Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#533 Indiana Pacers -5 vs.
#534 New York Knicks 209.5
Saturday, December 7, 2019 at 7:35pm EST
Madison Square Garden, New York
Written by Chris Kubala

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W/L
ATS
O/U
PPG
OPPG
#533 Indiana
#534 New York
14-8
4-18
40-45-1
33-47-2
35-50-1
36-45-1
107
104
104
113

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A pair of Eastern Conference teams take the floor in the Big Apple. The Indiana Pacers are on the road as they travel to face the unraveling New York Knicks Saturday night. Indiana was upended 108-101 on the road by Detroit in their last game Friday night. New York was pasted 129-92 at home by Denver in their last contest Thursday night. The Knicks lead the all-time regular season series 91-87 but the Pacers have won the last six meetings, including a 103-98 home victory in the last matchup between the teams on March 12, 2019.

Indiana Pacers Play Second Game of Back to Back

Indiana had won two straight and seven of their last eight before getting upended by the Pistons for the third time this season Friday night. The Pacers enter this contest second in the Central Division, 5.5 games behind the scorching Bucks. In a wild game, Indiana trailed by 13 after the opening quarter and by 11 at the half. The Pacers rallied to lead by four after three quarters and stood tied in the final minute. Indiana gave up the go-ahead bucket with 41.4 seconds to play as part of a game-ending 7-0 run that doomed them. The Pacers shot 45.8 percent from the field, including nine of 24 from three-point range, and were drubbed 51-33 on the glass. T.J. Warren led Indiana with 26 points in the loss.

The Pacers enter this contest 16th in scoring offense with 109.9 points per game on the season. Indiana is 19th in the league in rebounding with 44.7 boards per contest and stand 12th with 24.8 assists per game. The Pacers are 6th in the league in scoring defense as they allow 104.4 points per game this season. Malcolm Brogdon leads the team with 18.9 points, 4.9 rebounds plus 7.9 assists per game this season. Domantas Sabonis (18.4 points, 13 rebounds), Myles Turner (12.2 points, 5.8 rebounds, 2.2 blocks), T.J. Warren (18 points) and Jeremy Lamb (16.6 points) are all contributing on the offensive end. The Pacers still miss Victor Oladipo, who is on the comeback trail after last season’s knee injury: he has been practicing with the Fort Wayne Mad Ants of the G League. Indiana is tied for 4th in the league in field goal percentage as the team shoots 47.4 percent from the field this season. The Pacers are 28th in threes made per game as they have drained 9.7 triples a night while the team stands 8th in three-point shooting by hitting 36.7 percent from beyond the arc.

New York Knicks Hope to Get Things on Track

New York suffered their eighth straight loss as they were waxed by Denver at home in their last game Thursday night. The Knicks enter this one with the worst record in the Eastern Conference and in the basement of the Atlantic Division, 12.5 games behind Boston. New York’s blowout loss led to the firing of coach David Fizdale: assistant Mike Miller is the interim head coach. The Knicks were down just six after the opening quarter before getting outscored 34-18 in the second to trail by 22 at the half. New York trailed by as many as 43 in the game before closing the game on a 9-2 run. The Knicks shot 41 percent from the field, including nine of 34 from three-point range, and lost the rebounding battle 48-33. New York allowed Denver to shoot 56.3 percent overall and 21 of 39 from beyond the arc. Mitchell Robinson led the Knicks with 17 points and seven rebounds off the bench in the loss.

The Knicks enter this game 30th in the league in scoring offense with 100.5 points per game on the year. New York is 20th in the league in rebounding with 44.1 boards a night while ranking 30th by dishing out 19.8 assists per contest this year. The Knicks are 17th in scoring defense by allowing 111.3 points per game this season. Rookie RJ Barrett is third on the team with 14.4 points plus 5.1 rebounds per contest on the year. Julius Randle (16.8 points, 8.5 rebounds), Marcus Morris Sr. (team-high 18.3 points, six rebounds), Kevin Knox II (7.9 points), Bobby Portis (8.9 points, 5.8 rebounds) and Mitchell Robinson (8.9 points, 6.7 rebounds, 1.9 blocks) are performing well in the new-look rotation for the Knicks this season. New York is 30th in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 42.2 percent from the floor as a team. The Knicks are tied for 21st in threes per game as they knock down 10.7 triples per game while the team stands tied for 15th in three-point shooting as they connect on 35.8 percent of their attempts from beyond the arc.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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New York is struggling with just four wins in their first 22 games to start the season. The Knicks are going nowhere fast this season as it looks like another season of on the job training for their young guys as they try to build their nucleus. Changing Fizdale out for Miller and whoever inevitably gets the job is like rearranging deck chairs on the Titanic. The Knicks don’t have the proven talent to work with in their roster. Indiana is playing the second game of a back to back here but they are miles better than New York in the talent department. The Pacers come out with a vengeance and bury New York in this contest.

 

Prediction: Indiana Pacers -6

Full-Game Total Pick

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Indiana is playing the second game of a back to back in this situation. The Pacers are 1-2 in the second game of back to backs this season, scoring an average of 106.7 ppg while allowing 109 ppg in those games. Indiana has averaged 109.7 ppg on the road while allowing 105.8 ppg this season. New York has put up a measly 100.5 ppg at home on the season while allowing 108.8 ppg this season. With Miller as the interim coach, it's unclear if anything will change in the rotation. Can New York find a way to surprise the basketball world and prevail?

The under is 5-2 in the Pacers' last 7 games as a road favorite and 10-4 in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. New York has seen the under go 6-0 in their last six on Saturday, 11-3 in their last 14 at home and 12-4-1 in their last 17 on one day of rest. Given the Knicks' inability to score and Indiana's normally tough defense, this one falls under the mark.

Prediction: 208

Half-Time Side Pick

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Indiana comes into this one just 20th in the league in first half scoring with 54.3 ppg this season. With that said, the Pacers are tied for 10th with their +2.3 ppg scoring differential in the first half of games. New York is 29th in first half scoring with an average of 50.1 ppg this season. The Knicks stand 27th in scoring differential with a -5.6 ppg mark in the first half this season. Based on those numbers, the Pacers should have the edge at the half.

Prediction: Indiana Pacers -2.5

Half-Time Total Bet

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Indiana has put up an average of 54.3 ppg in the first half of their games this season. The Pacers are tied for fourth in the league in first half scoring defense by giving up 52 points per game. That's an average of 106.3 ppg in the opening half of games this season. New York scores 50.1 ppg while ranking 19th in the league in first half scoring defense as they allow 55.7 ppg this season. That gives the Knicks an average of 105.8 ppg in the first half of their games. Given that both teams fall under the total set here, coupled with Indiana playing the second game of a back to back and furthered by the Knicks being in complete chaos, this one falls short of the number.

Prediction: Under 106.5
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Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.