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Bowling Green vs. Northern Illinois,
01/14/17 - Prediction & Preview

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#527 Northern Illinois
Huskies
#528 Bowling Green
Falcons

Saturday, January 14, 2017 at 12:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Northern Illinois Huskies

-

-
ATS
-
O/U
0
PPG
0
OPPG

Bowling Green Falcons

-

-
ATS
-
O/U
0
PPG
0
OPPG

Betting Trends

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Northern Illinois Huskies (10-6 SU, 7-6-0 ATS, 7-6-0 OU) vs Bowling Green Falcons (7-9 SU, 7-7-0 ATS, 6-8-0 OU)

When: 12:00 PM ET, Saturday, January 14, 2017

Where: Stroh Center, Bowling Green, Ohio

Lines: Bowling Green -1

Total: 137.5

MAC college basketball action on Saturday afternoon and the Northern Illinois Huskies will brawl with the Bowling Green Falcons at the Stroh Center in Bowling Green, Ohio. The Huskies check in off a 74-70 OT road win over Kent State and they are now 2-1 in the MAC, while the Falcons are off a 81-53 home loss to Eastern Michigan and they are now just 1-2 in league play. The Under is 7-1 the last eight games in this series.

Huskies Top Kent State In OT On The Road

The Northern Illinois Huskies started league play with a two-point loss at Miami-Oh, but they have bounced back with a four-point home win over Central Michigan and then in their last game they took down Kent State 74-70 in OT on the road. The Huskies have been playing very well overall as they are now 6-1 in their last seven games and they look to keep it going vs a struggling Bowling Green Squad. In the win over the Golden Flashes, they trailed the game by 12 points at the half, but a big 2nd half comeback helped them get the game to OT, where they eventually won the game. Leading their attack was Marin Maric, who had 19 points and 11 boards, while Eugene German and Laytwan Porter each had 12 points and Jaylen Key had 11 points. The Huskies didn’t shoot the ball well as they hit just 37.3% of their shots overall and they were three of 14 from deep, while allowing Kent state to hit 43.5% of their long range shots, but they did win both the rebounding (+7) and the turnover (+5) battles in the game. Maric (13.7 ppg) and Aaric Armstead (10.1 ppg) are the only two players on the team to average in double-figures.

The Huskies have averaged 76 ppg and have allowed 74 ppg in league play so far, while in true road games for the year they have averaged 64.4 ppg and have allowed 66.3 ppg. The Huskies enter this contest ranked 168th in the nation in scoring, putting up 74.2 ppg, while also ranking 229th in FG% (43.3%), 339th in 3-point shooting (29.0%) and 204th in free throw shooting (68.7%). At the defensive end of the floor they have been solid as they come in ranked 95th in points allowed, giving up 68.4 ppg, while also ranking 100th in defensive FG% (41.4%) and 124th in 3-point defense (33.1%).

Falcons Crushed At Home By Eagles

Bowling Green has started MAC play with a 1-2 record and their last game was a real bad home loss as they fell 81-53 to Eastern Michigan in that game. The Falcons shot just 33.65 from the field overall in that game, including just 31.6% from long range, plus they also missed nine of their free throws, while on defense they allowed 58.2% shooting to the Eagles, including 41.7% from long range. Just one of those games that they want to file away and never think of again. Leading their attack (if you can call it that) Zack Denny, who had 14 points, while the only other person in double figures was Demajeo Wiggins, who had 11. The Falcons have three players that have averaged at least 7.3 ppg on the year and they have been led by Denny, who is averaging 12.6 ppg, while 2nd is Wes Alcegaire at 12.3 ppg and Wiggins rounds out the double-digit scorers on the team with 10.7 ppg.

In their three league games this year so far they have averaged 71.0 ppg and have allowed 80.3 ppg, while here at home for the year they have averaged 73.1 ppg and have allowed 70.4 ppg. Bowling Green checks in at 202nd in the nation in scoring, putting up just 73.2 ppg, while also ranking 266th in shooting overall (42.4%), 124th in 3-point shooting (36.5%) and 238th in free throw shooting (67.4%). At the defensive end of the floor they have not been great as they come in ranked 211th  in points allowed, giving up 73.1 ppg, while also ranking 240th in defensive FG% (44.7%) and 115th in 3-point defense (32.8%).

Trends

Northern Illinois is:

  • 6-0 ATS in their last six Saturday games
  • 35-16-4 ATS in their last 55 vs. the Mid-American

Bowling Green is:

  • 5-12 ATS in their last 17 vs. the Mid-American
  • 3-9 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record

The Northern Illinois Huskies are playing very well at the moment, but they are just 3-4 on the road so far this year. Still, I like them in this game. They have the defensive edge and have gone 6-1 in their last seven games overall, while the Falcons are 4-5 in their last nine games overall and just 1-2 in the MAC. They are 6-3 at home on the year, but w3ere just crushed by 28 points here by Eastern Michigan. It won’t be that easy for the Huskies, but they should find a way to eek out another close win.

Pick: Northern Illinois +1

David Hess (@DavidHess311)

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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