Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#2577 Denver Nuggets vs.
#2578 Golden State Warriors
Friday, April 23, 2021 at 10:05pm EDT
Oracle Arena, Oakland
Written by David Delano

This article covers a past game!

View upcoming games.

The Golden State Warriors will host the Denver Nuggets on Friday night. These two teams have met twice this season with the home team winning and covering the spread both times. Denver won 114-104 as a 4.5 point favorite on January 14, and Golden State came away with a 116-107 victory as a five-point dog on April 12. Stephen Curry has shined in the season series averaging 44 points in the two games while shooting 59.7% from the field and 51.7% from three-point range.

Nuggets keep winning even without Murray

The Denver Nuggets are 38-20 overall on the season, currently fourth in the Western Conference standings. The Nuggets trail the Los Angles Clippers by 2.5 games for the third seed.

On Wednesday, Denver won its fourth straight game with a 106-105 victory as a 1.5-point road favorite against the Portland Trailblazers. Nikola Jokic led the way with 25 points, nine rebounds, and five assists. Michael Porter Jr was second on the. team with 17 points shooting 8 of 12 from the field.

The Nuggets are one of the NBA's most balanced teams on both sides of the floor, averaging 115.5 ppg, fourth in the league. Denver is also second shooting 48.8% from the field and fifth making 38.4% on threes. On the season, Jokic leads the team with 26.4 points, 11.0 rebounds, 8.7 assists, and 1.4 steals per game. Jokic is also the top player in the league with a 31.6 player efficiency rating (PER). The team's second leading scorer Jamal Murray who averaged 21.2 ppg in 48 games has not played since April 12 against Golden State, and is out of the season with a torn ACL. The Nuggets have won all four of their games since Murray has been out. On defense the Nuggets are 10th allowing 110.2 ppg.

Curry has torched Denver this season

The Golden State Warriors are 29-30 overall, which places them 10th in the Western Conference which would give them the final play-in spot. After defeating Philadelphia 107-96 as a 4.5 point home dog on Monday, the Golden State Warriors lost to the Washington Wizards 118-114 as a two-point road favorite on Wednesday. In the loss to Washington, the Warriors' top two scorers came off the bench. Kelly Oubre Jr scored a team-high 24 points and Jordan Poole added 22 points. Kent Bazemore led the Warriors starters with 19 points and nine rebounds. MVP contender Steph Curry had a rough night shooting 7 of 25 from the field and 2 of 14 from three-point range, finishing with 18 points.

On the season, Golden State is 15th, averaging 112.9 ppg, shooting 46.4% from the floor, which is 17th, and 12th shooting 37.2% from three-point range. Defensively Golden State is 21st, holding the competition to 113.4 ppg. Curry leads the NBA in scoring averaging 31.1 ppg while shooting 48.6% from the floor, 42.5% from three-point range, and 92.2% from the charity stripe. Andrew Wiggins is second on the team with 18.1 ppg, and Kelly Oubre Jr, who was acquired from the Phoenix Suns in the offseason, has added 15.3 ppg. Draymond Green averages 6.7 ppg but leads the team with 6.5 rebounds, 8.5 assists, and 1.7 steals per game.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


Golden State is coming off of a disappointing loss to Washington, which included a rare subpar performance by Steph Curry. The Nuggets have won their last four games since Jamal Murray went done for the season, but their last two wins only came by a combined total of three points. The Warriors have played well at home against the spread recently and should bounce back to cover on Friday.

Prediction: Golden State Warriors +3

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


The Nuggets' last seven road games against a team with a winning home record have all gone under the total. The Warriors have also seen six of their last seven home games fall below the total when facing a team with a road winning percentage above .600.  There were 218 combined points scored the first time Golden State played Denver this season, and 223 combined points scored the last time they faced each other. I think the total here is too high. Take the under on Friday.

Prediction: Under 228

Written By David Marotta , "David Delano"

David Delano is a Bowling Green State University graduate with a passion for sports, traveling, and music. David loves to handicap MLB, NFL, NCAAF, NCAAB, NBA, WNBA, and is also a big fan of boxing and track and field. Over the years, David has worn several hats in the sports world, from being behind the camera to writing, filming, editing, scouting, and coaching, along with servicing his clients as a sports handicapper.  We are glad to have David on our team, so be sure and follow along.