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Utah Jazz vs. Houston Rockets,
11-5-2017 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#709 Utah
Jazz
#710 Houston
Rockets

Sunday, November 5, 2017 at 7:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Utah Jazz

5 - 4

42-46
ATS
47-46
O/U
100
PPG
97
OPPG

Houston Rockets

7 - 3

48-44
ATS
46-46
O/U
114
PPG
109
OPPG

Betting Trends

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Utah Jazz (5-4 SU, 6-3 ATS, 3-5-1 O/U) vs. Houston Rockets (7-3 SU, 5-5 ATS, 4-6 O/U)

NBA: Sunday, November 5, 2017, Toyota Center, Houston, Texas, 7 pm ET

Line: Houston -7; Over/Under: 201.5

A battle of Western Conference foes takes place in the Lone Star State. The Utah Jazz are on the road as they battle the conference leading Houston Rockets Sunday night. Utah had their three game win streak snapped with a 109-100 home loss to the Raptors Friday night. Houston won their second in a row as they beat Atlanta 119-104 on the road Friday. The Jazz has a 103-90 advantage in the all-time regular season series between the teams and took two of the three matchups last season.

Utah Jazz Seek First Road Win of Season

Utah suffered their first home loss of the season against the Raptors to fall to 5-1 in Salt Lake City. The Jazz are in search of their first road win here as they are 0-3 as the visiting team on the year. Utah led by one at the half over Toronto but was outscored 26-18 in the third: they were unable to recover in the fourth and went down in defeat. The Jazz had a tough shooting night, hitting only 43.8 percent from the floor to the Raptors’ 53.5 percent. Utah went 8 of 23 from beyond the arc in the loss: Donovan Mitchell led the team with 25 off the bench.

The Jazz enter this contest 27th in the league in scoring offense with 98.1 points per game. Utah is in the lower half of the pack, ranking 25th in the league in rebounding with 41.3 boards per game. The Jazz is 25th in the league in assists with 20.3 per contest. Utah currently is 2nd in the league in scoring defense as they allow 94.3 points per game. Ricky Rubio paces the Jazz with 17 points plus 6.1 assists and two steals per game on the year. Joe Ingles (10.2 points) and Rudy Gobert (14 points, 10.4 rebounds, 2.78 blocks) are solid options. Derrick Favors (11.2 points) and Rodney Hood (14.7 points) are other key pieces for the Jazz. Joe Johnson, Alec Burks, Thabo Sefolosha, Donovan Mitchell (13.1 points) and Ekpe Udoh are contributors for coach Quin Snyder. Utah is 18th in the league as they shoot 45 percent from the floor. The Jazz are tied for 17th in the league in threes per game as they knock down 10 triples a night. Utah is tied for 12th in the league in three point shooting as they knock down 36.6 percent from beyond the arc.

Houston Rockets Go for Third Straight Win

Houston jumped all over the Hawks early and didn’t look back as they won their second straight game. The Rockets are leading the Western Conference and look to pick up another win in this one as they return home. Houston led by 11 after the opening quarter and by 18 at the half as they cruised to the victory. The Rockets shot 47.2 percent from the floor and knocked down 16 of their 47 three point attempts in the contest. Houston allowed Atlanta to shoot 48.1 percent from the floor but forced 18 turnovers. James Harden scored 29 points to lead the Rockets: 21 came in the first half.

The Rockets are average offensively: they are 13th in the league with 107.2 points per game. Houston is 15th in rebounding with 43.9 boards per game and 16th with 21.6 assists a night. The Rockets are 11th in scoring defense as they allow 102.6 points per game. James Harden leads the team with 26.8 points per game while grabbing 4.6 boards and dishing out 9.4 assists a night. Eric Gordon is putting up 23.4 points per contest while Clint Capela averages 13.2 points plus 10.9 rebounds a night. PJ Tucker and Ryan Anderson (13.1 points, 5.7 rebounds) each are key secondary options this season. Nene Hilario, Trevor Ariza, Chris Paul and Luc Mbah a Moute are key pieces in the rotation as well. Paul is out currently with a bruised knee and is expected to miss two to four weeks: the team signed Isaiah Canaan for depth while he’s out. Paul was seen shooting at practice Saturday but still is projected to be weeks off. The Rockets are 20th in the league in field goal percentage, shooting 44.4 percent as a team. Houston is 1st in the league with 14.3 threes a night while the team is 28th by shooting 31.7 percent from long range this season.

Trends:

Utah

  • Jazz are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games
  • Jazz are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game

Houston

  • Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win
  • Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record

Houston can overwhelm teams in a hurry, especially if their three point shooting is on point. The problem for the Rockets is that if things aren’t falling, it can be a long night for them offensively. Playing a team like Utah is the worst case scenario for the Rockets, especially if their three point shooting isn’t working. The Jazz aren’t an offensive powerhouse but they make life difficult for opposing teams and they tend to clean up the defensive glass. This one is close all the way: take the points and Utah if you’re playing the line.

Pick: Utah Jazz +7

Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.

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