Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#503 Golden State Warriors vs.
#504 Philadelphia 76ers
Monday, April 19, 2021 at 7:35pm EDT
Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia
Written by Chris Kubala

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It’s an interconference battle between a pair of teams currently on the right side of the playoff cut line in the City of Brotherly Love. The Golden State Warriors are on the road as they make the trip to face the Philadelphia 76ers Monday night. Golden State was knocked off 119-114 on the road by the Celtics Saturday night in their most recent contest. Philadelphia held off the Clippers 106-103 at home Friday night in their most recent contest. In the all-time regular-season series between the teams, the 76ers hold a 168-152 advantage, including a 108-98 road victory in the first meeting this season on March 23.

Golden State Warriors Look to Start New Win Streak

Golden State was hot early but faded in the final minutes against Boston, seeing their four-game win streak come to an end. The Warriors entered Sunday fourth in the Pacific Division, 12.5 games behind the Suns for the top spot. In the Western Conference playoff picture, the team stood ninth, five games behind sixth-place Portland for the final guaranteed playoff spot and 2.5 games ahead of 11th-place New Orleans to remain in the playoff picture. Against Boston, Golden State led by nine after the opening quarter and by as many as 16 in the first half. The Warriors saw their lead trimmed to six at the half and were even after three quarters. Golden State led by six with 4:10 to play and found themselves tied at 111 with 57.8 seconds to play before running out of steam. The Celtics outscored the Warriors 8-3 over that final 57.8 seconds to earn the win. Golden State shot 51.2% from the field, including 17 of 40 from three-point range, but turned the ball over 17 times in the loss. Stephen Curry led the Warriors with 47 points and seven rebounds in the loss.

On the season, the Warriors are 15th in the league in scoring offense as they put up an average of 113 points per game on the year. Golden State stands 25th in the league in rebounding with an average of 42.5 boards a night while they stand 1st by dishing out an average of 27.5 assists a night. The Warriors are 21st in the league in scoring defense as they allow 113.6 points per contest. Stephen Curry leads the team with 31 points, 5.6 rebounds and 5.9 assists per game on the season. James Wiseman kicks in 11.5 points plus 5.8 boards a night while Andrew Wiggins puts up 18.2 points a game. Golden State looks to Kelly Oubre Jr. (15.3 points, six rebounds), Draymond Green, Eric Paschall (9.5 points), Kent Bazemore, Juan Toscano-Anderson, Kevon Looney and Jordan Poole (10.8 points) to contribute on both ends of the floor for coach Steve Kerr. As a team, the Warriors are 16th in the league by shooting 46.6% from the floor on the year. Golden State stands 7th by knocking down an average of 14.1 three-pointers a night while they are 12th by shooting 37.2% from three-point range on the season.

Wiseman (knee) is out for the season after surgery while Paschall is out with a hip injury. Oubre Jr. missed Saturday’s game with a wrist injury and it’s unclear if he’ll take the floor here.

Philadelphia 76ers Try to Stay Atop Eastern Conference

Philadelphia ran their win streak to four as they jumped on the Clippers early and hung on down the stretch to get the victory between division leaders. The 76ers entered Sunday holding a one-game lead over the Nets for the top spot in the Atlantic Division standings. In the Eastern Conference playoff picture, the team was first, one game up on Brooklyn and four games ahead of third-place Milwaukee. Against LA, Philadelphia jumped to a 20-3 lead just 3:50 into the contest and led by 11 after the opening quarter. The 76ers led by 12 at the half, saw their lead trimmed to four after three quarters and trailed by two with 4:56 to play. Philadelphia regrouped, reeling off a 9-2 run over the next three-plus minutes to take a 101-96 edge with 1:48 to go. The 76ers hung on, not letting the Clippers closer than one the rest of the way and survived a missed three-pointer on LA’s final possession that would have tied the game. Philadelphia shot 42.2% from the field, including 14 of 44 from three-point range, and forced 19 Clippers turnovers in the contest. Joel Embiid led the 76ers with 36 points and 14 rebounds in the win.

For the year, Philadelphia is 12th in the league in scoring offense as they put up 113.7 points per contest this season. The 76ers are fifth in rebounding by pulling down 45.7 boards per game while they stand 24th in assists by dishing out 23.2 dimes a night. Philadelphia is above average on the defensive end of the floor as they are 7th in the league by allowing 108.4 points per game. Joel Embiid leads the team with 30 points and 11.1 rebounds per game this season. Tobias Harris contributes 20.5 points plus 7.2 rebounds per contest while Seth Curry adds 12 points a night. Ben Simmons (14.8 points, 7.6 rebounds, 7.1 assists) and Shake Milton (13.6 points) are averaging in double figures as well. Furkan Korkmaz, Danny Green, George Hill, Dwight Howard, Tyrese Maxey, Mike Scott and Matisse Thybulle are key contributors for Philadelphia. The 76ers are 9th in the league in field goal percentage as they hit 47.6% of their attempts from the floor. Philadelphia is 26th as they connect on 11 three-pointers a game while the team is 15th in three-point shooting as they knock down 36.8% of their attempts from beyond the arc this year.

Hill is day-to-day as he continues to recover from thumb surgery. Howard (knee) and Harris (knee) both missed Friday’s game so watch for any updates regarding their status.

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This one is going to be a battle as the Warriors were rolling before getting knocked off by Boston in a duel between Curry and Jayson Tatum. Philadelphia has four straight wins on the book as they took care of the Clippers in their last game. The 76ers have plenty of depth and talent in their rotation, especially if Harris returns to action after missing Friday’s contest. Golden State is putting a lot of pressure on Curry to step up and carry the team. He’s averaged 39.1 points a game over his last 10 contests. Without Oubre Jr., that’s taken another option out of the mix for the Warriors. Philadelphia beat the Warriors on the road last month and they are at home here, where they are 22-5 on the season. Give the edge to the 76ers as they maintain their momentum.

Prediction: Philadelphia 76ers -8

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One thing we’ve seen this year is that the Warriors are second in the league in pace with an average of 102.4 possessions per contest on the year. Golden State is in the middle of the pack offensively while they are below average on the defensive end of the floor. Philadelphia loves to run and push the pace. The 76ers are 9th in the league in tempo with 100.2 possessions per contest on the season. We know that Philadelphia can rack up points at home as they average 117.3 points per game as the hosts this season. In the first meeting between the teams, we saw them combine for only 206 points. You have to think that more points are on the horizon in this contest, helping this one go over the mark.

Prediction: Over
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Written By Chris Kubala , "Chris Kubala"

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