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Atlanta Hawks vs. Milwaukee Bucks,
2-13-2018 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#503 Atlanta
Hawks 207
#504 Milwaukee
Bucks -7.5

Tuesday, February 13, 2018 at 8:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Atlanta Hawks

18 - 39

29-26
ATS
27-29
O/U
103
PPG
108
OPPG

Milwaukee Bucks

31 - 24

25-25
ATS
27-26
O/U
104
PPG
104
OPPG

Betting Trends

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A battle of Eastern Conference teams in different situations as far as the standings go meet up in Brew City. The Atlanta Hawks, fighting to climb out of the conference basement, are on the road to face the surging Milwaukee Bucks Tuesday night. Atlanta snapped a two game slide by upsetting the Pistons 118-115 at home Sunday afternoon. Milwaukee bounced back from a loss to Miami by beating Orlando 111-104 on the road Saturday night. The Hawks hold a 110-104 advantage in the all-time regular season series between the teams but it was the Bucks taking the last two, including a 117-106 road win in the first matchup this season on October 29, 2017.

Atlanta Hawks Look to Pick Up Road Win

Atlanta got back in the win column after dropping two straight as they beat Detroit at home. The Hawks now go on the road looking for a win: they are just 5-22 as the visiting team this season. Atlanta trailed by one at the half, led by two after three quarters and didn’t put the game away until the final minute as they handed Detroit a second straight loss. The Hawks shot 48.7 percent from the field, including 10 of 29 from beyond the arc, and hit 32 of 37 free throw attempts in the win. Dennis Schroder had 23 points and seven assists to lead Atlanta in the contest.

The Hawks are 20th in the league in scoring offense with 104 points per game this season. Atlanta is 26th in the league in rebounding (40.7 rpg) and 6th with 23.9 assists per contest. The Hawks are 23rd in the NBA in scoring defense as they allow 108.1 points per game. Dennis Schroder leads the team with 19.6 points plus 6.4 assists per contest. Taurean Prince kicks in 12.2 points plus 4.8 rebounds a game and John Collins adds 10.3 points with seven rebounds per contest. Dewayne Dedmon (10.1 points, 7.5 boards), Ersan Ilyasova (10.8 points, 5.4 rebounds), Malcolm Delaney, Kent Bazemore (12.9 points, four boards, 1.63 steals) and Mike Muscala have to contribute on the offensive end. The Hawks are tied for 22nd in the league by shooting 45.1 percent from the floor as a team. Atlanta is 9th in the league with 11.1 made three pointers a night and 7th in three point shooting as the team hits 37 percent from beyond the arc.

Milwaukee Bucks Try to Keep Hot Streak Going

Milwaukee ran their record to 8-2 since Jason Kidd was fired as they took down the Magic to close a back to back in the Sunshine State. The Bucks entered Monday two games behind Cleveland for the top spot in the Central Division. Milwaukee trailed by five after the first quarter and by four at the half before outscoring Orlando 28-20 in the third quarter. The Bucks never trailed in the fourth quarter to earn the win. Milwaukee shot 52.4 percent from the field and went nine of 25 from three point range in the contest. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the Bucks with 32 points in the win.

The Bucks are average so far this season offensively, ranking 18th in the league with 104.4 points a game. Milwaukee is below average on the boards as they are 30th with 39.1 rebounds per game. The Bucks are 18th in assists as they dish out 22.4 per contest. Milwaukee is 11th in scoring defense as they allow 104.3 points per game. Giannis Antetokounmpo is the do-everything guy for Milwaukee: he leads the team with 27.9 points along with 10.3 rebounds, 4.7 assists, 1.29 blocks and 1.45 steals per game. Malcolm Brogdon adds 13.3 points per contest, Khris Middleton adds 20 points plus 5.3 boards and 4.2 assists a night and Tony Snell chips in 7.3 points per game. Brogdon suffered a quadricep tear against the Timberwolves on February 1 and is expected to miss six to eight weeks. Matthew Dellavedova, Eric Bledsoe (17 points, 4.3 assists), Sean Kilpatrick, Jabari Parker, John Henson, Mirza Teletovic and Thon Maker are all going to have to contribute for the Bucks. Teletovic is out indefinitely with pulmonary emboli in both lungs and knee surgery while Dellavedova is likely out until early March with an ankle injury. Milwaukee is 5th in the league in field goal percentage as the team shoots 47.8 percent from the floor. The Bucks are 28th with 8.6 three point field goals per game and stand 25th as they shoot 35 percent from beyond the arc.

Trends:

Atlanta

  • Hawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Central
  • Hawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game
  • Hawks are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 vs. Eastern Conference

Milwaukee

  • Bucks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400
  • Bucks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record

The Hawks are struggling on the road all season and things don’t look to be that much more promising here. Atlanta still has yet to put together three straight wins at any point this season. Milwaukee has won eight of ten and is pushing the Cavaliers in the Central Division. Playing at home after having a couple days off should work in the Bucks’ favor: look for them to come up with the victory in this contest as they keep rolling.

Pick: Milwaukee Bucks -7.5

Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.

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