Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#555 Los Angeles Clippers 216.5 vs.
#556 Indiana Pacers -2
Monday, December 9, 2019 at 7:05pm EST
Bankers Life Fieldhouse, Indianapolis
Written by Chris Kubala

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#555 Los Angeles
#556 Indiana
17-7
15-8
48-39-1
40-45-1
49-38-1
35-50-1
115
107
114
104

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It’s an interconference contest on the hardwood in the Hoosier State. The LA Clippers are on the road as they travel to face the Indiana Hoosiers Monday night. LA was in action on the road Sunday night as they battled the defensively challenged Wizards in the nation’s capital: they were dumped 119-91 on the road by Milwaukee Friday night in their last game. Indiana escaped with a 104-103 road win over the Knicks in their last game Saturday night. The Pacers lead the all-time regular season series 56-33. Last season, the teams split two meetings with the Clippers taking a 115-109 home win in the most recent matchup on March 19, 2019.

LA Clippers Play Second Game of Back to Back Situation

LA was in action on the road against the Wizards in the nation’s capital on Sunday night. The Clippers entered Sunday second in the Pacific Division, four games behind the Lakers. Entering the contest, LA was fourth in the Western Conference playoff picture. The Clippers have done most of their damage at home this season as they are just 3-6 on the road. LA averages 111.3 ppg on the road compared to their full-season mark of 114.4 ppg this year. The Clippers give up 115.6 ppg on the road, which is far worse than their full-season mark of 108.3 ppg this year. LA is 3-1 in the second game of back to back situations this season.

The Clippers are currently 6th in the league in scoring offense with 114.4 points per game. LA is 2nd in the league in rebounding with 49 boards per game and stands 21st in assists with 23.2 per contest. The Clippers are above average defensively, ranking 12th in scoring defense by allowing 108.3 points per game. Paul George is second on the team with 22.7 points, 6.2 rebounds and 3.3 assists per game on the season after missing the first 11 games of the season. Kawhi Leonard contributes a team-leading 24.5 points, 8.4 rebounds and 5.5 assists but has missed five games this year. Lou Williams (20.7 points, 6.2 assists) and Montrezl Harrell (18.7 points, eight rebounds) are both averaging in double figures as well. JaMychal Green, Ivica Zubac, Patrick Beverley, Patrick Patterson and Landry Shamet are other key pieces for Doc Rivers. LA is 13th in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 45.6 percent from the floor. The Clippers are 18th in three pointers a game with 11.6 per contest and tied for 14th in three-point shooting as they hit 35.6 percent of their long-range attempts.

Indiana Pacers Look to Defend Home Floor

Indiana survived the second game of their own back to back Saturday night as they edged the Knicks by a point on the road. The Pacers entered Sunday second in the Central Division, five games behind the Bucks. In the playoff picture, Indiana stood sixth in the Eastern Conference. Indiana led by five after the opening quarter, by six at the half, by eight after three quarters and by 10 in the opening minute of the fourth. The Pacers went ice cold down the stretch as they were scoreless over the final 5:17 of the game. Indiana got by when Julius Randle clanked a potential game-tying field goal with 0.1 seconds to play. The Pacers shot 48.2 percent from the field, including 12 of 28 from three-point range, and overcame 17 turnovers in the contest. T.J. Warren led Indiana with 25 points in the win.

The Pacers enter this contest 17th in scoring offense with 109.2 points per game on the season. Indiana is 20th in the league in rebounding with 44.1 boards per contest and stands 11th with 24.8 assists per game. The Pacers are 6th in the league in scoring defense as they allow 104.5 points per game this season. Malcolm Brogdon leads the team with 19 points, 4.9 rebounds plus 7.7 assists per game this season. Domantas Sabonis (18.4 points, 13.1 rebounds), Myles Turner (11.3 points, 5.7 rebounds, 2.2 blocks), T.J. Warren (18.7 points) and Jeremy Lamb (16 points) are all contributing on the offensive end. The Pacers still miss Victor Oladipo, who is on the comeback trail after last season’s knee injury: he has been practicing with the Fort Wayne Mad Ants of the G League. Indiana is 6th in the league in field goal percentage as the team shoots 47.3 percent from the field this season. The Pacers are 28th in threes made per game as they have drained 9.8 triples a night while the team stands 5th in three-point shooting by hitting 37 percent from beyond the arc.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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Both teams are playing their third game in four nights here. LA was in Milwaukee Friday and Washington Sunday before this contest. Indiana was in Detroit Friday before going to New York Saturday. The Pacers do have the edge of having Sunday off at home, giving them a bit of a breather before this game. LA has really struggled on the road and it’s going to be interesting to see how they respond in this one. Indiana has played pretty well at home on the year and they have the rest factor. In a battle of deep rotations, give the slight edge to Indiana thanks to being at home here.

 

 

Prediction: Indiana Pacers

Full-Game Total Pick

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The Clippers have been an explosive offense and even with their road struggles, still put up 111.3 points per game as the visiting team. LA's defense has to step up and play better than they have on the road this season for them to hang in this game. Indiana has been stingy at home this season, allowing only 103.1 points per game. The Pacers' defense is a major reason why the team has had success this season. Indiana is 9-2 at home on the year: can they defend their home floor with another solid defensive performance?

The Pacers are known for their defense and the Clippers are playing their second game of a back to back here. While LA averages 226.8 ppg combined in the second game of back to back situations (114.5 ppg for, 112.3 ppg against) this season, you can't expect that kind of production here. Both teams are logging the third game of a back to back and as a result, this one falls under the number.

Prediction: Under

Half-Time Side Pick

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The Clippers come into this contest ranked eighth in the league with a +2.7 ppg scoring differential in the first half this season. On the road, however, LA stands tied for 13th with a -0.4 ppg scoring differential at the half. Indiana stands 11th in the league with a +1.9 ppg scoring differential at the half. Playing at home, that number jumps to +4.4 ppg this season, which is also 11th in the league. Based on those numbers, you have to give the Pacers the edge at the half.

Prediction: Indiana Pacers

Half-Time Total Bet

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LA is 14th in the league in first half scoring as they put up 55.7 ppg this season. The Clippers rank 10th in the league in first half scoring defense as they allow 53 ppg this season. That gives an average of 108.7 ppg in the first half of the Clippers' games this season. Indiana is tied for 19th in scoring offense in the first half by averaging 54.3 ppg this season. The Pacers stand eighth in scoring defense by allowing 52.5 ppg in the first half this season. That gives an average of 106.8 ppg in the first half of Indiana games on average. As a result, and factoring in that both teams are playing their third game in four nights, this one is under the mark at the half.

Prediction: Under
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Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.