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Golden State Warriors vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 3-16-2019

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#507 Golden State
Warriors 231.5
#508 Oklahoma City
Thunder -1.5

Saturday, March 16, 2019 at 8:35pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Golden State Warriors

46 - 21

27-39
ATS
33-34
O/U
117
PPG
112
OPPG

Oklahoma City Thunder

42 - 27

36-33
ATS
32-36
O/U
114
PPG
110
OPPG

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Featured Video from Scott Steehn

A pair of Western Conference teams take the floor in the Sooner State looking to pick up a victory. The Golden State Warriors are on the road as they make the trip to face the Oklahoma City Thunder Saturday night. Golden State edged Houston 106-104 on the road in their last game Wednesday night. Oklahoma City was edged 108-106 on the road by Indiana in their last contest Thursday night. The Thunder owns a 138-111 advantage in the all-time regular season series. This season, the teams split two meetings, with Oklahoma City rolling to a 123-95 win on the road in the most recent matchup on November 23, 2018.

Golden State Warriors Trying to Extend Western Conference Edge

Golden State has alternated wins and losses in their last six as they held off a late charge on the road by the Rockets. The Warriors entered Friday holding the top spot in the Western Conference, one game ahead of the Nuggets: they led the Pacific Division by eight games over the Clippers. Golden State led by 10 after the opening quarter, saw their lead sliced to two at the half, and reextended their edge to seven after three quarters. The Warriors were up 102-89 with 4:52 to play only to see Houston draw within one with 10.3 seconds to go. Golden State managed to hang on for dear life late. The Warriors shot 49.4 percent from the field, including 12 of 32 from three-point range, and won the rebounding battle 44-31. Klay Thompson led the Warriors with 30 points in the win: Kevin Durant missed the game with an ankle injury.

The Warriors currently are 1st in the league in scoring with 118 points per game. Golden State stands 9th in rebounding with 46.1 boards per contest. The Warriors are 1st in the league by dishing out 29.1 assists a night. Golden State is below average defensively as they are 19th in scoring defense, allowing 112.2 points a night. The Warriors are 1st in the league as they are shooting 48.8 percent from the floor as a team this year. Golden State is 3rd with 13 triples a night while the team is 3rd by sinking 37.8 percent of their attempts from beyond the arc. In the last 10 games, Kevin Durant has led the way for the Warriors as he puts up 26.1 points, 4.8 rebounds and four assists per game while shooting 49 percent from the field. Klay Thompson has put up 27.3 points and 3.4 assists a night in that stretch while shooting 49.7 percent from the field, including 44 percent from beyond the arc. Stephen Curry is contributing 24.4 points, 5.9 rebounds and 5.3 assists a night while shooting 41.1 percent from the floor. As a team, the Warriors are 5-5 in that stretch: they are 10th in the league with 113.3 points per game and stand tied for ninth by shooting 46.9 percent from the floor.

Oklahoma City Thunder Hoping to Regroup After Late Game Meltdown

Oklahoma City let one slip away as fatigue got the better of them late against the Pacers on the road Thursday. The Thunder entered Friday night fifth in the Western Conference, five games behind the Warriors: they were four back of the Nuggets in the Northwest Division race. Oklahoma City led by seven after the opening quarter, by 13 at the half and by as many as 18 in the game. The Thunder was still up 96-85 with 6:27 to go only to see Indiana rip off a 19-5 run to go up three. With the game tied in the final seconds, the Thunder gave up a score off an offensive rebound for the decisive bucket. Oklahoma City shot 44.2 percent from the field, including 14 of 30 from three-point range, and was hurt by 17 turnovers. Paul George paced the Thunder with 36 points in the loss.

The Thunder is above average offensively this season as they are 4th with an average of 114.9 points per game. Oklahoma City is 2nd in the league in rebounding with 48.1 boards per contest. The Thunder is 23rd in assists with 23.1 per game. Oklahoma City is 14th in the league in scoring defense as they allowed 110.9 points a night. Oklahoma City is tied for 16th in the league in field goal percentage as the team shoots 45.7 percent from the floor. The Thunder is tied for 18th with 10.9 made threes per game and stand tied for 20th in three-point shooting at 34.8 percent. Oklahoma City is just 4-6 in their last 10 games. During that stretch, the Thunder is tied for 28th in field goal percentage (43.2 percent) and 28th in three-point shooting at 32.1 percent. Paul George leads the way for Oklahoma City in that stretch as he puts 24.6 points, 8.4 rebounds and 2.4 steals in that stretch but is shooting only 35 percent from the floor. Russell Westbrook has been producing as well, putting up 26.6 points, 10.5 rebounds and 7.9 assists a night. The Thunder do need better showings from Dennis Schroder, who is shooting 35.1 percent from the field and 25.5 percent from three-point range, and Jerami Grant (46.4 percent shooting) in order to try and provide secondary scoring options.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

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Oklahoma City is playing their fourth game in the last six nights and that is going to be something to watch for here. We mentioned playing the third game in four nights in a third different city was a point of concern in the Indiana game and it ended up catching up with the Thunder late. Facing the Warriors is always a tough challenge. Golden State put together a win despite missing Durant as DeMarcus Cousins put up 27 points, eight rebounds and seven assists. The Warriors star power is deep enough that they get the upper hand over a thin Oklahoma City team as Westbrook and George can’t do enough to bail them out.

Prediction: Golden State Warriors

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

Both teams have had their ups and downs of late with the Warriors losing half of their last 10 games. Oklahoma City is playing their fourth game in six nights and have seen George go cold from the floor of late. Schroder has been frigid and the Thunder has been going with a shorter rotation as well. Golden State is uncertain as to whether Durant will take the floor here though he did return to practice Friday according to coach Steve Kerr. Can the Warriors take care of the Thunder on the road in this contest?

The under is 4-0 in the Warriors’ last 4 games playing on 2 days of rest, 6-0 in their last 6 overall, 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 4-0 in their last four on Saturday. Oklahoma City has seen the under go 4-0 in their last four at home, 4-0 in their last four overall, 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game and 8-1 in their last 9 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. The teams have stayed under the number in five of their last six meetings in Oklahoma City and 17 of the last 22 meetings overall. Look for this one to come up just shy of the number as cold shooting late keeps things short.

Prediction: Under

Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.

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