Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#1537 Sacramento Kings vs.
#1538 Washington Wizards
Saturday, March 18, 2023 at 8:10pm EDT
Capital One Arena, Washington
Written by Mason Folz

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This Saturday, the (42-27) Sacramento Kings will travel to Washington, DC to take on the (32-37) Washington Wizards. Tipoff will be at 8:00 PM EST inside the Capital One Arena. This will be the second meeting between these two teams this regular season, as the Wizards won the last battle, 125-111.

The Sacramento Kings will be coming into this one after defeating the Brooklyn Nets, 101-96. They looked solid on the defensive end of the court, as they will need to carry that momentum over into this one if they want to challenge the Wizards on the road.

The Washington Wizards are entering this game after taking down the Detroit Pistons, 117-97. They were incredible on both ends of the court, as they will have to stay hot in this one if they want to get the job done at home,

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This game was written/published before last night's results.

Can the Kings Stay Hot on the Road?

The Sacramento Kings are currently in second place in the Western Conference standings, as they are 4.5 games back from the first-place Denver Nuggets. They are also (8-2) in their last 10, as they have been playing great basketball. On offense, they are scoring 120.9 points per game and they have shot 49.7% from the field. This is the most points scored per game and the second-highest team shooting percentage. According to dunksandthrees.com, the Kings have the highest adjusted offensive rating in the NBA. De'Aaron Fox continues to lead the way on the offensive end of the court, as he is scoring 25.5 points per game on 51.4% shooting from the floor. Sacramento has also shown that it can efficiently score from anywhere on the floor. They are shooting 37.1% from deep, which is the ninth-highest three-point shooting percentage in the league. They are also knocking down 79.7% of their shots at the charity stripe, which is the ninth-highest free-throw shooting percentage.

On the defensive end of the court, the Kings are holding their opponents to 118.2 points per game and they have shit 49.3% from the field. This is the 27th most point surrendered per game and the second-highest shooting percentage allowed. According to dunksandthrees.com, the Kings have the 26th-lowest adjusted defensive rating in the NBA. They have struggled to consistently contest shots near the rim and behind the arc, as their opponents have shot 37.2% from deep. This is the 25th-highest three-point shooting percentage allowed, as they have to close out on open jump shooters if they want to stay competitive in these games. They are also averaging 42.3 rebounds per game, which is the 22nd most in the league.

Injury Report: Kevin Huerter SG (Leg) and Richaun Holmes PF (Illness) are questionable. 

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Will the Wizards Make a Run?

The Washington Wizards are (4-6) in their last 10 games played and they are in 10th place in the Eastern Conference standings. They are currently 17.5 games back from the first-place Milwaukee Bucks. On offense, they are scoring 113 points per game and they have shot 48.6% from the floor. This is the 21st most points per game and they have shot 48.6% from the floor. This is the 21st most points scored per contest and the seventh-highest shooting percentage. According to dunksandthrees.com, the Wizards have the 12th-highest adjusted offensive rating in the NBA. Kristaps Porzingis continues to lead the way on the offensive end of the court, as he is scoring 22.9 points per game on 48.9% shooting from the floor. Washington has also shown that they are more successful when they are attacking the basket. They have shot 35.8% from deep, which is the 18th-highest three-point shooting percentage in the league. Washington has also shown 79% at the charity stripe, as this is the 13th-highest free-throw percentage in the NBA.

On the defensive end of the court, the Wizards are allowing 113.2 points per contest and their opponents have shot 46.6% from the floor. This is the 14th most points allowed per game and the seventh-lowest shooting percentage allowed. According to dunksandthrees.com, the Wizards have the 20th-lowest adjusted offensive rating in the NBA. They have consistently challenged shots in the paint and on the perimeter, as their opponents have shot 36.1% from deep. This is the 17th-highest three-point shooting percentage allowed, as they have to apply pressure on the outside if they want to stay competitive in these games. Washington has also snatched 43.8 rebounds per game, which is the 11th most.

Injury Report: Kyle Kuzma SF (Knee) is probable.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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Rating:

I am going to ride with the Sacramento Kings and I am going to lay the points (-3) on the road. The Wizards aren't good enough defensively to consistently slow the Kings down, as they won't get enough stops to cover this spread. According to dunksandthrees.com, the Wizards only have the 20th lowest adjusted defensive rating and they are surrendering the 14th most points per game. Sacramento is one of the best offensive teams in the NBA, as they are scoring the most points per game and they have the highest adjusted offensive rating. They will efficiently score throughout this game and cover this spread. Sacramento is also (8-2) in their last 10 games played, as they are playing great basketball right now. They are the hotter team and they will be ready for this matchup on the road. Now, Washington won't have the same offensive success, as they are only averaging the 21st most points per game and they've struggled to shoot from the outside. Sacramento will defend the paint and do everything they can to keep the Wizards off the scoreboard.

Pick the Sacramento Kings and lay the points (-3) on the road.

Prediction: Sacramento Kings -3

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Full-Game Total Pick

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Rating:

I will be hammering the over in this matchup, as I see both of these teams scoring enough points to push this total over the number. According to dunksandthrees.com, the Kings have the 10th highest adjusted tempo rating, as they will sprint the ball up the court and look to score in transition as often as they can. This will allow both teams to take more shots from the floor, as they will have plenty of opportunities to push this total over the number. I haven't been impressed by either of these defenses either. The Kings have the 26th lowest adjusted defensive rating and they are only holding their opponents to the 27th least amount of points per game. The Wizards will find different ways to score against them and do their part in pushing this total over the number. But, the Kings will score the majority of the points that we need. They are one of the best offenses in the NBA this season and Washington has continued to struggle on the defensive end of the court. They won't get consistent stops and the the total will fly over the number.

Pick the over and expect an offensive battle in this one.

Prediction: Over
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Written By Mason Folz , "Mason Folz"

Mason graduated from the University of Colorado, Boulder and he has been watching SportsCenter since before he could walk. He has been crunching numbers since he could learn to count and nothing makes Mason happier in this world than talking sports, unless he is on the golf course! We are very happy to have added Mason to our team at StatSalt and you will be glad as well. Let's win some money!