Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#2667 Denver Nuggets vs.
#2668 Golden State Warriors
Monday, April 12, 2021 at 10:05pm EDT
Oracle Arena, Oakland
Written by Doug Gilghrist

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The Denver Nuggets go on the road for just one game, as they take on the Golden State Warriors on Monday evening. The Nuggets are coming off a five-game homestand, in which they won four of five. Their lone loss came on Sunday, as they lost a 105-87 decision to the Boston Celtics. The Warriors are coming off a 125-109 victory over the Houston Rockets on Saturday.

Denver is 26-27 against the spread this season, while the over-under is 30-22-1. The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last two games. They were a 3.5-point favorite in their loss to Boston. Golden State is 24-29 against the spread, while the over-under is 22-30-1. The Warriors covered the spread in their last game, as they were a seven-point favorite in their 16-point win over Houston on Saturday.

Nuggets let one get away

The Denver Nuggets were closing in on their ninth straight win on Sunday night when the wheels fell completely off the bus against the Boston Celtics. With Denver leading 79-65 late in the third quarter, the Celtics went on a 31-3 run to stun the Nuggets and send them to their first loss since March 24. Denver scored just eight points in the fourth quarter, as they were outscored 31-8. The Nuggets shot just 36.4% from the floor and 23.5% from three-point range in the game. Michael Porter, Jr. led the way for Denver with 22 points and 11 rebounds, but he was just 1-12 from three-point range. Nikola Jokic added 17 points in the loss, while Facundo Campazzo chipped in with 14 points.

Overall, the Nuggets have won 17 of their last 21 games. They are led by Jokic, who is averaging 26.3 points, 10.9 rebounds, and 8.8 assists per game this season. Jamal Murray, who has missed the last four games with a knee injury, is averaging 21.3 points per game, while Porter, Jr. adds 17.1 points per game. Murray is listed as questionable for Monday's game. Denver has one of the best offensive teams in the NBA, as they are ranked fourth in points per game (115.6), second in field goal percentage (49.0%), and fifth in three-point shooting (38.9%). Defensively, they are giving up 110.1 points per game, while their opponents are shooting 46.9% from the floor and 36.2% from three-point range this season.

Warriors win game, lose center

The Golden State Warriors got a big win on Saturday night, as they defeated the Houston Rockets by 16 points. That win, however, came at a price, as seven-footer James Wiseman exited the game early on. He was diagnosed with a torn meniscus and is likely out for the remainder of the season. He was averaging 11.5 points and 5.8 rebounds per game this season. As for the game itself, Golden State used a 33-18 second quarter to take control of the game and cruise to the victory. Stephen Curry scored 38 points in the game (23 of which came in the third quarter) to lead the Warriors to the win. Andrew Wiggins was the only other starter who scored in double figures, as he chipped in with 25 points in the win. Golden State shot 53.8% from the floor and 40.0% from three-point range in the game.

“Steph was tremendous,” Warriors coach Steve Kerr said on espn.com. “The shot-making, not just the 3s but some of the shots he hit around the basket. He had a highlight reel worth of plays out there tonight.”

Curry leads the team in scoring with an average of 29.9 points per game, which is second-best in the NBA. Wiggins is next with 18.1 points per game, while Kelly Oubre, Jr. adds 15.3 points per game for the Warriors. Oubre, Jr. will miss Monday's game with a wrist injury, however. Golden State is averaging 112.2 points per game this season, while they are shooting 46.3% from the floor and 36.7% from three-point range. Defensively, they are giving up 114.0 points per game, while their opponents are shooting 45.6% from the floor and 36.9% from three-point range.

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The Denver Nuggets look to bounce back from their worst quarter of the season, as they scored just eight points in the fourth quarter against the Celtics. Before that collapse, they had the Celtics on the ropes. The Nuggets had won eight straight games before Sunday, and they have still won 17 of their last 21 games overall. Golden State is coming off a big win, but they lost their center for the remainder of the season. They may have been able to beat Houston without Wiseman, but don't expect the same thing to happen on Monday. Oubre, Jr. is also out for Golden State, which means they will be without two of their top four scorers. The Warriors aren't good enough to overcome those losses against a good team, so take Denver to win big.

Prediction: Denver -3.5

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Golden State will be without two of their top scorers in this game, so don't expect a lot of offense from the Warriors on Monday. Denver is coming off an 87-point performance in their last game, and they have scored 106 points or less in four of their last seven games. The last 10 meetings between these two teams have averaged just 223.3 points per game. Denver is ninth in the NBA in points allowed this season, so look for them to hold the short-handed Warriors to well below their average in this game. This will be a relatively low-scoring game, so take the under.

Prediction: Under 228.5
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Written By Doug Gilghrist , "Doug Gilghrist"

Doug has a Journalism degree from Slippery Rock University in Pennsylvania. He has been a passionate sports fan, especially Pittsburgh sports, for over 40 years. In his journalistic career, Doug has covered just about every sport imaginable and is now plying his trade for us here at Winners & Whiners and StatSalt. Doug has always been fascinated by numbers, especially as they relate to sports, so writing for this website is right up his alley.