Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#513 Toronto Raptors vs.
#514 Los Angeles Clippers
Tuesday, May 4, 2021 at 10:05pm EDT
Staples Center, Los Angeles
Written by Roberto Arguello

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The Clippers host the Raptors Tuesday night in the first meeting between these teams this season.

The Raptors are looking for a second straight win at the Staples Center pulling off a road upset in their 121-114 win over the Lakers on Sunday. The Raptors were shorthanded, but Pascal Siakam scored 39 points and Kyle Lowry added 37 while no one else scored more than 14 points for Toronto. The Clippers are looking to find some momentum as they have lost three consecutive games after losing 110-104 at home to the Nuggets on Saturday.

Can Lowry and Siakam Carry the Raptors to Another Cover?

If the Raptors win and cover as road underdogs, they will need Lowry and Siakam at their best. OG Anunoby (calf) and Gary Trent Jr. (leg) are doubtful to play Tuesday while Chris Boucher (sprained MCL) remains out indefinitely. Fred VanVleet (injury maintenance) is also listed as day-to-day, and his status is worth monitoring as the Raptors have frequently rested him lately.

With a handful of their best players uncertain to play or out, the Raptors must get quality performances from Lowry and Siakam again on Tuesday. The Raptors don’t have much firepower surrounding these two (the three starters alongside them on Sunday were Stanley Johnson, Khem Birch, and rookie Malachi Flynn, respectively, and these three combined to shoot 1-18 from the field with just four total points), and they will need to play well for the Raptors to have a chance to cover.

With key defenders like Anunoby and VanVleet possibly out, the Raptors will need to either step up defensively or make more shots to compensate for their lesser defensive talent on the perimeter. The Raptors rank 23rd in defensive rating over the last two weeks as they have allowed opponents to score 116.2 points per 100 possessions in their last seven games.

Clippers Shooting the Lights Out

If the Clippers snap their three-game losing streak and cover, they will need to continue winning the three-point battle. Serge Ibaka (back), Patrick Beverley (hand), and Amir Coffey (health and safety protocols) are all out for the Clippers on Tuesday.

While the Clippers defense has gone from the fifth most efficient unit to the 12th most efficient defense, they have remained an elite team as their offense has improved. The Clippers ranked second in offensive efficiency last season (114.2), but they are scoring five more points per 100 possessions this season as their offense is the second-most efficient unit in the NBA (119.2). They also have the second-highest effective field goal percentage (57.0%) in the league.

In today’s NBA where the three-point shot is pivotal, the Clippers have thrived as they are shooting an NBA-best 42.4% on threes this season on the third-most three-point attempts (41.1% of shots) in the league. The Clippers have the most efficient three-point shooting team in the history of the NBA as they have an absurd 12 different players each shooting over 39% from downtown this season. They should have a favorable matchup against the Raptors defense that allows opponents to make 38.1% of their threes (23rd in the NBA) which may also be without key defenders like Anunoby and VanVleet.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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The Clippers have lost three straight heading into Tuesday’s matchup with the Raptors, but they should win and cover as home favorites thanks to their advantage from beyond the arc. Paul George has had a few consecutive off-shooting nights in a row, but he didn’t have Kawhi Leonard available at full strength to take the pressure off of him lately. With Leonard getting two days of rest after seeing some game action for the first time in two weeks, he should play well against his former team while the rest of the Clippers get higher quality three-point attempts and hit enough of them to win by double-digits.

Prediction: Clippers -9

Full-Game Total Pick

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With the Raptors likely significantly shorthanded again, they will struggle to score outside of Lowry and Siakam, as the Clippers win in a blowout. Expect the Raptors’ offense to keep the final score below the total as Leonard holds Siakam in check and the rest of the Raptors struggle to hit enough shots. This is also a good spot to bet the under as the under has hit in seven consecutive games where the Clippers are coming off of a loss.

Prediction: Under 221.5
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Written By Roberto Arguello , "Roberto Arguello"

Roberto is a college basketball and NBA sports betting analyst. Prior to joining our team at Winners & Whiners he broadcasted for PGA TOUR LIVE and was the voice of Stanford Football on KZSU 90.1 FM. His sports betting articles have been featured on Sporting News, The Action Network, and BetQL. Roberto enjoys long romantic walks through the fairways and fullback handoffs.