Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#2555 San Antonio Spurs vs.
#2556 Orlando Magic
Monday, April 12, 2021 at 8:05pm EDT
Amway Center, Orlando
Written by Nick Raffoul

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The San Antonio Spurs will head on the road to the Amway Center on Monday night for a matchup versus the tanking Orlando Magic.

San Antonio is hoping to build some momentum after snapping a five-game slide on the road in Dallas on Sunday. The Spurs enter the week in ninth place in the Western Conference standings with a 25-26 overall record, putting them five games back of the coveted No. 6 seed. Meanwhile, Orlando’s quest for one of the NBA’s top draft picks is officially underway. The Magic currently trail the Detroit Pistons by 1.5-games for the third-worst record in the NBA and a chance at the best odds in the current NBA Lottery format.

Can the Spurs take advantage of a tanking Magic team on the road in Orlando on Monday night?

DeRozan's jumper helps Spurs snap skid

San Antonio broke out of its recent funk on Sunday with a 119-117 road win versus the Dallas Mavericks. DeMar DeRozan scored 27 of his team-high 31 points in the second half and hit a mid-range jumper with 0.5 seconds remaining to help the Spurs earn their first win in six games. DeJounte Murray added 25 points, five assists, and four steals for the Spurs while Lonnie Walker IV scored all 13 of his points in the final 13 minutes of game action.

The Spurs have struggled in back-to-back sets this year. San Antonio is just 2-6 in the second game of a back-to-back this season. The Spurs compact schedule has also made it difficult for head coach Gregg Popovich to give his veterans a much-needed day off. Patty Mills and Rudy Gay have struggled since the All-Star Break, shooting a combined 39.2 percent from the field over the last 19 games.

According to dunksandthrees.com, the Spurs have been worse than their 25-26 overall record might indicate, sporting an adjusted net rating of -1.8 through 51 games, good for 22nd in the league. San Antonio ranks 19th in the NBA on offense with an adjusted 109.5 rating and 15th with an adjusted defensive rating of 112.2.

Bamba continues to impress in loss vs. Bucks

Orlando suffered an ugly 124-87 loss at home versus the well-rested Milwaukee Bucks on Sunday night. Mo Bamba finished with a team-high 21 points and five rebounds off of the bench, knocking down 5 of his 6 attempts from 3-point range in the loss. Rookie Cole Anthony also played well off of the bench, adding 12 points, seven rebounds, and five assists on the night but Orlando shot just 8-for-36 (22.2 percent) from 3-point range as a team.

After not being able to break into the rotation over the past three seasons, Bamba has been a revelation for Magic fans since the trade deadline. The former No. 6 overall pick has suddenly morphed into the team’s best 3-point shooter, knocking down a healthy 50 percent of his attempts from downtown over the last nine games. During that span, Bamba is averaging a healthy 12.4 points, 5.4 rebounds, and 1.2 blocks per game. He’s been even hotter over his last four games, shooting a blistering 12-for-17 from beyond the arc (70.5 percent).

According to dunksandthrees.com, the Magic have been one of the NBA’s worst teams this season. Orlando ranks 29th in the league with an adjusted net rating of -7.6 and an adjusted offensive rating of only 105.3 through 53 contests. Despite playing with a depleted roster, head coach Steve Clifford still has the Magic buying in defensively, where they sport an adjusted rating of 112.8, 22nd in the NBA.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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The Magic come into this game as 6.5-point underdogs after getting run out of the gym against the Bucks on Sunday. Orlando remains 1.5-games behind the Detroit Pistons for a bottom-three record in the NBA but the Magic could have trouble catching them down the stretch. Head coach Steve Clifford has his team competing on both ends of the floor and they should be able to give the Spurs a run for their money in this game. Take Orlando to cover the spread at home in this matchup against San Antonio on Monday night. 

Prediction: Orlando Magic +6.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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The Magic have been speeding up the pace since the trade deadline, which bodes well for the total in this game. While Orlando is still better on the defensive end of the floor, it has taken a step backward in that department over its last six contests, giving up at least 110 points in every contest and an average of 122 points per game during that stretch. Meanwhile, the Spurs have also been playing faster since letting go of LaMarcus Aldridge, which should lead to a high-scoring affair here. Take this matchup to go over the projected total on Monday evening.

Prediction: Over 219
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Written By Nick Raffoul , "Nick Raffoul"

Shortly after graduating with an Honors in Business Administration, Nick turned his attention from traditional stocks and bonds to investing in the performance of sports teams. And has now joined our team here at Winners & Whiners. Nick uses a combination of advanced stats and historical data to create sports investment models to identify value and generate consistent profits. Let Nick win for you.