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Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Indiana Pacers Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 3-14-2019

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#561 Oklahoma City
Thunder 222
#562 Indiana
Pacers -1

Thursday, March 14, 2019 at 7:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Oklahoma City Thunder

42 - 26

36-32
ATS
32-35
O/U
115
PPG
110
OPPG

Indiana Pacers

43 - 25

33-34
ATS
28-40
O/U
108
PPG
103
OPPG

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Featured Video from Scott Steehn

It’s an interconference battle on the hardwood in the Hoosier State. The Oklahoma City Thunder is on the road as they make the trip to face the Indiana Pacers Thursday night. Oklahoma City was at home Wednesday night as they faced Brooklyn in an interconference contest. Indiana held off New York 103-98 at home in their last contest Tuesday night. The Thunder holds a 50-37 advantage in the all-time regular season series. Last season, Oklahoma City swept both meetings, including a 100-95 road win in the last matchup on December 13, 2017.

Oklahoma City Thunder Closing Back to Back Set on the Road

Oklahoma City was in action at home against Brooklyn Wednesday night in an interconference tilt. The Thunder entered Wednesday tied for fourth in the Western Conference, 4.5 games behind the Warriors for the top spot: they were 3.5 games behind the Nuggets in the Northwest Division race. Oklahoma City is 6-4 in the second game of back to back situations this season. The Thunder averages 112.2 points per game in those situations, which is below their season average of 115.2 points per contest. Oklahoma City gives up just 106.2 points a night in those games, which is better than their full season mark of 111.1 points a night.

The Thunder is above average offensively this season as they are 4th with an average of 115.2 points per game. Oklahoma City is 2nd in the league in rebounding with 48.1 boards per contest. The Thunder is 23rd in assists with 23.1 per game. Oklahoma City is 15th in the league in scoring defense as they allowed 111.1 points a night. Oklahoma City is tied for 16th in the league in field goal percentage as the team shoots 45.7 percent from the floor. The Thunder is tied for 18th with 10.9 made threes per game and stand tied for 23rd in three-point shooting at 34.5 percent. Oklahoma City is just 4-6 in their last 10 games. During that stretch, the Thunder is 29th in field goal percentage (43.1 percent) and 29th in three-point shooting at 31.2 percent. Paul George leads the way for Oklahoma City in that stretch as he puts 24.3 points, 9.4 rebounds and two steals in that stretch but is shooting only 34.2 percent from the floor. Russell Westbrook has been producing as well, putting up 30 points, 10.4 rebounds and 6.9 assists a night. The Thunder do need better showings from Dennis Schroder, who is shooting 34.6 percent from the field and 22.8 percent from three-point range, and Jerami Grant (47.7 percent shooting) in order to try and provide secondary scoring options.

Indiana Pacers Seek Back to Back Wins

Indiana had lost two straight and three of four before picking up the win over the Knicks in their last contest Tuesday night. The Pacers entered Wednesday fourth in the Eastern Conference standings, eight games behind the Bucks in the Central Division and Eastern Conference races. Indiana trailed by two after the opening quarter, led by three at the half, by 12 after three quarters and by 16 with 7:14 to play in the game. The Pacers withstood the Knicks’ challenge and got the win despite getting outscored 17-6 the rest of the way. Indiana shot 43.5 percent from the field, including eight of 28 from three-point range, and forced 20 turnovers in the contest. Bojan Bogdanovic led the Pacers with 24 points in the win.

The Pacers are 21st in the league in scoring with 108.2 points a night. Indiana is 24th in the league in rebounding by collecting 43.1 boards per game. The Pacers are 7th in assists with 26 per game but have been solid defensively this season. Indiana is 2nd in the league in scoring defense, allowing 103.9 points per game. Indiana is tied for 4th in the league by shooting 47.6 percent from the field. The Pacers are tied for 27th with 9.6 threes per game. Indiana stands 5th in the league as they’re knocking down 37.4 percent from beyond the arc. In the last 10 games, the Pacers are 26th in scoring offense (108.4 points per game) while they are 13th in the league in field goal percentage at 46.4 percent. Bojan Bogdanovic has carried the scoring load for Indiana in that stretch as he leads the team with 23.3 points per game. He’s shooting 51.5 percent from the field and 43.6 percent from beyond the arc. Indiana has six players averaging in double figures points a night in that stretch, including buyout pickup Wesley Matthews, who averages 12.6 points per game since joining the team. He’s knocked down 29 triples, hitting 37.7 percent from beyond the arc. Darren Collison has stepped up his game recently to help replace Victor Oladipo: he’s averaging 14.5 points, 6.7 assists and is shooting 46.3 percent from the floor in that stretch.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

Oklahoma City is going to be battling the fatigue factor in this one as they play the second game of a back to back situation here. It’s also the Thunder’s third game in four nights in their third different city, which is going to take a toll. George has been ice cold shooting the ball of late, as has the rest of the team as a whole. Indiana has their magic number to earn a playoff berth down to three. The Pacers are getting pieces back in the rotation and they are at home here. Look for Indiana to come up with the victory in this contest as they take advantage of a tired Thunder team.

Prediction: Indiana Pacers -1

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

Oklahoma City is going to have tired legs and you have to wonder how that will affect them here. Indiana is a terrific defensive team that will make life miserable for opposing teams. George makes his second trip back to Indiana after being traded before last season and you know that the Pacers are going to try to continue his recent slide. The Thunder is really cold from the floor in the last 10 games, ranking next to last in field goal percentage and three-point shooting: can they pick up a win here?

The under is 4-1 in the Thunder’s last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record, 7-2 in their last 9 overall and 22-9 in their last 31 games against Central Division opponents. Indiana has seen the under go 4-0 in their last four overall, 5-1 in their last six on Thursday and 4-1 in their last five at home against teams with a winning road record. This one falls short of the number as the Thunder runs out of gas down the stretch to take the loss.

Prediction: Under 222

Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.

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