Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#531 Cleveland Cavaliers 213.5 vs.
#532 Philadelphia 76ers -10.5
Saturday, December 7, 2019 at 7:35pm EST
Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia
Written by Chris Kubala

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W/L
ATS
O/U
PPG
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#531 Cleveland
#532 Philadelphia
5-16
15-7
37-43-2
46-48
45-36-1
46-47-1
104
114
114
111

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It’s a battle of Eastern Conference teams on the hardwood in the City of Brotherly Love. The Cleveland Cavaliers are on the road as they travel to face the Philadelphia 76ers Saturday night. Cleveland was knocked off 93-87 at home by Orlando in their last game on Friday night. Philadelphia was upended 119-113 on the road by Washington in their last contest Thursday night. The 76ers own a 108-103 advantage in the all-time regular season series and have taken the last four meetings. That includes a 114-95 road win in the most recent matchup on November 17.

Cleveland Cavaliers Try to End Skid at Five

Cleveland suffered their fifth straight loss as they were shut down by Orlando at home Friday night. The Cavaliers enter this contest in the basement of the Central Division, 14 games behind the Bucks. Cleveland led by one after the opening quarter, trailed by five at the half and rallied to lead by two after three quarters. The Cavaliers led 81-79 with 6:57 to play but was outscored 14-6 the rest of the way to wind up with the loss. Cleveland shot 42.2 percent from the field, including 10 of 34 from three-point range, but was hurt by 18 turnovers in the contest. Collin Sexton led the Cavaliers with 19 points in the loss.

The Cavaliers are 28th in the league in scoring this season with 104.2 points per game. Cleveland is 21st in rebounding with 44 caroms a night while the team stands 28th with 20.4 assists per contest. The Cavaliers are below average defensively, ranking 18th in scoring defense by allowing 112.8 points per game. Kevin Love is second on the team with 16.7 points, 10.7 rebounds and 2.8 assists per contest this year. Collin Sexton (team-high 18.1 points), Tristan Thompson (13.9 points, 10.6 rebounds) and Jordan Clarkson (14 points) are scoring in double figures on the year. Larry Nance Jr. (10.8 points, 7.4 rebounds), Cedi Osman, Darius Garland (10.8 points) and Kevin Porter Jr. are key pieces of the rotation for the Cavaliers. Cleveland is 26th in the league by shooting 43.6 percent from the field. The Cavaliers are 19th in the league in made threes with 10.9 triples a night while ranking 25th in three-point shooting by shooting 34.2 percent from downtown.

Philadelphia 76ers Look to Remain Unbeaten at Home

Philadelphia has been on a roll at home but dropped to 5-7 on the road this season after a disappointing loss to the Wizards Thursday night. The 76ers enter this game third in the Atlantic Division, 1.5 games behind the Celtics. Philadelphia was up eight after the opening quarter but was outscored 40-22 in the second to trail by 10 at halftime. The 76ers were playing catch-up the rest of the way and couldn’t get closer than five in the second half. Philadelphia shot 53.2 percent from the field, including 13 of 28 from three-point range, but was burned by 21 turnovers in the game. Joel Embiid finished with 26 points plus 21 rebounds but committed eight turnovers in the loss to lead the 76ers.

The 76ers are tied for 17th in the league in scoring offense as they put up an average of 108.8 points per game on the year. Philadelphia is 10th by collecting 46.2 rebounds per contest while the team is sixth by dishing out 26 assists per game. The 76ers are tied for 5th in the league in scoring defense as they allow 104.4 points per game this season. Joel Embiid leads Philadelphia with 22.6 points, 12.7 rebounds and 2.8 assists per game on the year. Tobias Harris puts up 19.1 points plus 7.2 boards a game, Ben Simmons adds 13.2 points, 6.9 rebounds, 8.5 assists and 2.5 steals a night while Al Horford (14.4 points, seven rebounds) along with Josh Richardson (16.1 points) are all off to strong starts this season. Furkan Korkmaz, Mike Scott and Raul Neto are key reserves for Brett Brown’s group. Philadelphia is 7th in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 46.9 percent from the field as a team on the year. The 76ers are tied for 21st in the league as they splash 10.7 triples a night while ranking 11th by shooting 36.2 percent from beyond the arc on the year.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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Cleveland is dealing with issues from a variety of angles. The Cavaliers are reportedly listening to trade offers for Love, who is their lone proven veteran scoring option. There are reports that the team is tuning out Beilein as they don’t like the college coaching style that he employs. Philadelphia has struggled on the road but they are unbeaten at home. That includes a rally to beat the Cavaliers here by a point last month in the first meeting this season. The 76ers are a tough team at home and they come up with the tough plays when it matters. Give Philadelphia the upper hand in this contest.

Prediction: Philadelphia 76ers -11.5

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We've seen Cleveland struggle to put points on the board for the majority of this season and the loss to Orlando was no different Friday night. The Cavaliers finished with only 87 points in the loss. In their two losses to Philadelphia, Cleveland has mustered 97 and 95 points, respectively, this season. Philadelphia allows only 98.6 ppg at home this season while averaging 107.2 ppg in those contests. Cleveland is averaging only 101.8 ppg on the road: can the Cavaliers find a way to upstage the 76ers here?

The under is 9-2 in the Cavaliers' last 11 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game, 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game and 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Philadelphia has seen the under go 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game and 6-0 in their last six on one day of rest. The under is 19-8 in the last 27 meetings between the teams. This one ends up under the number as the defense of the 76ers shuts down a weak Cleveland offense.

Prediction: Under

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Philadelphia comes into this contest holding a +3 ppg scoring differential in the opening half of games this season. That puts the 76ers seventh in the league in that category on the year. On the flip side, Cleveland has a disappointing -7.4 ppg differential in the opening half on the year. The Cavaliers are dead last in that category. It makes it tough to back the Cavaliers, especially on the road against a 76ers team that is unbeaten on the year. Philadelphia has the lead at the half.

Prediction: Philadelphia 76ers

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Philadelphia has put up 55.4 ppg in the first half of their games this season. The 76ers allow 52.4 ppg in those contests, giving them an average first half of 107.8 ppg on the year. Cleveland stands dead last in the league in first half scoring with 49.6 ppg this season. The Cavaliers give up 57 ppg in the first half, giving their average opening half as 106.6 ppg to date. Given Cleveland's offensive woes, coupled with the 76ers' home defense and that the Cavaliers are playing the second game of a back to back, this one is under the mark at the half.

Prediction: Under
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Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.