Wake Forest Demon Deacons (10-5; 6-7 ATS; 6-6 O/U) vs. #11 Virginia Cavaliers (11-3; 7-5 ATS; 4-8 O/U)
NCAAB: Sunday, January 8, 2017 at 8:00pm EST
Line: Virginia -12
The 11th ranked Virginia Cavaliers will host the Wake Forest Demon Deacons in an ACC contest Sunday afternoon from the John Paul Jones Arena in Charlottesville. Wake Forest defeated Boston College 79-66 in their latest action, and Virginia is coming off an 88-76 road loss to Pittsburgh. Virginia edged Wake Forest by a 72-71 score in the lone meeting last season.
Wake Forest Notches First Conference Win of Season
The Wake Forest Demon Deacons used a 23-5 run in the second half to fuel a 79-66 home win over Boston College on Tuesday night. Wake Forest scored 44 points in the second half and shot 47% from the field, and out-rebounded Boston College 41-29 in the win. John Collins came up big, going 6 for 11 from the field for a total of 17 points. The sophomore forward has been outstanding this season, currently on a 15 for 24 stretch from the field and is now averaging a team-leading 16.4 points per game and has recorded seven double-doubles this season. Collins is also a force underneath the basket, collecting 9.5 rebounds per game, ranking him fifth in the ACC. Konstantinos Mitoglou made six of eight shots from the field for 15 points in the win, and is another solid scorer on this young Wake Forest team. The Demon Deacons now have four players averaging double-digits in points and are a team on the rise. They are currently ranked 45th overall in Ken Pomeroy’s College Basketball Rankings.
Wake Forest features a potent offense, now averaging 80.9 points per game, good for 44th in the nation, and are shooting 47.5% as a team. The Demon Deacons are now allowing an average of 73.2 points per game placing them 217th overall.
Virginia Falls to Pittsburgh in Second Straight Loss
The Virginia Cavaliers pride themselves on strong defensive play but it has not been good over their last two games. Virginia conceded 18 points in the overtime session in their 88-76 loss to Pittsburgh on Wednesday night. Virginia shot a solid 49% but allowed the Panthers to make 53% of their shots from the field. London Perrantes made a three-pointer at the buzzer to force overtime, and finished with 16 points in the loss. The senior guard is shooting a dazzling 57% from the field and leads the Cavaliers with 10.4 points per game. Junior guard Devon Hall had his best game of the season in the win, scoring 15 points. Hall has now reached double-digits in points in three straight games and is scoring 7.1 points per game. The Cavaliers have now lost two in a row, sitting at 1-2 in ACC play and although it’s early, they can’t afford to fall back in the strong ACC. Despite the two straight losses Virginia still features the number one ranked defense in the Country and they will be tested again against a high-scoring Wake Forest team.
Virginia is not a high scoring team, posting 68.8 points per game, ranking them 280th overall, and own a solid 49.4 field goal percentage. The Cavaliers play stifling defense, allowing only 51.5 points per game, ranking them first in the Country.
The Wake Forest Demon Deacons are:
- 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games against Virginia.
- 19-7-2 ATS in their last 28 Sunday games.
The Virginia Cavaliers are:
- 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against the ACC.
- 1-7 ATS in their last 8 Sunday games.
I am taking the points with Wake Forest in this one. I expect Wake Forest to keep this one closer than the spread indicates with their strong offense that is averaging 81 points per game. The Demon Deacons are an outstanding three point shooting team, shooting 39.5% from beyond the arc, and if there is one area Virginia is not strong defensively, it is defending three’s. Virginia is not a high scoring team, averaging only 62 points over their last four games, and although they should win I think Wake Forest keeps it close.