Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#543 Toronto Raptors 210.5 vs.
#544 Philadelphia 76ers -3
Sunday, December 8, 2019 at 6:05pm EST
Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia
Written by Chris Kubala

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#543 Toronto
#544 Philadelphia
15-6
16-7
52-52-2
46-48
54-49-3
46-47-1
112
114
106
111

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A pair of Atlantic Division rivals take the floor in the City of Brotherly Love. The Toronto Raptors are on the road as they travel to face the Philadelphia 76ers Sunday evening. Toronto was defeated 119-109 at home on Thursday night in their last contest. Philadelphia was in action at home as they hosted Cleveland on Saturday night: they were upended by Washington 119-113 on the road Thursday night in their previous contest. The Raptors lead the all-time regular season series 55-38 and have won four of the last five meetings. That includes a 101-96 home win in the first matchup this season on November 25.

Toronto Raptors Look to Stop Skid at Two

Toronto suffered their second straight defeat as they were beaten at home by Houston Thursday night. The Raptors entered Saturday night second in the Atlantic Division, one game behind the Celtics for the top spot. Toronto trailed by six after the opening quarter, by eight at the half and by six after three quarters. The Raptors got within one at 101-100 with 8:39 to play before giving up a 12-3 run to trail by 10 with 6:34 to play. Toronto couldn’t get make another sustained run and went down in defeat. The Raptors shot 43.2 percent from the field, including 12 of 39 from three-point range, and were beaten 54-45 on the glass. Pascal Siakam led Toronto with 24 points and nine rebounds in the loss.

The Raptors are 12th in the league in scoring offense with 112.9 points per game this season. Toronto is 9th in the league with 46.1 rebounds per contest and stands 7th in assists with 25.8 per game. The Raptors are 8th in the league in scoring defense by allowing 105.7 points per game. Pascal Siakam leads the team with 25 points plus 8.6 rebounds per contest. Kyle Lowry contributes 20.5 points plus 7.1 assists a game while Fred VanVleet puts up 18.7 points and 7.3 assists per contest. Serge Ibaka (13.5 points, 6.4 rebounds), Norman Powell (13.4 points, four rebounds) and OG Anunoby (10.9 points, 5.4 rebounds) are guys that Nick Nurse is relying on in the Raptors’ rotation. Toronto is 12th in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 45.7 percent from the floor as a team. The Raptors are fourth in threes per game this season as they have knocked down 14.2 triples per contest while the team is second in the league in three-point shooting by hitting 38.9 percent of their chances from long range.

Philadelphia 76ers Close Back to Back Home Set

Philadelphia was in action at home against Cleveland with their perfect home record on the line. The 76ers entered Saturday third in the Atlantic Division, 1.5 games behind the Celtics. Philadelphia went into Saturday 10-0 at home on the year. The 76ers average 109.2 ppg at home this season, slightly above their season average of 108.8 ppg overall. Philadelphia gives up just 98.6 ppg in their home contests, compared to their full season average of 104.4 ppg this season. The 76ers are 2-1 in the second game of back to back situations this season. Philadelphia has gone 3-1 against teams from the Atlantic Division on the year.

The 76ers are 17th in the league in scoring offense as they put up an average of 108.8 points per game on the year. Philadelphia is 8th by collecting 46.2 rebounds per contest while the team is sixth by dishing out 26 assists per game. The 76ers are 5th in the league in scoring defense as they allow 104.4 points per game this season. Joel Embiid leads Philadelphia with 22.6 points, 12.7 rebounds and 2.8 assists per game on the year. Tobias Harris puts up 19.1 points plus 7.2 boards a game, Ben Simmons adds 13.2 points, 6.9 rebounds, 8.5 assists and 2.5 steals a night while Al Horford (14.4 points, seven rebounds) along with Josh Richardson (16.1 points) are all off to strong starts this season. Furkan Korkmaz, Mike Scott and Raul Neto are key reserves for Brett Brown’s group. Philadelphia is 7th in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 46.9 percent from the field as a team on the year. The 76ers are tied for 22nd in the league as they splash 10.7 triples a night while ranking 12th by shooting 36.2 percent from beyond the arc on the year. Richardson is dealing with a hamstring issue while Embiid has a bruised hip: both missed Saturday’s game against Cleveland.

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Philadelphia has played excellent basketball at home this season but this one is going to be tricky. The 76ers are playing the second game of a back to back and their third game in four nights here. Richardson likely will miss another game here as he continues to recover from that hamstring injury while Embiid likely will be a question mark. Philadelphia is going to be battling fatigue here and that’s trouble against a talented, deep Toronto team. The Raptors dropped two straight at home but they are on the road here. Toronto has two days of rest and they’re motivated to get back on track. Look for the Raptors to come up with the win over a tired Philadelphia squad.

Prediction: Toronto Raptors +3

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Toronto has been decent offensively and solid on the defensive end of the floor this season. The Raptors have rest on their side as they make this trip. Toronto has averaged 106.7 ppg on the road this season, which is solidly below their full season mark of 112.9 ppg. The Raptors allow only 103.2 ppg in those contests, which is better than their full season average of 105.7 ppg. Philadelphia has been great at home entering Saturday, putting up 109.2 ppg at home while allowing 98.6 ppg. The teams combined for 197 points in the first meeting this season. With the 76ers battling fatigue here, can they keep their play up on both ends of the floor?

The under is 7-2 in the Raptors' last 9 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Philadelphia has seen the under go 7-1 in their last eight overall, 7-1 in their last eight as a favorite, 10-2 in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record and 4-1 in their last five as a home favorite. The teams have stayed under the total in seven of the last nine meetings. Look for fatigue to wear on the 76ers to help keep this one under the mark.

Prediction: Under 210.5

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Toronto has a +2.9 ppg scoring differential in the first half of their games this season. That mark leaves the Raptors seventh in the league this season in that category. Philadelphia owns a +3 ppg in the first half of their games entering Saturday night's action. That puts the 76ers just in front of Toronto as they are sixth in the league in that category. Philadelphia is at home but playing the second game of a back to back and their third in four nights slows them down. Give the Raptors the edge in this one.

Prediction: Toronto Raptors

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Toronto stands 12th in the league in scoring offense in the first half this season as they average 56.1 ppg to this point. The Raptors are 11th in first half scoring defense as they allow 53.2 ppg in those games. That gives an average first half for Toronto around 109.3 ppg this season. Philadelphia entered Saturday tied for 14th by putting up 55.4 ppg this season in the first half. The 76ers are tied for sixth in scoring defense by allowing 52.4 ppg, which puts their average first half at the 107.8 ppg mark. With both teams playing tough defense, this one likely ends up short of the mark.

Prediction: Under
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Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.