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Central Michigan vs. Toledo,
01/13/17 - Prediction & Preview

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#537 Toledo
Rockets
#538 Central Michigan
Chippewas

Saturday, January 14, 2017 at 1:30pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Toledo Rockets

-

-
ATS
-
O/U
0
PPG
0
OPPG

Central Michigan Chippewas

-

-
ATS
-
O/U
0
PPG
0
OPPG

Betting Trends

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Toledo Rockets (9-7 SU, 7-7-0 ATS, 8-6-0 OU) vs Central Michigan Chippewas (10-6 SU, 6-6-0 ATS, 9-3-0 OU)

When: 8:00 PM ET, Friday, January 13, 2017

Where: McGuirk Arena in Mount Pleasant, Michigan

Lines: Toledo -1.5

Total: 174

College Basketball action on Friday night and the Toledo Rockets will tangle with the Central Michigan Chippewas at McGuirk Arena in Mount Pleasant, Michigan. The Rockets come in off a 90-74 loss at Western Michigan and they are now 2-1 in the MAC, while the Chippewas are 0-3 in the MAC following a 89-85 home loss to Akron.

Defense A No-Show In Loss To The Broncos

The Toledo Rockets had been riding a five-game win streak and then they went to Kalamazoo and feel to Western Michigan by a score of 90-74. The offense has been there for this team all year so far, but the defense has not and it really struggled in this game as they allowed the 90 points on an incredible 70.0% shooting overall, including 70% from long range. You won’t win many games allowing those kind of numbers, no matter how good your offense is. The offense didn’t have a great game as they scored the 74 points, but on just 43.3% shooting overall, including just 26.1% from long range. Just a bad game at both ends of the court for the Rockets. They were led bin the game Jonathan Williams, who had 19 points, while Nate Navigato had 16 and Steve Taylor Jr. had 13. This offense is better than what they showed in this game, but the defense still is an issue for them and it will be all year long. The Rockets have five players that average at least 8.1 ppg and they have been led by Jonathan Williams at 20.5 ppg, while 2nd is Steve Taylor at 15.0 ppg and 3rd is Jaelan Sanford at 13.6 ppg.  

Toledo enters this game ranked 33rd in the nation in scoring, putting up 82.3 ppg, while also ranking 37th in FG% (48.1%), 169th in 3-point shooting (35.5%) and 121st in free throw shooting (71.5%). At the defensive end of the floor they have been poor as they come in ranked 294th in points allowed, giving up 77.8 ppg, while also ranking 316th in defensive FG% (47.2%) and 65th in 3-point defense (31.7%).

Chipps Fall In Close One At Home To Zips

The Central Michigan Chippewas are still looking for their first conference win of the year as they are 0-3 in league play out the gate.In their last game they fought hard but came up just a bit short in a 89-85 home loss to Akron. Their offense had a very good night against a solid Akron defense, but just like in most games, it is their defense that does them in. The Chippewas shot a very strong 50.0% from the floor overall, including 44.4% from long, but they allowed 45.6% shooting overall, including 42.9% from long range. This team just don’t have the defense to stop teams from scoring and that will ruin some good offensive nights for them as the season goes on. The Chippewas were led by the Nation’s leading scorer, Marcus Keene, who had 33 points in the loss and is now averaging 29.3 ppg on the year. Also having a good game for the Chips was Braylon Rayson, who had 27 points. He is the team’s 2nd leading scorer at 18.7 ppg. No one else on the team had more than seven points in the loss. If this team ever figures out their defense then they would be very tough to beat.   

Central Michigan checks in at 9th in the nation in scoring, putting up just 88.6 ppg, while also ranking 271st in shooting overall (42.4%), 188th in 3-point shooting (35.1%) and 13th in free throw shooting (76.9%). At the defensive end of the floor they have been very poor as they come in ranked 337th in points allowed, giving up 81.7 ppg, while also ranking 200th in defensive FG% (43.6%) and 61st in 3-point defense (31.6%).

Trends

Toledo is:

  • The Over is 15-5 in their last 20 games as a road favorite of 0.5-6.5
  • The Over is 4-1 in their last five games vs. a team with a winning % above .600

Central Michigan is:

  • The Over is 5-1 in their last six games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5
  • Over is 22-8 in their last 30 games as a home underdog of 0.5-6.5

This one could be fun as both teams love to push the pace and both play very little defense. The Chippewas just played a game vs the Zips and that is a team that plays defense, yet the teams combined for 174  points. No reason why these teams can’t hit the 180s. All these teams think about is scoring and both are in the top 33 in the nation in scoring, while both defenses rank 294th in the nation or worse in points allowed. The scoreboard operator should be plenty busy with this one ass both teams score, score and score some more. Take the over.

Pick: Over 174

David Hess (@DavidHess311)

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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