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Colorado State vs. New Mexico,
01/14/17 - Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#545 New Mexico
Lobos
#546 Colorado State
Rams

Saturday, January 14, 2017 at 2:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

New Mexico Lobos

-

-
ATS
-
O/U
0
PPG
0
OPPG

Colorado State Rams

-

-
ATS
-
O/U
0
PPG
0
OPPG

Betting Trends

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New Mexico Lobos (9-8 SU, 4-10-0 ATS, 8-6-0 OU) vs Colorado State Aggies (11-6 SU, 8-3-0 ATS, 6-5-0 OU)

When: 2:00 PM ET, Saturday, January 14, 2017

Where: Moby Arena, Fort Collins, Colorado

Lines: Colorado State -3.5

Total: 146

Mountain West CBB action on Saturday afternoon and the New Mexico Lobos will head to Moby Arena in Fort Collins, Colorado to Grapple with the Colorado State Aggies. The Lobos have lost their last three games in a row, after starting league play at 2-0, while the Aggies have gone 3-1 in the MVC and have won their last two in a row. The Rams have won the last two games in this series.

Skid Hits Three With Loss To Rebels

The New Mexico Lobos have been a power in the MWC for years, but they appear to be on a bit of a decline this year,. They started league play at 2-0, but after falling 71-66 at home to UNLV, they have now lost their last three games in a row to fall to 2-3 in the MWC. Overall they are still 9-8, but they need to start winning again to get back in the conference race. The offense hasn’t really been an issue for them this year so far and they did shoot 48% from the field overall vs UNLV, but the killer was their shooting from long range as they hit just four of their 15 three-pointers. They will need to do better in this game. Leading their attack was Dane Kuiper, who had 17 points, while Elijah Brown had 13 and both Tim Williams and Jalen Harris had 11 points to round out their double-digit scorers. The Rams have just two players that average more than 6.8 ppg and they are Williams, who is averaging 18.5 ppg and brown, who has put up 17.1 ppg.    

New Mexico has averaged 78.2 ppg and has allowed 79.0 mppg in league play so far, while on the road this year they have averaged 66.8 ppg and have allowed 76.2 ppg. The Lobos enter this game ranked 131st in the nation in scoring, putting up 75.8 ppg, while also ranking 73rd in FG% (47.0%), 313th in 3-point shooting (31.0%) and 36th in free throw shooting (75.3%). At the defensive end of the floor they have been below average as they come in ranked 234th in points allowed, giving up 74.0 ppg, while also ranking 226th in defensive FG% (44.2%) and 334th in 3-point defense (39.5%).

Rams Crush Falcons At Home

The Colorado State Rams are having a good year so far as they are 11-6 overall, including 3-1 in MWC play. Can they keep it going? Probably as they have been decent on offense, while strong on defense and defense wins championships. Right? The Rams come in off a 83-58 home destruction of Air Force. They shot a strong 50% from the field overall, including 43.8% from long range, while holding the Falcons to 41.7% shooting overall and just 26.3% from deep. Leading the attack for the Rams was Gian Clavell, who had 28 points, while Prentiss Nixon had 20, Emmanuel Omogbo had 14 and rounding out the double-digit scorers was Anthony Bonner, who had 11. Their offense has been below average all year, but as you can see below, it has picked up in league play. The Rams have five players that average at least 8.5 ppg and they have been led by Clavell, who has put up 16.5 ppg so far, while Omogbo has averaged 12.8 ppg and Nixon has put up 12.5 ppg to round out the double-digit scorers on the team.   

The Rams have put up 81.2 ppg and have allowed 70 ppg in MWC play so far this year, while at home overall they have averaged 75.2 ppg and have allowed 65.9 ppg. Colorado State checks in at 201st in the nation in scoring, putting up 73.5 ppg, while also ranking 232nd in FG% (43.2%), 248th in 3-point shooting (33.3%) and 55th in free throw shooting (74.3%). At the defensive end of the floor they have been solid as they come in ranked 79th in points allowed, giving up 67.1 ppg, while also ranking 36th in defensive FG% (39.3%) and 26th in 3-point defense (30.3%).

Trends

New Mexico is:

  • 6-14 ATS in their last 20 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600
  • 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up loss

Colorado State is:

  • 6-0 ATS in their last six home games vs. a team with a losing road record
  • 6-0 ATS in their last six home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400

Not sure about the line move here as both teams are heading in opposite directions. The Lobos have lost their last three games in a row, while Colorado State is 3-1 in league play and they have gone 9-2 at home. The Lobos have been outscored by nearly 10 ppg on the road, while the Rams have outscored foes by nearly 10 points at home. The Lobos have an edge on offense, but the Rams have a decided edge on defense and they have allowed just 65.5 ppg here at home, while the Lobos have allowed 76.2 ppg on the road. CSU wins this one by at least seven points.   

Pick: Colorado State -3.5

David Hess (@DavidHess311)

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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