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Washington Wizards vs. Toronto Raptors,
11-5-2017 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#705 Washington
Wizards
#706 Toronto
Raptors

Sunday, November 5, 2017 at 6:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Washington Wizards

4 - 4

47-47
ATS
57-37
O/U
109
PPG
107
OPPG

Toronto Raptors

5 - 3

48-42
ATS
48-43
O/U
105
PPG
102
OPPG

Betting Trends

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Washington Wizards (4-4 SU, 3-5 ATS, 5-3 O/U) vs. Toronto Raptors (5-3 SU, 6-2 ATS, 4-4 O/U)

NBA: Sunday, November 5, 2017, Air Canada Centre, Toronto, Ontario, 6 pm ET

Line: N/A; Over/Under: N/A

A pair of Eastern Conference foes do battle north of the border. The Washington Wizards try to get back in the groove as they head north to face the Toronto Raptors Sunday evening. Washington was knocked off in a run and gun performance as they fell 130-122 at home to Cleveland Friday night. Toronto finished a six game Western road swing 3-3 as they beat Utah 109-100 in the finale Friday night. The Raptors hold a 46-35 advantage in the all-time regular season series and have won nine of the last 10 meetings, including two of three last year.

Washington Wizards Seek to Get Back on Track

Washington started the season 3-0 but they have dropped four of five to fall back to the .500 mark. The Wizards were carved up defensively as they couldn’t stop the Cavaliers in general or LeBron James in particular. Washington trailed by eight at the half and saw that deficit expand to as many as 17 at times: they rallied to cut it to single digits but couldn’t complete the comeback. The Wizards shot 53.6 percent from the field and went 11 of 28 from beyond the arc but their defense was soft: Cleveland shot 56.1 percent overall and 12 of 27 from three point range. Bradley Beal led Washington with 36 points in the loss.

The Wizards are 3rd in the league in scoring offense with 113.5 points per game. Washington is 19th in the league on the glass with 43 boards per game. The Wizards are 6th with 24.1 assists per game. Washington is 25th in the league as they allow 110.9 points per game on the year. John Wall is second on the team with 20.5 points and 10.4 assists per game. Bradley Beal averages a team high 24.1 points a game while Otto Porter Jr. (18.1 points, 7.1 boards, 2.29 steals) continues to move along his development curve.  Markieff Morris and Marcin Gortat (12.3 points, 9.5 rebounds) are the other Washington starters and both are capable scoring options in the low block.  Kelly Oubre Jr. along with Jodie Meeks, Mike Scott and Tim Frazier will be looked at to contribute off the pine. Washington is 10th in field goal percentage as the team shoots a collective 46.1 percent from the floor. The Wizards are tied for 17th in the league with 10 triples a night while ranking tied for 14th in three point shooting. Washington hits 36.4 percent from downtown.

Toronto Raptors Happy to Be Home

Toronto is finally back home as they finished their six game road trip on a positive note. The Raptors play their first home game since October 21 here: they are 2-0 at home on the season. Toronto rallied from a one point deficit at the half to down Utah mainly on the strength of a 26-18 third quarter edge. The Raptors shot 53.5 percent from the field and went 11 of 30 from beyond the arc in the game while winning the rebounding battle 39-33. DeMar DeRozan scored a season-high 37 points in the victory to lead Toronto.

The Raptors currently 6th in the league by averaging 109.3 points per game. Toronto stand in the bottom third of the league on the glass, ranking 21st with 42.5 boards per game. The Raptors are 11th in the league in assists with 22.5 dimes a night. Toronto is 10th in scoring defense as they give up 102.3 points per game. DeMar DeRozan leads Toronto with 23.6 points plus 5.2 boards per contest. Jonas Valanciunas averages 10.5 points plus eight boards per contest. Kyle Lowry is the floor general for the Raptors and he contributes with 13.1 points plus 5.5 boards and 7.3 assists per game. Toronto received solid production from guys like Serge Ibaka (13.7 points, 4.7 rebounds) and Norman Powell: CJ Miles, Lucas Nogueira, Pascal Siakam, OG Anunoby and Delon Wright will be looked at to contribute here. The Raptors are 8th in the league in field goal percentage by shooting 46.5 percent from the field. Toronto is 16th in the league by sinking 10.1 three pointers per game. The Raptors are 29th in the league in three point shooting as they hit 31.4 percent from beyond the arc.

Trends:

Washington

  • Wizards are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600
  • Wizards are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 vs. Eastern Conference
  • Wizards are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. NBA Atlantic

Toronto

  • Raptors are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game
  • Raptors are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days
  • Raptors are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game

The Wizards have struggled with four losses in five games and they just got carved up by a Cavaliers team that had lost four straight. Washington was torched for 57 points by LeBron James in the contest. Toronto is back home for the first time in more than two weeks after their longest road trip of the season and they acquitted themselves well coming home with a .500 mark. Playing at home, where they earned a pair of blowout wins, works in their favor. Take Toronto to come up with the victory.

Pick: Toronto Raptors

Washington’s offense is firing on all cylinders but their defense leaves plenty to be desired so far this season. Now the Wizards have Morris back but he was a non-factor in his season debut, finishing with two points in 14 minutes of action. Toronto is putting up their share of points as well but their defensive numbers aren’t as bad as Washington’s. Ideally, they’d get more from Lowry on the offensive end but that will likely come with time. Being home should be a boost for the Raptors as well.

The over is 4-0 in the Wizards’ last 4 vs. Eastern Conference foes, 7-1-1 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, 5-1 in their last 6 Sunday games and 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 on the season. Toronto has seen the over go 5-0 in their last 5 Sunday games, 5-1 in their last six at home and 5-1 in their last six against the Eastern Conference. This one, especially with Washington’s defensive issues, should go over the total.

Over

4

Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.

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