Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#501 Detroit Pistons 211.5 vs.
#502 Indiana Pacers -6.5
Friday, November 8, 2019 at 7:05pm EST
Bankers Life Fieldhouse, Indianapolis
Written by Chris Kubala



#501 Detroit
#502 Indiana


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A pair of Central Division teams that have already seen each other in the early going this season take the floor in the Hoosier State. The Detroit Pistons are on the road as they make the trip to face the Indiana Pacers Friday night. Detroit comes in off a 122-102 home rout of the Knicks in their last contest on Wednesday night. Indiana picked up a 121-106 home win over the Wizards in the second game of a back to back Wednesday night. The Pacers lead the all-time regular-season series 100-96 but the Pistons have taken both matchups this season, including a 96-94 home triumph in the most recent matchup on October 28, 2019.

Detroit Pistons Seek to Beat Pacers for Third Time This Year

Detroit bounced back from a road loss to Washington as they bulldozed the Knicks at home to get back in the win column. The Pistons now look to down Indiana for the third time already this season having received good news Thursday: Blake Griffin was cleared for all basketball activities and is day-to-day at this point. Detroit led by five at the half before outscoring New York 58-43 in the second half to turn the game into a rout. The Pistons shot a hot 55.7 percent from the field in the game, including 15 of 30 from three-point range, and controlled the glass 43-30. Detroit was led by Andre Drummond, who had 27 points, 12 rebounds and seven assists in the win. Tony Snell kicked in 24 points as he hit all nine of his shots from the floor, including six of six from beyond the arc.

The Pistons enter this contest 20th in the league in scoring offense with 108.8 points per game on the season. Detroit stands 27th in rebounding with 42.4 boards per contest and 15th with 24.1 assists per game. The Pistons are just below the middle of the pack in scoring defense, ranking 17th by allowing 111.2 points per game. Andre Drummond is leading the team in the early going with 21.9 points, 18.6 rebounds, 1.7 steals and 2.2 blocks per game. Derrick Rose contributes 20.8 points plus 6.3 assists a night while Luke Kennard chips in 16.8 points per game. Markieff Morris adds 11.9 points plus 3.9 rebounds a night while Langston Galloway has chipped in 10.1 points a night. Detroit is tied for first in the league in field goal percentage as they hit 47.7 percent from the floor as a team on the year. The Pistons are tied for 17th in threes made per game with 10.9 per contest and stand 3rd in three-point shooting as they connect on 39.7 percent of their shooting from beyond the arc. Reggie Jackson has missed the last seven games with a back injury: it was diagnosed as a stress reaction on November 2 and he is expected to miss at least four weeks. Rose (hamstring) and Griffin have been ruled out while Tim Frazier (shoulder) is doubtful for this contest.

Indiana Pacers Look to Earn Fifth Win in Six Games

Indiana got back in the win column after letting a win slip away in their overtime road defeat to Charlotte in the first game of a back to back set. The Pacers regrouped and took care of business against the Wizards Wednesday night and seek a fifth win in their last six games here. Indiana was tied after the opening quarter before outscoring Washington 44-36 in the second to take an eight-point edge at the half. The Pacers opened a 14-point lead after three quarters and didn’t allow Washington to draw closer than 10 in the final stanza. Indiana shot 46.8 percent from the field, including 12 of 30 from three-point range, and forced 16 Washington turnovers in the contest. T.J. Warren led Indiana with 21 points in the victory.

The Pacers enter this contest 19th in scoring offense with 109 points per game on the season. Indiana is 22nd in the league in rebounding with 44.5 boards per contest and stand 4th with 26 assists per game. The Pacers are 8th in the league in scoring defense as they allow 106.4 points per game this season. Malcolm Brogdon leads the team with 22.3 points, five rebounds plus 9.9 assists per game this season. Domantas Sabonis (20.3 points, 12.3 rebounds), Myles Turner (14.8 points, 6.8 rebounds, 1.3 blocks), T.J. Warren (18 points) and Jeremy Lamb (17 points) are all contributing on the offensive end. The Pacers still miss Victor Oladipo, who is on the comeback trail after last season’s knee injury: he is expected to be re-evaluated in about a month. Turner is week to week with an ankle injury while Sabonis returned against the Wizards after missing two games with a calf contusion. Indiana is 12th in the league in field goal percentage as the team shoots 46 percent from the field this season. The Pacers are 27th in threes made per game as they have drained nine triples a night while the team stands tied for 20th in three-point shooting by hitting 34.4 percent from beyond the arc.

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Indiana has some momentum going for them with four wins in their last five games but fatigue could be a factor in this contest. The Pacers are playing their third game in four nights here and their fourth game in the last six nights. That’s going to take a toll on Indiana, even with the return of Sabonis to their rotation. Detroit has to be happy knowing that Griffin’s return to the lineup is imminent. The Pistons are still going to miss Rose as an option but they have some good pieces to work with. Drummond has put up some big numbers this season and the Pistons own a pair of wins over the Pacers already. Look for Detroit to make it three straight wins over Indiana as they wear them down in the fourth quarter.


Prediction: Detroit Pistons +7.5

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Both teams have had their problems on the offensive end of the floor this season. For Detroit, some of that is simply due to attrition. After all, Griffin has yet to play in a game while Jackson has played in only two and Rose has missed the last three games. That mark jumps to four as he's been ruled out for this contest as well. Indiana is going to be dealing with fatigue as they were home Sunday against Chicago, in Charlotte Tuesday, home against Washington Wednesday and then home here. Turner is unlikely to play, which forces a reshuffle in the low block. Drummond has had a ton of success against the Pacers this season: can he do the job for a third straight time?

The over is 5-1 in the Pistons' last six games against Central Division teams, 4-1 in their last five on the road and 7-2 in their last nine against an opponent that scored at least 100 points in their last game. Indiana has seen the over go 6-1 in their last 7 vs. a team with a losing straight up record and 7-2 in their last nine on Friday. The teams went over the total in the first meeting this season in Indiana: look for the Pistons to try and run the Pacers ragged to exploit the fatigue factor. That will help push this one over the number.

Prediction: Under

Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.