the court. They allowed the Bulls to shoot 49.4% from the floor, as they will have to contest more shots near the rim and on the outside if they want to take down the Cavs at home.

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This game was written/published before last night's results.

Can the Cavs show Up on the Road?

The Cleveland Cavaliers are currently in third place in the Eastern Conference standings, as they are only 2.5 games back from the first-place Boston Celtics. They will need to stay hot if they want to inch closer to the top two seeds. On offense, they are scoring 115.5 points per game and they have shot 48.7% from the field. This is the eighth most points scored per game and the fifth-highest team shooting percentage from the field. According to dunksandthrees.com, Cleveland has an adjusted offensive rating of 116.8, which is the fourth-highest rating in the league. They have also shown that they can attack the basket or step behind the arc and knock down deep threes. The Cavs are shooting 39.8% from three, which is the second-highest three-point shooting percentage in the NBA. Donovan Mitchell continues to lead the way, as he is scoring 30.1 points per game on 50.5% shooting from the floor. The Cavs have also taken advantage of their free looks at the charity stripe, as they are shooting 80.1% at the free-throw line. This is the ninth-highest percentage in the NBA, as they can't miss out on these free points if they expect to win these games.

On the defensive side of the court, the Cavaliers have also held their own. According to dunksadnthrees.com, the Cavs have an adjusted defensive rating of 108.9, which is the third-lowest rating in the league. They are also surrendering 107.6 points per game and they have allowed their opponents to shoot 45.5% from the floor. This is the fifth least amount of points given up per contest and the eighth-lowest shooting percentage allowed from the field. Unfortunately, they have struggled to contest shots from the perimeter. They have allowed their opponents to shoot 36.1% from deep, which is the 19th-highest three-point shooting percentage allowed in the league. They have to close out and apply more pressure on the outside if they want to keep the Bucks from making it rain from three. Cleveland is also snatching 44.1 rebounds per game, which is the 14th most. They have to secure the ball after missed shots if they want to keep Giannis and the Bucks from scoring second-chance points.

Injury Report: Caris LeVert SG (Ankle) and Kevin Love PF (thumb) are both listed as questionable for this game.

Will the Bucks Bounce Back at home?

The Milwaukee Bucks are in second place in the Eastern Conference standings, as they trail the first-place Boston Celtics by 2.5 games. They will be looking to bounce back in this one after their tough loss to the Bulls on Wednesday night. On offense, they are scoring 111.5 points per game and they have shot 44.9% from the floor. This is the 16th most points scored per game, but only the 25th-highest shooting percentage from the field. According to dunksandthrees.com, the Bucks have an adjusted offensive rating of 109.1, which is the 25th-highest rating in the league. They have struggled to consistently knock down shots from inside the paint and on the outside. Giannis Antetokounmpo continues to lead the way for the Bucks, as he is scoring 30.5 points per game and snatching 11.6 rebounds. Unfortunately, Milwaukee has been horrible at the free-throw line to begin this season. They have only made 71.3% of their shots at the charity stripe, as this is the 29th-lowest percentage in the league. They have to take care of these free looks at the rim if they expect to consistently win these games.

On defense, the Bucks have been one of the hardest teams to score on in the NBA. According to dunksandthrees.com, the Bucks have an adjusted defensive rating of 107.1, which is the lowest rating in the league. They have continued to contest shots near the rim and from the outside, as they don't give up many clean looks. They are currently allowing 107.5 points per game and their opponents have only shot 44.8% from the field. This is the fourth least amount of points given up per contest and the fifth-lowest shooting percentage allowed from the field. Unfortunately, they have struggled to consistently defend the three-point line. Milwaukee has allowed their opponents to shoot 35.9% from behind the arc, as this is the 17th-highest three-point shooting percentage allowed in the NBA. The Bucks will have to continue to rebound at a high rate as well. They are snatching 49.4 boards per game, which is the most in the league.

Injury Report: Kris Middleton SF (Wrist) is out until early December. Joe Ingles SF (Knee) is out until January.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I will be hammering the Cleveland Cavaliers (+3.5) on the road against the Bucks, as they are one of the hottest teams in the league and I see them being the better team on both ends of the floor. According to dunksandthrees.com, they have the fourth-highest adjusted offensive rating and the third-best adjusted defensive rating. They will get the job done on both ends of the court and keep this game within the spread. The Bucks have been horrible on the offensive end of the court to begin this season, and I see that trend continuing in this one. They have the 25th-lowest adjusted offensive rating and they have the 25th-lowest team shooting percentage from the field. Cleveland will continue to contest shots near the rim and on the perimeter, as they won't allow the Bucks to score enough points to pull away in this game. The Cavs are also allowing the fifth least amount of points per game and the eighth-lowest shooting percentage from the field. The Bucks will struggle to find open looks, as the Cavs will do everything they can to contest each shot that goes up. Now, I understand that Milwaukee is a solid defensive team, but the Cavs have been cooking on the offensive end of the floor. Donovan Mitchell will continue to lead the way on the offensive end of the court and Cleveland will score just enough points to keep this game within the spread.

Pick the Cleveland Cavaliers on the road and take the points (+3.5).

Prediction: Cleveland Cavaliers +3.5

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I will be taking the under (128) in this game, as I see both of these defenses playing well enough to keep this score under the number. I also see the Cavs slowing the tempo down and limiting the number of shots that each team will take throughout this game. According to dunksandthrees.com, Cleveland has the 29th lowest adjusted pace rating in the NBA, as they will walk the ball up the court and use the majority of the shot clock each time they come down the floor. The Bucks will also make it very difficult to score, as they have the lowest adjusted defensive rating in the league and they are holding their opponents to the fourth least amount of points per game. Now, I also see the Bucks' offensive struggles continuing, as they are only scoring the 16th most points per game and they have only shot 44.9% from the floor. The Cavs have the third-lowest adjusted defensive rating in the NBA and they are allowing the eighth least amount of points per game. Both of these teams will lock down on the defensive end of the court and this will turn into a defensive battle.

Pick the under (218) and expect a low-scoring Eastern Conference duel in this one.

Prediction: Under 218
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Written By Mason Folz , "Mason Folz"

Mason graduated from the University of Colorado, Boulder and he has been watching SportsCenter since before he could walk. He has been crunching numbers since he could learn to count and nothing makes Mason happier in this world than talking sports, unless he is on the golf course! We are very happy to have added Mason to our team at StatSalt and you will be glad as well. Let's win some money!