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Miami Heat vs. Los Angeles Clippers,
11-5-2017 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#703 Miami
Heat
#704 Los Angeles
Clippers

Sunday, November 5, 2017 at 3:35pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Miami Heat

3 - 5

49-33
ATS
38-44
O/U
103
PPG
102
OPPG

Los Angeles Clippers

5 - 2

42-46
ATS
46-41
O/U
107
PPG
103
OPPG

Betting Trends

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Miami Heat (3-5 SU, 1-5-2 ATS, 4-4 O/U) vs. LA Clippers (5-2 SU, 5-2 ATS, 2-5 O/U)

NBA: Sunday, November 5, 2017, Staples Center, Los Angeles, California, 3:30 pm ET

Line: LA Clippers -5.5; Over/Under: 207.5

It’s an inter-conference clash in the City of Angels. The Miami Heat try to get back on track as they play on the road against the LA Clippers Sunday afternoon. Miami lost for the fourth time in five games as they were edged 95-94 on the road by the Nuggets Friday night. LA was in action at home Saturday afternoon against the Grizzlies in a matchup of two of the top teams in the Western Conference. The Heat holds a 33-24 advantage in the all-time regular season series between the teams but the Cavaliers have won four straight, including both meetings last season.

Miami Heat Look to Even Record on Road Trip

Miami lost the opening game of their road trip out west as they fell a point short. The Heat enters this one losers of four of five after starting the season with back to back wins. Miami got off to a good start as they led 37-28 after the opening quarter but scored just 57 points the rest of the way. Still, the Heat had a chance to win, leading 94-92 in the final seconds before James Johnson fouled Paul Millsap on a three point attempt. Millsap knocked down all three free throws, Dion Waiters had a three rattle out on the other end at the buzzer, and the Heat came up short. The Heat shot 46.8 percent from the field and went 15 of 38 from beyond the arc yet was stung by 23 turnovers. Goran Dragic led the Heat with 23 points and seven assists.

The Heat has been decent so far this season, ranking 22nd in the league with 103.5 points per game. Miami has been below average on the glass as they are 20th with 42.6 boards per game. The Heat is 20th in assists with 21.1 per contest. Miami comes in 14th in scoring defense as they allow 105.1 points per game. Hassan Whiteside is second on the team with 17.3 points plus 13 boards a night but missed five games with a knee bruise. Goran Dragic averages 20.3 points, four rebounds and 4.8 assists per game while Dion Waiters puts up 15.9 points per contest. James Johnson (12.4 points, 6.6 boards, 4.6 assists), Kelly Olynyk (11.4 points, 6.1 rebounds) and Josh Richardson (10 points, 3.6 rebounds) are solid secondary options. The Heat also look to Wayne Ellington, Tyler Johnson and Justise Winslow to contribute on both ends. Miami is 9th in field goal percentage as they shoot 46.4 percent as a team. The Heat stands tied for 10th with 10.8 three pointers a night and 21st in three point shooting at 33.9 percent.

LA Clippers Play Second Game of Back to Back

LA closes a back to back set here as they face the Heat 24 hours after locking up with the Grizzlies Saturday. The Clippers are playing good basketball early on and look to build on their strong start with a win here. LA entered Saturday’s contest in second place in the Western Conference, half a game behind the Rockets. The Clippers were tied with the Warriors atop the Pacific Division standings though LA had two games in hand. LA was 3-2 at home entering Saturday and lost their only game against an Eastern Conference foe as they fell 115-107 at home to the Pistons.

The Clippers are currently 7th in the league in scoring offense with 109 points per game. LA is 4th in the league in rebounding with 48 boards per game and stand 19th in assists with 21.1 per contest. The Clippers are solid defensively, ranking 6th in scoring defense by allowing 100.1 points per game. Blake Griffin leads the team with 22.9 points plus 8.1 rebounds and 4.7 assists per game. DeAndre Jordan puts up 9.7 points and 15.3 rebounds per night. Lou Williams (13.7 points, 3.9 assists), Patrick Beverley (12.6 points, 2.29 steals) and Danilo Gallinari (14.1 points, 5.1 rebounds) are solid offensive weapons for Doc Rivers. Willie Reed, Austin Rivers, Sam Dekker, Wesley Johnson and Milos Teodosic are good rotation players for the Clippers. LA is 17th in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 45.3 percent from the floor. The Clippers are 6th in three pointers a game with 11.6 and 7th in three point shooting as they hit 39.1 percent of their long range attempts.

Trends:

Miami

  • Heat are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record
  • Heat are 1-7-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall
  • Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600

LA Clippers

  • Clippers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400
  • Clippers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400
  • Clippers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record

Miami is off to a slow start once again just as they were last season. The Heat struggled without Whiteside, who has played the last two games after missing five in a row. They have to get him involved in the offense and get back on track in order to have success. The Clippers are playing solid basketball in their first few games in the post-Chris Paul era. LA is getting production throughout their rotation and their athletic wing players are contributing nicely. Look for the Clippers to come up with the victory in this contest.

Pick: LA Clippers -5.5

Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.

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