Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#1557 Los Angeles Lakers vs.
#1558 San Antonio Spurs
Saturday, November 26, 2022 at 8:10pm EST
AT&T Center, San Antonio
Written by Mason Folz

This article covers a past game!

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This Saturday, the (5-11) Los Angeles Lakers will travel to San Antonio, TX to take on the (6-13) San Antonio Spurs. Tipoff will be at 8:00 PM EST inside the AT&T Center. These two teams played on November 20th, as the Lakers walked away with a 123-92 win.

The Los Angeles Lakers are coming into this one after falling to the Suns, 115-105. The Lakers continued to struggle on the offensive end of the court, as they only shot 18.2% from three. They will have to be more efficient with the ball in their hands if they want to challenge the Spurs on the road.

The San Antonio Spurs are entering this matchup after losing to the New Orleans Pelicans, 129-110. The Spurs struggled on both ends of the floor in that game, as they will have to show more energy at home if they want to take care of business against the Lakers.

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This game was written/published before last night's results.

Can the Lakers Get Hot on the Road?

The Los Angeles Lakers are (4-6) in their last 10 games, as they have continued to slide down the Western Conference standings. They are currently in 14th place, as they trail the first-place Phoenix Suns by 5.5 games. On offense, the Lakers are scoring 110.7 points per game and they are shooting 45.9% from the field. This is the 19th most points scored per contest and the 21st-highest team shooting percentage in the league. According to dunksandthrees.com, Los Angeles has an adjusted offensive rating of 106.3, which is the second-lowest rating in the NBA. They have struggled to consistently knock down shots, as they have not been good from three. They are shooting 30.6% from deep, which is the lowest team three-point shooting percentage. Anthony Davis has continued to lead the way for the Lakers, as he is scoring 26.4 points per game on 56% shooting from the floor. He is also snatching 12.6 rebounds per game and is listed as probable for this game with a back injury. The Lakers will be without Patrick Beverley in this game as well, as he was suspended after knocking Deandre Ayton to the ground after the play. He can't play until Wednesday. Lebron James is also questionable for this game, as he has a groin injury. If he can't go, that would hurt the Lakers on both ends of the floor. Please check the injury report before placing your wager.

On the defensive end of the floor, the Lakers have been better. According to dunksadnthrees.com, Los Angeles has an adjusted defensive rating of 109.9, which is the seventh-lowest rating in the NBA. They have held their opponents to 46.3% shooting from the field and they are allowing 114.3 points per game. This is the 20th most points given up per contest, but the 12th-lowest shooting percentage allowed. The Lakers have continued to contest shots near the rim and on the perimeter, as they haven't given up many open looks. They are also allowing their opponents to shoot 33.9% from deep, which is the sixth-lowest three-point shooting percentage allowed in the league. Los Angeles is also grabbing 45.2 rebounds per game, which is the eighth most. They have to secure the ball after missed shots if they want to keep the Spurs from scoring second-chance points.

Injury Report: Anthony Davis PF (Back), Juan Toscano-Anderson SF (Back), and Max Christie (Illness) are probable. Lebron James SF (Groin) is questionable. Patrick Beverley PG (Suspended) and Cole Swinder PF (Foot) are out.

Will the Spurs Show Up at Home?

The San Antonio Spurs have had a rough start to the season, as they are in 13th place in the Western Conference standings. They are also (1-9) in their last 10 games, as they are sliding in the wrong direction. On offense, the Spurs are scoring 110.1 points per game and they are shooting 46.4% from the field. This is the 21st most points scored per contest and the 19th-highest team shooting percentage. According to dunksandhtrees.com, San Antonio has an adjusted offensive rating of 109, which is the 26th-lowest rating in the league. Devin Vassell continues to lead the way for the Spurs, as he is scoring 20.6 points per game on 48% shooting from the floor. The Spurs have been better from behind the three-point arc as well. They are shooting 35.2% from deep, which is the 16th-highest team three-point shooting percentage in the NBA. Unfortunately, they continue to leave points at the free-throw line. They are shooting 71.8% from the charity stripe, which is the third-lowest free-throw shooting percentage in the league. They can't keep missing out on these free points and still expect to win these games.

On defense, the Spurs are giving up a lot of points. According to dunksandthrees.com, San Antonio has an adjusted defensive rating of 119.2. This is the highest defensive rating in the league, as they have struggled to stop everyone. They are currently allowing 120.7 points per game and their opponents have shot 50.9% from the field. This is the most point surrendered per game and the highest shooting percentage allowed from the field. They aren't consistently contesting shots on the perimeter or inside the paint, as their opponents continue to find open looks. They are also allowing the highest three-point-shooting percentage, as they are getting scored on from all over the court. The San Antonio Spurs are also snatching 41.7 rebounds per game, which is the 24th most in the NBA.

Injury Report: Doug McDermott SF (Ankle), Zach Collins PF (Leg), Jordan Hall. G (Finger), are all questionable. Josh Richardson SG (Ankle) is doubtful and Blake Wesley SG (Knee) is out until early January.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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I am going to take the Lakers on the road and I am going to lay the points (-2.5). The Spurs are horrible on the defensive end of the court, as the Lakers will be able to drive the ball to the hole and consistently score on the inside. The Spurs are also allowing the most points per game and the highest shooting percentage from the field. The Lakers will continue to find open shots throughout this game and I see them taking advantage. Anthony Davis is probable for this game, as I see him carrying the majority of the load on the offensive end of the court. The Spurs won't be able to slow him down and the Lakers will continue to pull away. The Lakers also have the seventh-lowest adjusted defensive rating, according to dunksandthrees.com. They will be able to lock up the Spurs and turn their defense into offense. Los Angeles has to start playing with some urgency and I see that starting on the defensive end of the court. The Spurs are one of the worst teams in the league and if the Lakers can't take them down, then they are in trouble. If Lebron doesn't play, I still see the Lakers winning this game on the defensive end of the court.

Pick Los Angeles and lay the points (-2.5).

Prediction: Los Angeles Lakers -2.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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I will be hammering the over (231) in this game, as I see both of these teams scoring enough points to push this total over the number. According to dunksandthrees.com, Los Angeles has the highest adjusted pace rating in the NBA, as they continue to push the tempo in these games. The Spurs also have the eighth-highest adjusted pace rating, as both of these teams will look to score in transition and early in the shot clock. These teams play very fast and I don't see the Spurs being able to make enough stops to keep this total under the number. They are currently allowing 120.7 points per game and the highest field goal shooting percentage from the field. They haven't been able to stop anyone, as I see Los Angeles scoring enough points to push this total over the total. The Spurs are also scoring 110.1 points per game and they have the 16th-highest team three-point shooting percentage. The Lakers will give up points at different times and the Spurs will do their part in pushing this total over (231).

Pick the over (231) and expect a high-scoring battle in this one!

Prediction: Over 231
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Written By Mason Folz , "Mason Folz"

Mason graduated from the University of Colorado, Boulder and he has been watching SportsCenter since before he could walk. He has been crunching numbers since he could learn to count and nothing makes Mason happier in this world than talking sports, unless he is on the golf course! We are very happy to have added Mason to our team at StatSalt and you will be glad as well. Let's win some money!