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Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Portland Trailblazers,
11-5-2017 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#717 Oklahoma City
Thunder
#718 Portland
Trailblazers

Sunday, November 5, 2017 at 9:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Oklahoma City Thunder

4 - 4

47-39
ATS
34-48
O/U
106
PPG
106
OPPG

Portland Trailblazers

5 - 4

41-45
ATS
47-37
O/U
107
PPG
108
OPPG

Betting Trends

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Oklahoma City Thunder (4-4, 2-2 away) vs. Portland Trailblazers (5-4, 3-2 home)

NBA Basketball:  Sunday, November 5th, 9:00 pm EST

Line:  Oklahoma City -2.5

Total: 209.5

The Thunder head to Portland to take on the Trailblazers on Sunday night.  Both teams have been OK, but have not hit their stride yet.  This is especially true of the Thunder, who picked up Carmelo Anthony and Paul George in the offseason, but they have yet to meld very well just yet.  They have lost a couple of close games they should have won, including Friday night when the Celtics beat them 101-94.  The Thunder had a 18 halftime lead that they couldn’t hold onto.

Portland broke a two game losing streak with a 113-110 win over the Lakers on Thursday.  They had lost their two previous games, 99-85 to the Raptors and 112-103 in Utah.  They looked better on Thursday, but it was hardly impressive as the Lakers have been a pretty easy mark on the road this year.  This is a big early season for two teams who had high expectations, but haven’t quite played up to them.

OKC loses a bad one

In the best game on the NBA docket on Friday, the Thunder jumped out to a 31-18 first quarter lead versus a Celtic team that had won six straight game.  They expanded that lead to 18 by halftime and it looked like the game was over.  No one told the Celtics however.  Boston outscored the Thunder by 14 in the third to climb within four, and then outscored them by 11 in the fourth to win 101-94.

The Thunder were led by Paul George who had 25 points and 10 boards.  Russell Westbrook was his usual stat-stuffing self, finishing with 19 points, 11 assists, and six boards.  This loss falls on Carmelo Anthony.  He shot an atrocious three of 17 from the field and finished with only 10 points.  He also missed all five of his three pointers.  If he has an average day from the field they win this game easily.

Portland ekes out win

Coming off two straight losses versus good teams, I figured the Trailblazers might blow a young Laker team off the court at home on Thursday.  Wasn’t the case as the Lakers played Portland tough, losing 113-110 in the end.  And it took a wild three pointer by Damian Lillard to make it happen.  He hit the game winning shot with .7 seconds left after LA had tied it on a three-pointer of their own.

Lillard had a great game, particularly from the free throw line.  He finished with 32 points, but more impressively was 14 of 14 from the free-throw line.  The Trailblazers hit 24 of 27 from the line as a team and in a three point win, that made all the difference.  It’s early, but they are in a four way tie for 7th place in the Western Conference as of now.  They will likely a borderline playoff team most of the year.

NBA Trends:

The Oklahoma City Thunder are:

  • 0-4 ATS in their last 4 versus the NBA Northwest
  • 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Sunday games
  • 1-5  ATS in their last 6 versus the Western Conference

The Portland Trailblazers are:

  • 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Sunday games
  • 7-2 ATS in their last 9 versus the NBA Northwest

Two random trends here, but the Thunder are 1-6 ATS on Sunday’s while Portland is 4-0. Also, the Trailblazers are 7-2 against the Northwest while the Thunder are 0-4.  Those two are enough for me to lean towards Portland.

Pick: Portland

Big B

Known as Big B since his time at UCSB, Brian O’Sullivan is a novelist, screenwriter, & poker player who follows sports religiously. His betting style would be considered that of a contrarian, and he likes to bet against the general public. It seems to be working. You can find him at the coffee shops of Vegas, hanging with his family in SF, or at the bars of LA.

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