Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#523 Boston Celtics 216.5 vs.
#524 San Antonio Spurs -2
Saturday, November 9, 2019 at 5:05pm EST
AT&T Center, San Antonio
Written by Chris Kubala

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#523 Boston
#524 San Antonio
6-1
5-3
43-46-2
47-40-2
49-40-2
47-42
111
110
107
109

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It’s an interconference matchup on the hardwood coming to you from the Lone State. The Boston Celtics are on the road as they travel to face the San Antonio Spurs Saturday afternoon. Boston comes in off a 108-87 whipping of Charlotte on the road Thursday night. San Antonio defeated Oklahoma City 121-112 at home on Thursday night. The Spurs lead the all-time regular season series between the teams 54-39 and have taken 14 of the last 15 meetings, including both a season ago. In the most recent matchup, it was San Antonio claiming a 115-96 road win on March 24, 2019.

Boston Celtics Shoot for Seventh Straight Victory

Boston took care of business in Kemba Walker’s return to Charlotte as they dusted the Hornets for their sixth consecutive triumph. The Celtics entered Saturday with a half-game lead over the Raptors in the Atlantic Division. Boston led by 10 after the opening quarter and kept Charlotte at arm’s length the rest of the way. The Celtics saw the Hornets claw within four with 3:43 to play in the half before reeling off an 11-0 run over the next 2:40 to go up 52-37. Boston’s lead didn’t drop below seven the rest of the way. The Celtics shot 43 percent from the field, including 10 of 33 from beyond the arc, while forcing Charlotte into 20 turnovers. Boston also limited the Hornets to 38.4 percent shooting, including six of 31 from beyond the arc. Jayson Tatum led the Celtics with 23 points and nine rebounds in the win.

The Celtics enter this contest ranked tied for 17th in the league in scoring offense with an average of 110 points per game this season. Boston is 7th in rebounding by pulling down 47 rebounds per contest and stand tied for 20th in assists with 23.1 dimes per game. On the season, Boston is fifth in the league in scoring defense by allowing 102.1 points per contest. The Celtics are led offensively by Kemba Walker, who puts up 24.3 points, 5.1 rebounds and four assists per game on the year. Jayson Tatum puts up 21.6 points plus 7.5 boards a night while Jaylen Brown (16 points, 6.3 rebounds), Gordon Hayward (20.3 points, 7.9 boards) and Marcus Smart (9.6 points) are solid contributors offensively. Enes Kanter will miss his seventh straight game with a knee bruise he sustained in his team debut. Boston is 21st in the league in field goal percentage by shooting 43.9 percent from the floor as a team on the year. The Celtics are tied for 12th in three-pointers per game as they drain 12.1 triples per night while they rank 16th by hitting 35 percent of their attempts from beyond the arc.

San Antonio Spurs Try to Extend Mastery Over Boston

San Antonio had dropped two straight and three of their previous four before outgunning the Thunder at home Thursday night. The Spurs now turn their attention to a Boston team that they have owned in recent years hoping to build a little momentum. San Antonio led by three after the opening quarter only to trail by one at the half. The Spurs took the lead for good with a 7-0 run early in the third quarter to take a 71-65 lead. San Antonio’s lead didn’t drop below three the rest of the way as they had an answer for every Oklahoma City run. The Spurs shot 54.3 percent from the floor, including nine of 20 from three-point range, and controlled the glass 47-31. LaMarcus Aldridge poured in a season-high 39 points to lead San Antonio in the victory, hitting 19 of 23 from the floor.

The Spurs are average offensively this season, ranking 14th in scoring offense with 112.3 points per game. San Antonio is 3rd in rebounding with 48.8 boards a contest while the team is 18th in assists with 23.4 dimes per game. San Antonio is 15th in the league in scoring defense as they allow 109.9 points a game. DeMar DeRozan leads the team with 20 points per contest this season. LaMarcus Aldridge (19 points, 6.6 rebounds), Bryn Forbes (14.5 points) and Derrick White (11.9 points) are solid contributors as well on the offensive end. Dejounte Murray (12.9 points, eight rebounds, 5.4 assists), Patty Mills (11.6 points) and Rudy Gay (10.5 points, 6.9 rebounds) are solid secondary scoring options. The Spurs are tied for 7th in the league by shooting 46.7 percent from the field. San Antonio is 29th in three-point field goals per game with 8.4 per contest. The Spurs are 25th in the league by knocking down 32.7 percent of their long-range attempts.

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San Antonio has gone 4-1 at home on the year with their lone loss a seven-point defeat to a hot Lakers team. On the flip side, Boston is clicking right now with six straight wins on the ledger. The Celtics have found something that works with Walker, Tatum and Hayward working as an effective trio that is light years ahead of anything we saw while Kyrie Irving was wearing the green and white. Boston is on a roll right now and they can throw a series of guys at Aldridge to slow him down, which is something the Thunder failed to do Thursday night. In the end, Boston’s momentum and perimeter shooting helps them exorcise the demon of playing in San Antonio as they get their first win in the city since 2011.

Prediction: Boston Celtics +1

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Boston has been excellent on the defensive end of the floor this season and, unlike in previous seasons, they have multiple players that are capable of filling up the stat sheet on any given night. That kind of versatility is something that appeals to Brad Stevens and makes the Celtics that much more difficult to defend. San Antonio has a nice mix of veterans and youth but they're going to have to be more aggressive from the perimeter to contend in the crowded Western Conference. The Spurs are solid at home but can they keep their mystique over the Celtics in this one?

Boston has seen the over go 6-1 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record and 5-2 in their last seven on Saturday. San Antonio has seen the over go 7-1 in their last eight at home, 6-1 in their last seven against teams with a winning record and 4-1 in their last five against an opponent coming off a game where they scored at least 100 points. The teams have gone over the total in each of the last four games in San Antonio and 6-1 in  the last seven meetings overall. Given Boston's scoring depth and San Antonio's talent for spreading the wealth, this one gets over the number.

Prediction: 216.5
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Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.