Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#505 Memphis Grizzlies 208 vs.
#506 Orlando Magic -7.5
Friday, November 8, 2019 at 7:05pm EST
Amway Center, Orlando
Written by Chris Kubala



#505 Memphis
#506 Orlando


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It’s an interconference battle on the hardwood down in the Sunshine State. The Memphis Grizzlies are on the road as they make the trip to face the Orlando Magic Friday night. Memphis comes in off a 137-121 victory at home over Minnesota Wednesday night in their last game. Orlando was defeated 107-106 on the road by Dallas in their previous contest Wednesday night. The Grizzlies own a narrow 23-22 edge in the all-time regular-season series between the teams but the Magic has won four of the last five meetings. Last season, the teams split two matchups with Orlando taking a 123-119 home win in the most recent meeting on March 22, 2019.

Memphis Grizzlies Look to Build off Season High Point Total

Memphis had dropped three straight and five of their first six games this season before piling up a season-high in points in their win over Minnesota. The Grizzlies hope that some of that offense comes with them on the road here. Memphis led by 11 after the opening quarter, by eight at the half and by five after three quarters in the game. In the fourth quarter, the Grizzlies saw Minnesota claw within two on several occasions: the team rallied, going on a 19-5 run to take a 131-115 lead with 2:44 to play. That proved to be enough for the victory. Memphis shot a sizzling 56.2 percent from the field, including draining 12 of 23 from three-point range and controlled the glass 49-36. Dillon Brooks led the Grizzlies with 31 points in the loss.

The Grizzlies are 18th in the league in scoring offense as they put up 110 points per game on the year. Memphis stands fifth in the league in rebounding with 48.1 boards a night while the team is sixth by dishing out 25.4 assists per contest. The Grizzlies are 24th in the league in scoring defense as they allow 117.9 points per game on the year. Ja Morant leads Memphis with 20.4 points plus 5.3 assists per game this season. Dillon Brooks puts up 15.1 points a night while Jonas Valanciunas contributes 11.4 points and 9.6 rebounds per game. Brandon Clarke (11.3 points) and Jaren Jackson Jr. (11 points) are solid secondary options. Jae Crowder, Kyle Anderson and Tyus Jones are important rotation pieces for the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies are 19th in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 44.7 percent from the floor as a team this season. Memphis is 28th in the league with 8.6 three-pointers a night while the team is 28th in three-point shooting as they hit 29.4 percent from beyond the arc this season.

Orlando Magic Trying to Get On Track

Orlando suffered their fourth straight loss as they ended up falling short thanks to a series of late miscues. The Magic hopes to get back on track playing on their home floor here. Orlando led by three after the opening quarter and by two at the half only to trail by seven after three quarters. In the fourth, the Magic went back and forth, trailing by one in the final minute. Orlando had three possessions in the last 40 seconds with a chance to take the lead: Aaron Gordon was whistled for an offensive foul on two of them while Nikola Vucevic missed a three-point attempt with 1.1 seconds to play. The Magic shot 48.8 percent from the field, including six of 24 from three-point range, and was hurt by 18 turnovers. Gordon led the Magic with 23 points while Vucevic had 19 points, 11 rebounds and seven assists in the contest.

The Magic is 30th in the league in scoring offense with 95.1 points per game so far this season. Orlando is 8th in the league in rebounding with 46.9 boards per contest and 25th with 21 assists per game this season. The Magic is second in the league in scoring defense as they allow only 99.8 points per contest. Nikola Vucevic contributes 16.3 points plus 10.3 rebounds per contest to lead the team. Evan Fournier is second on the team with 14.3 points per game this season. while Markelle Fultz (10.3 points) and D.J. Augustin (nine points, 4.3 assists) have contributed in the early going. The Magic will need more from Aaron Gordon (13.3 points, 6.1 rebounds), Al-Farouq Aminu and Jonathan Isaac (11.1 points, seven rebounds) in order to have success. Orlando is dead last in the league in field goal percentage by shooting 40.7 percent from the floor as a team. The Magic are 30th in the league in threes per game as they knock down 8.1 triples per contest while the team is 30th in three-point shooting by converting only 26.6 percent of their attempts from beyond the arc.

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Orlando has been miserable offensively this season and one needs look no further than the raw numbers to see that. Ranking last in scoring offense, field goal percentage, threes per game and three-point shooting highlights the problem. Steve Cliffordโ€™s team is tough on defense while they are miserable offensively: theyโ€™re basically what Memphis has been for the last several years in the grit and grind era. The Grizzlies have been better offensively this season than weโ€™ve seen in recent years. Morant has played well as he starts his NBA career: going on the road, you have to be a little worried. Given Orlandoโ€™s struggles offensively, you have to give Memphis the advantage here.

Prediction: Memphis Grizzlies +6.5

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This is going to be an interesting clash as Memphis is looking at the current version of their grit and grind era teams. The new-look Grizzlies have been pushing the pace in the early going this season. Memphis has scored at least 100 points in six of their seven games but they've given up at least 100 points in each of their seven contests. On the other side, Orlando finally cracked the century mark for the first time in their loss to Dallas. Will the Magic find a way to take advantage of the Grizzlies soft defense or will this one end up playing at Orlando's pace?

The over is 4-0 in the Grizzlies last four against Southeast Division teams, 6-1-1 in their last eight games vs. a team with a winning % below .400 and 4-1 in their last five on Friday. Orlando has seen the over go 4-1-1 in their last six on Friday and 6-2 in their last eight after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. The teams have gone over the total in four of the last five meetings in Orlando. Given the way Memphis is playing right now, one has to think Orlando can crack the century mark for the second time to help push this one over the number.

Prediction: Over 208

Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chrisโ€™ content daily.