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Phoenix Suns vs. San Antonio Spurs,
11-5-2017 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#711 Phoenix
Suns
#712 San Antonio
Spurs

Sunday, November 5, 2017 at 7:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Phoenix Suns

4 - 5

40-40
ATS
48-34
O/U
107
PPG
113
OPPG

San Antonio Spurs

5 - 4

50-46
ATS
55-41
O/U
105
PPG
99
OPPG

Betting Trends

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Phoenix Suns (4-5; 5-4 ATS: 6-3 O/U) vs. San Antonio Spurs (5-4; 4-5 ATS: 4-5 O/U)

NBA: Sunday, November 5, 2017 at 7:00pm EST

Line: San Antonio -10

Total: 215.5

The San Antonio Spurs will square off with the Phoenix Suns in a Western Conference battle Sunday evening from the AT&T Center. The Suns are coming off a 120-107 road loss to the Knicks, and the Spurs recorded a solid 108-101 home win over the Hornets on Friday night. The Spurs won two of three against the Suns last season. 

Suns Defense Falters in Loss to Knicks

The Phoenix Suns could not get their shots to fall and struggled defensively in a 120-107 road loss to the Knicks on Friday night. The Suns shot an abysmal 35% from the field, while the Knicks posted a 51% clip from the field. Suns’ leading scorer Devin Booker was stellar, sinking 34 points on 10 for 19 shooting, and went 12 for 12 from the free-throw line. The 21-year old shooting guard is on a roll, scoring at least 32 points in three out of his last four games, and is now averaging 23.4 points and 5.2 rebounds per game. Josh Jackson had a solid night in the loss, collecting 13 points on 45.5% shooting. The 2017 fourth overall pick is only shooting 38.8% on the season, and is averaging 10.2 points per game. TJ Warren left early in the game with a head injury and is questionable for this contest. Warren is second in team scoring with 18 points per game.

The Suns are playing solid basketball under interim head coach Jay Triano, posting a 4-2 record in their last six games after starting the year 0-3. They are playing well offensively, averaging 107.3 points per game, ranking them 12th in the NBA. Phoenix is conceding an average of 117 points, placing them down at 29th overall.

Spurs End Four Game Skid in Win Over Hornets

The San Antonio Spurs got back in the win column with a solid team effort in their 108-101 home win over Charlotte on Friday night. The Spurs had six different players reach double-digits in points in the victory, and shot 47% from the field. LaMarcus Aldridge wasn’t at his best in the win, going 4 for 12 from the field for 14 points. Overall, the 32-year old power forward has been the Spurs best player this season, averaging a team-leading 22.6 points along with 8.4 rebounds per game. Aldridge averaged 18 points in three games against the Suns last season. Rudy Gay also had a strong performance in the loss, recording 20 points on 8 for 15 shooting and added seven rebounds. The 11-year veteran is now averaging a solid 12.7 points off the bench.

The Spurs continue to play without Kawhi Leonard who is out with a quad injury and could be out another 3-4 weeks, and are also playing without Tony Parker. They have lost four out of their last five games as scoring points has been an issue. They are scoring an average of 98.6 points per game, ranking them down at 26th overall. San Antonio is allowing an average of 100.6 points, positioning them seventh overall.

Trends:

The Phoenix Suns are:

  • 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
  • 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games against a team with a winning record.
  • 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 100 points in their previous game.

The San Antonio Spurs are:

  • 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 100 points in their previous game.
  • 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against the Pacific division.

I am taking the points with the Suns in this contest. The Spurs are struggling offensively in Kawhi Leonard’s absence, scoring 94 or fewer points in four out of their last five games, and are only shooting 42.9% on the season, so I am not concerned with the Suns defense. Furthermore, the Suns are playing strong basketball, and are averaging 112 points in their last six games. Opponents are shooting 37.4% from three-point territory against the Spurs which ranks them 23rd in the NBA, giving me more confidence the Suns can at least hang around in this one and keep it close.

Pick: Phoenix Suns

Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.

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