Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#543 Milwaukee Bucks vs.
#544 Golden State Warriors
Tuesday, April 6, 2021 at 10:05pm EDT
Oracle Arena, Oakland
Written by The Admiral

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Milwaukee Bucks (32-17) vs. Golden State Warriors (23-27)

The Milwaukee Bucks will be looking for their fourth straight victory when they take on the Golden State Warriors on Tuesday. Milwaukee defeated Sacramento on Saturday, 129-128 for their third straight win. Golden State will be looking to snap a three-game losing streak. They lost to Atlanta on Sunday, 117-111.

Milwaukee has won the last two contests between these teams, including a 138-99 victory on Christmas day, 2020. These teams have split the last 10 meetings with Milwaukee winning four of the last five. Milwaukee is favored by 3.5-points.

Bucks Hold Off Kings

The Kings rallied from eight points down heading in the fourth quarter to pull within one, but Milwaukee held on for the 129-128 victory. The Bucks were led in scoring by Jrue Holiday with 33 points. Holiday was 14 of 23 from the field and added seven rebounds and 11 assists. Brook Lopez scored 26 for the Bucks, shooting an impressive 11 of 13 from the field.

Milwaukee is first in the NBA in scoring at 119.2 points per game and is allowing 112.9 points per contest. The Bucks are fourth in both field-goal percentage (48.8%) and three-point percentage (39.2%). The team is first in defensive rebounds at 37.8 per game and second in total rebounds at 48.1 per contest.

The Bucks are led by Giannis Antetokounmpo at 28.8 ppg and 11.4 rebounds per game, but he is listed as questionable for this contest with a knee injury. Khris Middleton is averaging 20.2 points, 6.0 rebounds, and 5.5 assists per game. Four other players are averaging in double digits and the team has five players averaging at least 5.0 rebounds per game.

Hawks Down Warriors

Atlanta outscored Golden State by nine in the final quarter to earn a 117-111 victory over the Warriors. Stephen Curry scored 37 points on 12 of 23 shooting. He was 10 of 12 from the line. Kelly Oubre reported a double-double with 20 points and 11 rebounds. Golden State got just 19 points from their bench.

Golden State is averaging 111.8 ppg while allowing 114.0 points per contest. They are 18th in field-goal percentage at 46.0% and 15th in three-point percentage at 37.3%. The Warriors are 25th in total rebounds at 42.6 per contest.

Curry leads the team in scoring at 29.4 ppg. He is also averaging 5.5 rebounds and 6.0 assists per game. Andrew Wiggins is averaging 18.2 points per game and Oubre is averaging 15.0 points and 6.0 rebounds per contest.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


Milwaukee is playing very well of late while Golden State is struggling. The Bucks have come out West and are having their way, defeating the Lakers, the Trail Blazers, and the Kings. Now they set their sights on the Warriors and there is very little reason to believe this team will not be victorious.

Even without Antetokounmpo Milwaukee is better. They have won four of the last five meetings between these teams, and I expect that pattern to continue here as well. Look for a close contest through the half, but for Milwaukee to dominate starting the third quarter.

Prediction: Take Milwaukee and give up the points -3.5 (-110)

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


The total is set at 231.0. During the first four games of their six-game road trip, Milwaukee has gone over that number in three of the first four games. That includes 257 points scored in the contest with Sacramento on Saturday. A well-rested Milwaukee team is likely to have a big night against Golden State. The Bucks have averaged 128 points in the last two contests.

Golden State scored 111 points in the loss to Atlanta but had just 77 in the loss to Toronto on Friday. What I like is the fact that they have given up at least 116 points in each of the last three contests. I look for Milwaukee to take full advantage of that, scoring 118, so it then becomes if Golden State can reach the 114 mark. I do not see that happening.

Take Milwaukee to win, 118-107.

Prediction: Under 231.0 (-110)

Written By Admir Aljic , "The Admiral"

You want someone to show you how to make some money, then talk to the Admiral, because he is your man. He has been handicapping for many years, so the Admiral knows a thing or two on how to beat the spread and get your pockets loaded with cash. The Admiral has brought his talents to StatSalt & Winners & Whiners and will always find the best pick for you.