Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#549 Utah Jazz vs.
#550 Golden State Warriors
Friday, November 25, 2022 at 10:10pm EST
Oracle Arena, Oakland
Written by The Admiral

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Utah Jazz (12-8) vs. Golden State Warriors (9-10)

After a short break on Thanksgiving, the NBA betting action goes on Friday, November 25, with a loaded 14-game card. The Utah Jazz head to Chase Center in San Francisco to meet the Golden State Warriors for the first time in 2022-233, so let’s take a closer look. 

Utah opens as a 6.5-point road dog with a total of 234.5 points. The Jazz are without Rudy Gay (hand), while Mike Conley (knee) and Leandro Bolmaro (concussion) are doubtful to play. The Warriors, on the other side, miss Andre Iguodala (hip). 

The Jazz dropped two games in a row

The Utah Jazz (12-8; 12-8 ATS) are coming off a disappointing 125-116 home loss to the Detroit Pistons this past Wednesday. It was their second straight defeat and the fifth in their last seven games. The Jazz failed to satisfy the odds as heavy 12.5-point favorites, allowing the Pistons to control the game for all 48 minutes. Detroit shot 49.4% from the field and 12-for-24 from downtown while outscoring Utah 52-42 in the paint. 

The Jazz forced a paltry seven turnovers last Wednesday. They shot 49.4% from the field and 18-for-41 from beyond the arc, but it wasn’t enough, as the Jazz struggled to make the stops all night long. Malik Beasley led the way for Utah with 29 points, 11 rebounds, and five assists. Jordan Clarkson notched 24 points on 9-for-17 shooting from the field, while Collin Sexton posted a 17-point, 12-assist double-double. 

“They came out hungry, aggressive and physical from the beginning and we did not,” Utah coach Will Hardy said. “As a team, we’ve gotten to this point by playing with a chip on our shoulder and I do not think we had that chip in the first half.” 

The Jazz are scoring 115.9 points per 100 possessions (6th in the NBA) on 47.0% shooting from the field (tied-12th) and 37.4$ from beyond the 3-point line (8th). They are taking 39.5 attempts from deep per game, enough for the fourth-most in the league. On the defensive side of the ball, Utah ranks 23rd in points allowed per 100 possessions (115.1), 24th in field goal percentage (47.6%), and fifth in 3-point percentage. 

The Warriors shoot for their eighth straight home W

The Golden State Warriors (9-10; 7-12 ATS) comfortably defeated the Los Angeles Clippers 124-107 this past Wednesday. It was their seventh home victory in a row and third in their last four games overall. The Dubs easily covered a 10.5-point spread, holding the Clippers, who missed both Paul George and Kawhi Leonard, to 44.8% shooting from the field. 

Golden State made 49.5% of its field goals and 37.3% of its 3-pointers against LA. The Warriors handed out a thumping 36 assists and led by as many as 29 points. Andrew Wiggins went off for 31 points on 12-for-18 shooting from the field (6-for-10 from deep), Stephen Curry had 22 points and nine assists, while Draymond Green added nine points, seven boards, and 12 dimes. 

“Steph's going to be Steph, always,” Wiggins said. “Tonight, the ball was moving and found a lot of people, made some shots.” 

The Warriors are tallying 112.7 points per 100 possessions (13th in the league) on 47.6% shooting from the field (9th) and 37.6% from beyond the arc (7th). They lead the NBA in assists per 100 possessions (28.5) and rank 26th in turnovers per 100 possessions (16.4). The Warriors’ defense is 24th in the league in adjusted efficiency (113.9 points per 100 possessions), ninth in field goal percentage (46.0%), and 14th in 3-point percentage (35.7%). 

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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The Jazz have slowed down after a terrific start to the season. They’ve gone 2-5 SU and ATS over the last seven games while surrendering 119.4 points a night on 49.4% shooting from the field. Hereof, I highly doubt Utah’s chances to keep it close against the Warriors, who have been outstanding on the home court lately. 

Golden State has covered the spread in four straight showings at Chase Center. The Warriors matchup against the Jazz very well, so I’m expecting another strong performance from the reigning NBA champions. Golden State is 4-1-1 ATS in its last six meetings with Utah. 

Prediction: Golden State Warriors -6.5 (-110)

Full-Game Total Pick

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The Warriors are playing at the fastest pace in the league, tallying 102.5 possessions per 48 minutes. The Jazz prefer to play at a fast pace, too, recording 100.2 possessions per 48 minutes. Neither team has impressed on the defensive side of the ball so far this season, so I’m not surprised by a 234.5-point line. 

The Jazz will struggle to contain the Warriors’ offense, but the visitors are certainly capable of surpassing a 110-point mark. Utah has scored 111 or more points in five straight contests, and the over is 5-2 in its last seven outings on the road. Eight of the last 11 meetings between Utah and Golden State have gone over the total. 

Prediction: Go over 234.5 points (-110)
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Written By Admir Aljic , "The Admiral"

You want someone to show you how to make some money, then talk to the Admiral, because he is your man. He has been handicapping for many years, so heal knows a thing or two on how to beat the spread and get your pockets loaded with cash. He has lined his own pockets for years as a betting expert. The Admiral has brought his talents to StatSalt & Winners & Whiners and will always find the best pick for you.